York hosts Woking in a National League fixture on March 28, 2026. York enters this match sitting comfortably in second place with 92 points from 40 games, while Woking sits 10th with 52 points from 37 games. The gap in league standings highlights York's superior consistency over the season. The head-to-head record heavily favors York. In their last nine meetings, York has won six times and drawn three, without a single loss. Crucially, York's home record against Woking is perfect, winning all four previous home encounters. This historical dominance provides a strong foundation for the home team. Recent form reinforces York's position. Over their last 10 games, York has secured eight wins and two losses, averaging 2.7 goals per game. Their home performance is particularly potent, with a 100% win rate in the last four home matches and an average of 3.5 goals scored per game at home. In contrast, Woking's away form is much weaker. Over their last six away games, they have won only one, lost three, and drawn two. Their away scoring average is just 1.17 goals per game. Goal expectancy models suggest a total of 3.58 goals (Home 2.50, Away 1.08), indicating a high-scoring affair. While York suffered a 3-1 defeat to Gateshead in their most recent match, this result is an outlier against their dominant home record and H2H history. Woking's defensive record away from home (1.50 goals conceded per game) combined with York's aggressive home attack (3.50 goals scored per game) suggests York should control the match. The betting market prices the home win at 1.28 odds, implying a 78% probability. Given York's 100% home win rate in their last four games and a perfect H2H home record, the actual probability appears higher, offering value. The risk of an upset is low given Woking's poor away form and the historical context. Key Points: - York is 2nd in the table (92 pts) vs Woking 10th (52 pts). - H2H: York has never lost to Woking in 9 matches. - York Home: 100% win rate in last 4 home games; 3.50 goals/game. - Woking Away: 16.67% win rate in last 6 away games; 1.17 goals/game. - Goal Expectancy: Home 2.50, Away 1.08 (Total 3.58). Summary: The statistical edge strongly favors York at home. The recommended bet is York to Win.