The National League North fixture between Curzon Ashton and Buxton presents a stark contrast in current form and league positioning. Curzon Ashton sits in 19th place with 51 points from 44 games, while Buxton occupies 9th place with 67 points. The disparity in recent performance is the primary signal for this preview. Curzon Ashton have struggled significantly at home. In their last four home games, they have recorded zero wins, one draw, and three losses. Their home goal average is a modest 0.75 goals per game, while they concede an average of 2.00 goals per game at their venue. Over the last 10 games overall, Curzon have won just one match, drawn three, and lost six, averaging only 0.60 points per game. In sharp contrast, Buxton are in exceptional form, particularly on the road. In their last six away games, Buxton have won five and drawn one, maintaining an 83.33% win rate away from home. Their away goal average stands at 1.83 goals per game, with a very strong defensive record of conceding only 0.67 goals per game away. Over the last 10 games, Buxton have secured seven wins, one draw, and two losses, averaging 2.20 points per game. While the head-to-head record shows Curzon Ashton with a slight historical edge (3 wins to 2 in 6 meetings), current form heavily favors the visitors. The last meeting ended 1-0 to Curzon Ashton, but Buxton's recent away dominance suggests a different outcome is likely. The goal expectancy data supports this, projecting 0.71 goals for Curzon and 1.92 for Buxton. The betting market prices Buxton at 2.00 for an away win, implying a 50% probability. Given Buxton's 83% away win rate in their last six fixtures and Curzon's 0% home win rate in their last four, the true probability appears significantly higher, offering clear value. The Over 2.5 Goals market is priced at 1.50, but Buxton's strong away defense (0.67 conceded per game) suggests a lower scoring match might be more probable, though the total expectancy is 2.63 goals. Based on the significant form gap and the value available at 2.00 odds, the data supports backing the visitors. The multiple confirmatory signals—Buxton's away record, Curzon's home struggles, and the league table gap—align to suggest a Buxton victory is the most logical outcome. **Key Points:** - Curzon Ashton: 0% home win rate (last 4 games), 0.75 goals scored at home. - Buxton: 83.33% away win rate (last 6 games), 1.83 goals scored away. - Odds: Away Win @ 2.00 offers value given the form disparity. - Recommendation: Back Buxton to win.