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This National League South clash between 22nd-placed Enfield Town and 11th-placed Chesham United presents a compelling case for **Over 2.5 Goals** at 1.85 odds. The head-to-head record tells the complete story: in all six previous meetings between these sides, every single one has produced three or more goals. That's a 100% strike rate over the course of several years. The most recent encounter in October 2025 ended 4-1 to Chesham, continuing a pattern of open, high-scoring affairs. Enfield Town's defensive frailties are well-documented. They've conceded 19 goals in their last 10 games, averaging 1.9 goals against per match. Their home record shows they've conceded 1.33 goals per game on their own turf, but their away form has been far worse at 2.75 GA per game—suggesting their defence is simply not robust at this level. Chesham United, meanwhile, have scored 17 goals in their last 10 outings (1.7 per game) and are sitting 26 points clear of Enfield in the table. While their away scoring record has been modest recently at 0.67 goals per game in their last three trips, the H2H factor cannot be ignored. Chesham have won five of the six meetings, including a 4-1 victory at this venue last season. The odds of 1.85 for Over 2.5 Goals appear generous given the historical precedent. With Enfield conceding regularly and Chesham capable of breaking games open, we expect this trend to continue. **Key Points:** - Over 2.5 goals in all 6 previous H2H meetings (100%) - Enfield concedes 1.9 goals per game over last 10 - Chesham scores 1.7 goals per game over last 10 - Last H2H at this venue: 1-4 to Chesham - 26-point league gap reflects quality difference **Pick: Over 2.5 Goals**
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