Serie B action sees seventh-placed Juve Stabia host struggling Sampdoria, who sit 15th and just four points clear of the relegation zone. With a ten-point gap separating these sides in the table, the hosts look well-positioned to extend their advantage over the visitors, particularly given Sampdoria's alarming recent form against weaker opposition. Juve Stabia come into this fixture with respectable recent form, picking up 1.60 points per game across their last ten matches. While they've suffered back-to-back defeats against high-flying Monza (2-1) and playoff-chasing Modena (2-1), these were narrow losses against quality opposition. Prior to that, they secured a solid 2-1 victory away at Empoli and have shown defensive resilience with four clean sheets in their last ten outings. Their home record is particularly encouraging—averaging 1.60 goals scored per game while conceding just 1.40, with a 40% win rate from their last five at home. The underlying statistics paint a picture of a well-organised side. Juve Stabia are averaging 13.30 shots per game with 4.50 on target, maintaining 53.3% possession and an impressive 82.1% pass accuracy. Their shot accuracy of 35.5% suggests they're creating quality chances, and with a finishing delta of +0.15, they're converting at a rate above expectation. Sampdoria, however, arrive in worrying form. Despite picking up 1.50 points per game over their last ten, their recent results raise serious concerns. They've lost their last two matches against sides in the bottom half—falling 2-0 at home to Bari and 2-1 away at Mantova. These are precisely the type of fixtures a team with promotion pedigree should be winning, and failing to do so suggests deeper issues. Their away record is particularly poor, with just a 25% win rate from their last four road trips and only 1.00 goal scored per game away from home. While Sampdoria did manage an impressive 3-3 draw against high-flying Palermo and a 2-1 win at Modena recently, these results against stronger opposition mask their struggles against teams they should be beating. Their pass accuracy of 78.4% lags behind Juve Stabia, and they're creating fewer clear-cut chances with 4.20 shots on target per game compared to the hosts' 4.50. The head-to-head record is tight—each side has won one of the three meetings, with one draw—but the most recent encounter in November 2025 saw Sampdoria edge a 1-0 victory. However, context is key: Juve Stabia have improved significantly since that meeting, climbing to seventh place, while Sampdoria have stagnated in the lower reaches. **Key Points:** • Juve Stabia have collected 10 points more than Sampdoria this season (39 vs 29) • Sampdoria have lost their last two matches against bottom-half sides Bari and Mantova • Juve Stabia average 1.60 goals per game at home compared to Sampdoria's 1.00 away • Both teams have seen 60% of their last ten games feature both teams scoring • Juve Stabia hold advantages in pass accuracy (82.1% vs 78.4%) and shots on target (4.50 vs 4.20) • Sampdoria's away win rate drops to just 25% over their last four road games The market has Juve Stabia priced at 2.35, which represents solid value given the gulf in current form and league position. Sampdoria's inability to perform against weaker sides, combined with Juve Stabia's strong home record and superior underlying metrics, makes the home win the standout selection. The hosts' defensive improvement—conceding just 1.10 goals per game over their last ten—should be enough to keep Sampdoria's misfiring attack at bay.