🟨
Colombia1-0Congo DR
Fri, 3 Apr 2026, 18:30
Full Time

Match Timeline

8'
O. Urso
Normal Goal
48'
I. Konate
Normal Goal
61'
A. Capello🔄
Substitution 1 → C. Morra
61'
A. Tribuzzi🔄
Substitution 2 → L. Caferri
68'
M. Kritta🔄
Substitution 1 → G. Pellegrino
69'
A. Mallamo🔄
Substitution 2 → G. Furrer
69'
T. Sandon🟨
Yellow Card
71'
A. Rada🔄
Substitution 3 → R. Talarico
71'
L. Zonta🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Vitale
78'
F. Costa🟥
Red Card
80'
L. Sipos🔄
Substitution 3 → D. Voltan
83'
L. Romani🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Ferrini
90+1'
M. Carraro🔄
Substitution 5 → M. Cavion

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Lecco
Lecco
Form: L-W-D-W-L
Vicenza Virtus
Vicenza Virtus
Form: D-W-W-W-L
Record
3 W
3 D
4 L
6 W
2 D
2 L
Goals Per Game
1.0
Scored
vs
1.5
Scored
1.3
Conceded
vs
0.9
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
40%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
40%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:0.4
Away:1.6
Conceded
Home:1.4
Away:1.2
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:2.0
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:0.6

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1583
Average
1719
Good
Short Term Elo Rating
1533
↓ Momentum (-51)
1775
↑ Momentum (+56)
Expected Outcome
23%
Home Win
27%
Draw
50%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1439
Attack
1579
1590
Defence
1658
Recent Form
1378
Attack
1571
1577
Defence
1646
Post-Match Changes
+15
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Lecco vs Vicenza Virtus Betting Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.05
Expected Value:+43.5%
Confidence:7

The upcoming Serie C - Girone A fixture between Lecco and Vicenza Virtus offers a clear statistical edge for the away side. Vicenza Virtus currently dominates the league standings, sitting in first place with 82 points from 34 matches, boasting 25 wins and only 2 losses. Lecco trails significantly in third place with 57 points, having secured 16 wins and 9 draws. This 25-point gap highlights the difference in consistency between the two squads. Analyzing recent form reveals a stark contrast in venue performance. Vicenza Virtus has been flawless on the road, winning all of their last 5 away games. During this run, they averaged 2.00 goals scored per game and conceded only 0.60. Conversely, Lecco has struggled to find success at home, recording zero wins in their last 5 home fixtures. Their home attack is particularly weak, averaging just 0.40 goals per game, while their defense has conceded 1.40 goals per game. Head-to-head history reinforces the away advantage. In the last 5 meetings, Vicenza Virtus has won 3 times compared to Lecco's single victory. The most recent clash on 2025-11-30 ended 0-1 to Vicenza. Goal expectancy models project a total of 2.20 goals (Home 0.50, Away 1.70), suggesting a tighter contest than the odds might imply for Over 2.5 Goals. Betting markets currently list the Away Win at 2.05 odds. This implies a probability of approximately 48.8%. However, considering Vicenza's perfect away record and Lecco's home winless streak, the actual probability of an Away Win is estimated at 70%. This discrepancy creates a substantial edge well above the required 6% threshold. The combination of league position, venue-specific form, and head-to-head dominance makes the Away Win the most statistically sound selection. Key Points: * Vicenza leads Serie C - Girone A with 82 points. * Vicenza has a 100% win rate in last 5 away games. * Lecco has a 0% win rate in last 5 home games. * Head-to-head record favors Vicenza (3 wins vs 1). * Goal expectancy totals 2.20, supporting Under 2.5 Goals. Recommended Bet: Away Win @ 2.05.

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