🟨
Monarcas1-0Tlaxcala
Sat, 15 Nov 2025, 14:30
Full Time

Match Timeline

46'
O. Jones🔄
Substitution 1 → B. Fawcett
60'
A. Williams🟨
Yellow Card
63'
R. Abbruzzese⚽
Normal Goal
65'
A. Williams🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Hill
71'
M. Hill🟨
Yellow Card
81'
U. Kargbo🔄
Substitution 2 → I. Kargbo
81'
A. Williams🔄
Substitution 3 → O. Davies
82'
K. Kenniford🟨
Yellow Card
86'
K. Kenniford🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Jones
86'
R. Watts🟨
Yellow Card
90+4'
R. Watts🔄
Substitution 3 → I. Humphreys

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Colwyn Bay
Colwyn Bay
Form: W-L-W-W-D
Record
2 W
2 D
6 L
•
5 W
2 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
1.4
Scored
vs
1.3
Scored
2.0
Conceded
vs
0.7
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
10%
Clean Sheets
60%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
20%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.6
Away:1.2
Conceded
Home:1.8
Away:2.2
Scored
Home:1.7
Away:0.8
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:0.3

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
Haverfordwest County AFC versus Colwyn Bay: long term ELO, before the match
Haverfordwest County AFCHomeRatingColwyn BayAway
Strength
1,616.1Overall1,518.9
1,615.8Match venue1,466.1
1,615.8At home1,494.8
1,514.3Away1,466.1
Attack & defence
1,541.1Attack1,467.5
1,617.6Defence1,577.9
1,562.6Home attack1,502.3
1,443.9Away attack1,437.3
1,622Home defence1,530.4
1,593.1Away defence1,532.4
Match profile
1,595Goal environment1,535
1,490Home goals1,528.3
1,605Away goals1,506.7
1,500Possession1,500
Specialist ratings
1,500Set-piece attack1,500
1,500Set-piece defence1,500
1,528.1Close games1,481.4
1,637.7Winning margin1,529.3

Match venue compares Haverfordwest County AFC at home with Colwyn Bay away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

Colwyn Bay's Defensive Fortress vs Haverfordwest's Woes
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_NO
Odds:2.00
Expected Value:+10.0%

This Premier League clash presents a fascinating contrast in form and defensive solidity. Haverfordwest County AFC, languishing in 11th place with just 13 points, host a Colwyn Bay side sitting comfortably in 5th with 24 points. The statistical disparity between these sides is stark, particularly in defensive metrics. Haverfordwest's recent form tells a worrying story - they've managed only 2 wins from their last 10 matches, conceding an alarming 20 goals in that period. Their defensive frailties are evident across all competitions, with a meager 10% clean sheet rate. Despite showing some attacking intent in recent fixtures like the 2-2 draw against Caernarfon Town and the thrilling 3-3 encounter with GAP Connah S Quay FC, their inability to keep opponents out remains their Achilles heel. Colwyn Bay, by contrast, have built their success on defensive resilience. Their recent record shows 5 wins from 10 games, but more impressively, they've kept clean sheets in 60% of those matches. Away from home, their defensive record is even more formidable - conceding just 0.25 goals per game on their travels. Recent results like the 0-0 draw with Cardiff MET and the 1-0 victory at Flint Town United demonstrate their ability to grind out results without conceding. The head-to-head record historically favors Haverfordwest at home, but their last meeting ended in a 0-3 defeat, suggesting a shift in the balance of power. While Haverfordwest have shown they can score against top opposition, their defensive vulnerabilities make them vulnerable against organized sides like Colwyn Bay. Looking at the goal expectancy data (Home 0.93, Away 1.27) and considering Colwyn Bay's exceptional defensive record, this match has all the hallmarks of a low-scoring affair where the visitors' defensive organization could be the deciding factor. Key Points: • Colwyn Bay boast a 60% clean sheet rate compared to Haverfordwest's 10% • Colwyn Bay concede just 0.25 goals per game away from home • Haverfordwest have conceded 2.00 goals per game in their last 10 matches • Colwyn Bay average 1.70 points per game vs Haverfordwest's 0.80 • Both teams have had 7 days rest, with no significant fatigue concerns The betting value lies with Colwyn Bay's defensive solidity. At 2.00 for Both Teams to Score - No, we're getting fair odds on a market that aligns perfectly with Colwyn Bay's recent defensive dominance and Haverfordwest's defensive struggles.

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