Match Timeline
L. Miller⚽
M. Williams⚽M. Oakley⚽B. Forbes⚽E. Whitehouse🟥T. Fleming🟥Head-to-Head
📈 Team Form & Statistics
ELO comparison
Pre-match ratings
 Peterborough SportsHome | Rating |  King's Lynn TownAway |
|---|---|---|
| Strength | ||
| 1,423.3 | Overall | 1,510.1 |
| 1,465.4 | Match venue | 1,540.1 |
| 1,465.4 | At home | 1,494.2 |
| 1,430.9 | Away | 1,540.1 |
| Attack & defence | ||
| 1,426.6 | Attack | 1,437.9 |
| 1,489.3 | Defence | 1,569 |
| 1,420.2 | Home attack | 1,434.9 |
| 1,453.2 | Away attack | 1,452.6 |
| 1,526.3 | Home defence | 1,569.5 |
| 1,462.1 | Away defence | 1,545.6 |
| Match profile | ||
| 1,526.7 | Goal environment | 1,580 |
| 1,503.3 | Home goals | 1,541.7 |
| 1,523.3 | Away goals | 1,538.3 |
| 1,500 | Possession | 1,500 |
| Specialist ratings | ||
| 1,500 | Set-piece attack | 1,500 |
| 1,500 | Set-piece defence | 1,500 |
| 1,469.3 | Close games | 1,519.3 |
| 1,407 | Winning margin | 1,517.8 |
Match venue compares Peterborough Sports at home with King's Lynn Town away. All ratings are within this league.
Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.
📝 Match Preview
The National League North fixture between Peterborough Sports and King's Lynn Town presents a stark contrast in current form and league standing. Peterborough Sports sit in 23rd place with just 37 points from 41 games, while King's Lynn Town occupy 17th with 49 points. The 12-point gap in the table reflects a significant disparity in performance over the season. Peterborough Sports have been in severe difficulty recently. In their last 10 matches, they have secured only 1 win and 1 draw, accumulating just 0.4 points per game. Their home form is particularly concerning; in the last 5 home games, they have not recorded a single victory, averaging only 0.2 goals scored per game at home. Their defensive record is also fragile, conceding 1.6 goals per game at home and 2.2 goals per game overall. Conversely, King's Lynn Town display much greater stability. Their last 10 games yield 4 wins and 2 draws, equating to 1.4 points per game. Crucially, their away form is competitive, with 2 wins in their last 5 away fixtures. They average 1.8 goals scored per game on the road, which directly targets Peterborough's leaky defense. Head-to-head history shows a balanced record (3 wins each, 2 draws in 8 meetings), but recent trends favor the visitors. The last meeting ended in a 2-2 draw, but King's Lynn's superior current form suggests they are the stronger side. Given Peterborough's inability to win at home and King's Lynn's consistent scoring away, the value lies with the visitors. The odds for an Away Win are 2.05, implying a 49% probability. Based on the form gap and defensive vulnerabilities, the true probability appears closer to 55%, offering a solid edge. This meets the threshold for value betting. Key Points: - Peterborough Sports: 23rd place, 0.4 PPG, 0 home wins in last 5. - King's Lynn Town: 17th place, 1.4 PPG, 2 away wins in last 5. - Goal Expectancy: Combined 3.0 goals expected. - Recommendation: King's Lynn Town to Win. Summary: The data strongly supports King's Lynn Town as the likely victor given the form disparity.
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