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Tue, 9 Dec 2025, 19:45
Full Time

Match Timeline

7'
J. Williams⚽
Normal Goal
33'
J. Williams⚽
Normal Goal
46'
C. Smith🔄
Substitution 1 → E. Sage
46'
T. Price🔄
Substitution 2 → R. Dyer
61'
J. Williams🟨
Yellow Card
65'
J. Marshall🔄
Substitution 1 → R. Astles
72'
L. Phillips🔄
Substitution 2 → R. Holden
84'
R. George🔄
Substitution 3 → K. Evans
86'
A. Gammond🟨
Yellow Card
88'
J. Williams🔄
Substitution 3 → R. Brobbel
88'
B. Clark🔄
Substitution 4 → H. Godsmark-Ford

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Briton Ferry
Briton Ferry
Form: D-W-L-L-L
The New Saints
The New Saints
Form: W-W-L-W-L
Record
2 W
2 D
6 L
•
8 W
0 D
2 L
Goals Per Game
0.7
Scored
vs
2.7
Scored
1.9
Conceded
vs
1.0
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS
30%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:0.7
Away:0.8
Conceded
Home:2.0
Away:1.8
Scored
Home:2.8
Away:2.6
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:1.0

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
Briton Ferry versus The New Saints: long term ELO, before the match
Briton FerryHomeRatingThe New SaintsAway
Strength
1,495.2Overall1,920.2
1,452.5Match venue1,850.2
1,452.5At home1,883.5
1,517Away1,850.2
Attack & defence
1,514Attack1,787.9
1,503.9Defence1,725.8
1,478.3Home attack1,820.6
1,544.8Away attack1,712
1,497.7Home defence1,680.9
1,491.2Away defence1,747
Match profile
1,623.3Goal environment2,818.3
1,541.7Home goals2,305
1,581.7Away goals2,013.3
1,500Possession1,500
Specialist ratings
1,500Set-piece attack1,500
1,500Set-piece defence1,500
1,469.3Close games1,661
1,503.6Winning margin1,979.2

Match venue compares Briton Ferry at home with The New Saints away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

T Saints Set To Overrun Briton Ferry
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.40
Expected Value:+5.0%

This Tuesday night clash presents a classic tale of two teams heading in opposite directions. The New Saints sit atop the Welsh Premier League with an impressive 44 points from 18 games, while Briton Ferry languish in 10th place with just 17 points from 16 matches. The form gap is staggering. The New Saints have won 8 of their last 10 games, scoring 27 goals at an average of 2.7 per game. Their recent results include dominant performances like a 4-0 away win at llanelli AFC and a 3-0 victory over Flint Town United. Even their two losses in this period were narrow 2-1 and 2-3 defeats to Cardiff MET. Briton Ferry, by contrast, are struggling badly. They've managed only 2 wins in their last 10 matches, scoring a mere 7 goals while conceding 19. Their recent home form is particularly concerning - just one win in six home games with a 50% loss rate. They've been kept scoreless in four of their last ten matches, including a 0-5 hammering by Penybont and a 0-3 loss to GAP Connah S Quay FC. The head-to-head record shows an interesting pattern with both teams winning two of their four encounters, but crucially all four matches featured over 2.5 goals. The goal expectancy for this match sits at 3.13, strongly suggesting goals are on the cards. The New Saints' away record is formidable - 80% win rate on their travels with 2.6 goals scored per game. Briton Ferry's defensive frailties at home (2.0 goals conceded per game) don't bode well against such potent opposition. While the away win odds of 1.14 offer little value, the Over 2.5 Goals market at 1.40 presents an interesting opportunity. Given The New Saints' attacking prowess, Briton Ferry's defensive vulnerabilities, and the historical goal-fests between these sides, this looks like the smart play. Key Points: - The New Saints averaging 2.7 goals scored per game vs Briton Ferry's 0.7 - All 4 previous H2H matches went over 2.5 goals - Briton Ferry have conceded 2+ goals in 6 of their last 10 matches - The New Saints have scored 2+ goals in 7 of their last 10 games - Combined goal expectancy of 3.13 suggests plenty of scoring opportunities The data points strongly toward a high-scoring affair with the league leaders likely to run riot against the struggling hosts.

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