⚽️
Colombia1-0Congo DR
Sat, 18 Apr 2026, 17:30
Serie B
Italy
Italy
Full Time

Match Timeline

18'
Nicola Mosti
Normal Goal → Alessandro Gabrielloni
61'
Emanuele Torrasi🟨
Yellow Card
63'
Alessandro Gabrielloni🔄
Substitution 1 → Alvin Obinna Okoro
63'
Emanuele Torrasi🔄
Substitution 2 → Giuseppe Leone
72'
Salim Diakité🔄
Substitution 3 → Marco Varnier
79'
Mattia Liberali🔄
Substitution 1 → Rémi Oudin
79'
Ruggero Frosinini🔄
Substitution 2 → Patrick Amiamo Nuamah
84'
Tommaso Cassandro🟨
Yellow Card
84'
Marco Pompetti🔄
Substitution 3 → Davide Buglio
84'
Gabriele Alesi🔄
Substitution 4 → N'Dri Koffi
85'
Christian Pierobon🔄
Substitution 4 → Manuel Ricciardi
85'
Alessio Cacciamani🔄
Substitution 5 → Fabio Maistro
88'
Federico Di Francesco
Normal Goal → Matias Antonini
90'
Matias Antonini🔄
Substitution 5 → Ervin Bashi

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal5
0Shots off Goal5
7Total Shots14
4Blocked Shots4
5Shots insidebox8
2Shots outsidebox6
14Fouls14
3Corner Kicks4
2Offsides1
44Ball Possession56
1Yellow Cards1
4Goalkeeper Saves2
372Total passes471
311Passes accurate418
84Passes %89
0.63expected_goals0.72
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

Juve StabiaJuve Stabia1:1

Starting XI

1Alessandro ConfenteG
14Christian Dalle MuraD
77Alessio CacciamaniM
29Omar CorreiaF
9Alessandro GabrielloniF
33Andrea GiorginiD
10Christian PierobonM
46Salim DiakitéD
28Emanuele TorrasiM
98Nicola MostiM
24Lorenzo CarissoniM

CatanzaroCatanzaro1:1

Starting XI

22Mirko PigliacelliG
23Nicolo BrighentiD
94Federico Di FrancescoM
30Gabriele AlesiF
8Filippo PittarelloF
4Matias AntoniniD
21Marco PompettiM
14Mattia LiberaliF
84Tommaso CassandroD
32Fabio RispoliM
62Ruggero FrosininiM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Juve Stabia
Juve Stabia
Form: W-L-W-D-D
Catanzaro
Catanzaro
Form: D-D-D-L-W
Record
2 W
4 D
4 L
4 W
5 D
1 L
Goals Per Game
1.2
Scored
vs
2.1
Scored
1.4
Conceded
vs
1.6
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
10%
BTTS
70%
BTTS
90%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.6
Away:0.8
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:1.8
Scored
Home:2.0
Away:2.2
Conceded
Home:1.4
Away:1.8

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1588
Average
1580
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1610
↑ Momentum (+22)
1624
↑ Momentum (+44)
Expected Outcome
34%
Home Win
34%
Draw
32%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1508
Attack
1548
1539
Defence
1517
Recent Form
1523
Attack
1575
1530
Defence
1492
Post-Match Changes
-2
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Juve Stabia vs Catanzaro: Serie B Betting Preview
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.95
Expected Value:+20.9%
Confidence:7

Juve Stabia and Catanzaro meet in a pivotal Serie B fixture on April 18, 2026. Catanzaro enters the match in stronger form, sitting 5th in the table with 55 points, while Juve Stabia occupies 7th place with 48 points. The away side has accumulated 1.70 points per game over their last 10 matches, significantly outperforming Juve Stabia's 1.00 points per game. This form gap suggests Catanzaro holds the advantage, but the home venue offers Juve Stabia a platform to capitalize on their home scoring rate of 1.60 goals per game. The goal expectancy for this fixture is high. Based on current metrics, the expected goals are 1.70 for Juve Stabia and 1.60 for Catanzaro, totaling 3.30 goals. This aligns with the betting market's Over 2.5 Goals line at 1.95 odds. Catanzaro's away form shows they score 2.20 goals per game on the road, while Juve Stabia concedes 1.00 goals per game at home. Conversely, Catanzaro concedes 1.80 goals away, and Juve Stabia scores 1.60 goals at home. These splits strongly support a high-scoring outcome. Head-to-head history reveals a draw-heavy trend, with 6 draws in their last 10 meetings. However, recent form and goal metrics suggest a shift toward goals. Both teams have high Both Teams To Score (BTTS) rates—Juve Stabia at 70% and Catanzaro at 90% in their last 10 games. The combination of high scoring averages and BTTS frequency creates a compelling case for goals. While the historical H2H might suggest caution, the current statistical signals point to an Over 2.5 Goals outcome offering value. Key Points: - Catanzaro has superior form (1.70 PPG vs 1.00 PPG). - Goal expectancy totals 3.30, favoring Over 2.5 Goals. - Both teams show high BTTS rates (70% and 90%). - Odds of 1.95 offer value over the implied probability. Summary: The data supports an Over 2.5 Goals selection.

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