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The National League South clash between Enfield Town and Worthing presents a classic case of disparity in form and league position. As of March 26, 2026, Worthing sits comfortably in 2nd place with 71 points from 40 games, while Enfield Town languishes in 22nd place with just 35 points from 39 games. This 36-point gap is the most significant factor shaping the betting value for this fixture. Recent form further widens the divide. Over their last 10 games, Worthing have secured 6 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, averaging 1.90 points per game. Their defensive record is particularly impressive, conceding only 0.80 goals per game on average. In contrast, Enfield Town have managed just 3 wins in their last 10, averaging 1.20 points per game. Defensively, Enfield have been vulnerable, conceding 1.90 goals per game in the same period. The head-to-head record is decisive. In the last 6 meetings, Worthing have won 4 times, with 2 draws, and Enfield Town have not secured a single victory. The last meeting ended in a 0-0 draw, but prior to that, Worthing won 5-1 and 3-0. Given Enfield's home performance (33.33% win rate in last 6 home games) versus Worthing's solid away form (40% win rate in last 5 away games), the visitors hold the psychological and statistical advantage. Key Points: - Worthing are 2nd in the table (71 pts) vs Enfield in 22nd (35 pts). - H2H: Worthing have won 4 of the last 6 meetings; Enfield have 0 wins. - Form: Worthing average 1.80 goals scored/game vs Enfield's 1.40 goals scored/game. - Defense: Worthing concede 0.80 goals/game; Enfield concede 1.90 goals/game. - Odds: Away Win at 1.48 offers value given the massive form gap. In summary, the data heavily favors Worthing. The combination of league standing, head-to-head dominance, and superior defensive stability makes the Away Win the clear choice. With odds at 1.48, the implied probability is roughly 67.6%, but the statistical edge suggests a higher true probability, providing positive expected value. The recommended pick is Worthing to win.
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