🟨
Colombia1-0Congo DR
Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 16:15
Serie B
Italy
Italy
Full Time
0:0
HT: 0 - 0

Match Timeline

21'
Daniele Casiraghi🟨
Yellow Card
46'
S. Verdi🔄
Substitution 1 → E. Pecorino
49'
Karim Zedadka🟨
Yellow Card
65'
Luca Valzania🟨
Yellow Card
67'
L. Valzania🔄
Substitution 1 → F. Caligara
67'
L. Insigne🔄
Substitution 2 → G. Olzer
72'
A. Gravillon🔄
Substitution 3 → G. Letizia
72'
L. Berardi🔄
Substitution 4 → L. Fanne
76'
Frédéric Veseli🟨
Yellow Card
76'
Fabian Tait
Card upgrade
77'
Fabian Tait🟥
Red Card
78'
D. Casiraghi🔄
Substitution 2 → M. R. Frigerio
81'
G. Acampora🔄
Substitution 5 → L. Meazzi
82'
S. Tronchin🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Martini
82'
S. Merkaj🔄
Substitution 4 → D. Crnigoj
84'
Emanuele Pecorino🟨
Yellow Card
85'
K. Zedadka🔄
Substitution 5 → A. Masiello
90+3'
Andrea Masiello🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

1Shots on Goal3
2Shots off Goal7
4Total Shots17
1Blocked Shots7
2Shots insidebox11
2Shots outsidebox6
17Fouls14
3Corner Kicks5
2Offsides0
35Ball Possession65
5Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves1
235Total passes434
129Passes accurate328
55Passes %76
0.21expected_goals1.75
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

SudtirolSudtirol1:1

Starting XI

31Marius AdamonisG
34Frédéric VeseliD
7Karim ZedadkaM
33Silvio MerkajF
28Raphael KoflerD
17Daniele CasiraghiM
99Simone VerdiF
94Hamza El KaouakibiD
18Simone TronchinM
21Fabian TaitM
23Federico DaviM

PescaraPescara1:1

Starting XI

22Ivan SaioG
32Andrea CagnanoD
36Lorenzo BerardiM
11Lorenzo InsigneF
6Davide BettellaD
8Gastón BrugmanM
9Antonio Di NardoF
2Riccardo CapelliniD
14Luca ValzaniaM
13Gennaro AcamporaF
26Andreaw GravillonD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Sudtirol
Sudtirol
Form: L-W-D-L-W
Pescara
Pescara
Form: W-D-W-L-W
Record
5 W
3 D
2 L
3 W
2 D
5 L
Goals Per Game
1.3
Scored
vs
1.3
Scored
0.7
Conceded
vs
1.7
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
50%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
30%
BTTS
40%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.2
Away:1.4
Conceded
Home:0.6
Away:0.8
Scored
Home:1.6
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:1.4
Away:2.0

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1505
Average
1462
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1509
↑ Momentum (+4)
1462
↑ Momentum (+1)
Expected Outcome
38%
Home Win
32%
Draw
30%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1448
Attack
1472
1589
Defence
1447
Recent Form
1432
Attack
1490
1632
Defence
1464
Post-Match Changes
-4
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Sudtirol vs Pescara Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals Value
Recommendation:UNDER_2_5
Odds:1.90
Expected Value:+14.0%
Confidence:60

Serie B action takes centre stage on March 15th as Sudtirol host Pescara in a fixture that promises a clash of contrasting fortunes. Sudtirol currently sits in 9th place with 37 points from 29 matches, while Pescara languish in 20th spot with just 25 points. The table gap tells a story of two teams operating in different tiers of the division, but the recent form metrics suggest a specific angle for the betting markets. Sudtirol have been solid at home, particularly in their defensive output. Their home performance data over the last five games shows a 40% win rate and a 40% draw rate, with only 20% losses. Crucially, they concede just 0.60 goals per game at home. In the last 10 games overall, Sudtirol have kept a 50% clean sheet rate and average just 0.70 goals conceded per match. Their home goal average is 1.80 (1.20 scored, 0.60 conceded), indicating matches at this venue tend to be tight affairs. Recent home results include a 3-0 win against Padova and a 2-1 victory over Catanzaro, alongside a 0-0 draw with Monza. Pescara, on the other hand, struggle significantly on the road. Their away performance metrics from the last five games show a win rate of only 20%, with a 60% loss rate. They concede 2.00 goals per game away from home. While their attacking output has improved recently, scoring 1.00 goals per game away, the defensive frailty makes them vulnerable against organized units. Pescara have conceded in 80% of their last 10 games, with only 20% clean sheets. Their away form includes a 4-0 win against Bari, but also heavy losses like a 3-0 defeat to Modena and a 2-2 draw with Frosinone. When we look at the goal expectancy, Sudtirol's home defensive record of 0.60 conceded is a major dampener on the total goals market. Even if Pescara score 1.00 away on average, Sudtirol's ability to limit opponents to under 1.00 goals at home keeps the total count suppressed. The betting odds for Under 2.5 Goals sit at 1.90. Given Sudtirol's 1.80 goals per game average at home and their 50% clean sheet rate in the last 10 games, the probability of the match staying under 2.5 goals exceeds the bookmaker's implied probability. A 1-0 or 1-1 scoreline is a frequent outcome for this side. While Sudtirol are clear favorites to win on paper, their 40% home draw rate makes a straight Home Win risky at 1.73 odds. The value lies in the total goals market. Pescara's away defensive record is poor, but Sudtirol's home defensive solidity is the stronger trend. We expect a low-scoring affair where Sudtirol control the tempo without letting goals flow freely. Summary: We recommend the Under 2.5 Goals bet at 1.90 odds, based on Sudtirol's strong home defensive metrics and Pescara's volatile away record.

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