⚽️
Ulaanbaatar2-0Khangarid
Mon, 6 Apr 2026, 12:30
Full Time

Match Timeline

22'
G. Carriero🟨
Yellow Card
46'
A. Prisco🟨
Yellow Card
46'
F. Berra🔄
Substitution 1 → E. Matino
68'
F. Salvemini
Penalty
70'
M. Tascone🟨
Yellow Card
72'
M. Tumminello🟨
Yellow Card
73'
G. Carriero🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Antonucci
77'
R. Di Vico🔄
Substitution 3 → K. de Boer
79'
D. Lamesta🔄
Substitution 1 → C. Kouan
84'
M. Tumminello🔄
Substitution 2 → D. Borghini
84'
M. Della Morte🔄
Substitution 3 → G. Mignani
86'
A. Anastasio🔄
Substitution 4 → L. Boncori
89'
E. Pierozzi🔄
Substitution 4 → R. Romano
89'
A. Prisco🔄
Substitution 5 → A. Talia
90+10'
I. Achik🟨
Yellow Card

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Salernitana
Salernitana
Form: L-W-W-W-L
Benevento
Benevento
Form: D-L-W-W-W
Record
4 W
2 D
4 L
7 W
2 D
1 L
Goals Per Game
1.1
Scored
vs
1.7
Scored
1.1
Conceded
vs
0.6
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
50%
BTTS
40%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.4
Away:0.8
Conceded
Home:0.6
Away:1.6
Scored
Home:1.2
Away:2.2
Conceded
Home:0.6
Away:0.6

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1558
Average
1666
Good
Short Term Elo Rating
1596
↑ Momentum (+38)
1730
↑ Momentum (+64)
Expected Outcome
25%
Home Win
29%
Draw
46%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1495
Attack
1570
1571
Defence
1645
Recent Form
1500
Attack
1592
1587
Defence
1657
Post-Match Changes
-11
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Salernitana vs Benevento Betting Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.10
Expected Value:+15.5%
Confidence:70

The Serie C - Girone C clash between Salernitana and Benevento presents a clear disparity in current form and league position. Benevento sits comfortably at the top of the table with 77 points from 34 games, while Salernitana trails in third place with 60 points. This 17-point gap highlights the difference in consistency and quality between the two sides. Looking at recent form, Benevento is in exceptional shape. In their last 10 matches, they have secured 7 wins, 2 draws, and only 1 loss, averaging 2.30 points per game. Their away performance is particularly strong, boasting an 80% win rate in their last 5 away games. They are scoring at a rate of 2.20 goals per game on the road while keeping a tight defense, conceding just 0.60 goals per game away from home. Salernitana, the home side, has shown mixed results recently. Their last 10 games yield 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses. While they have a respectable 60% win rate at home in their last 5 fixtures, their overall consistency lags behind the league leaders. Their home goal expectancy is 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, which is decent but not as robust as Benevento's away metrics. Head-to-head history heavily favors the visitors. In the last 5 meetings, Benevento has won 4 times and drawn 1, without a single loss to Salernitana. The most recent encounter ended in a heavy 5-1 defeat for Salernitana. This psychological edge is significant. Historical scores include 1-5, 0-4, 0-2, and 0-1, showing a clear pattern of dominance. Mathematically, the goal expectancy for this fixture suggests a total of 2.40 goals (1.00 for Salernitana, 1.40 for Benevento). While this is close to the 2.5 line, the H2H data shows a high-scoring trend with an average of 2.8 goals per game in their last 5 meetings. However, the primary signal remains the match winner. Given Benevento's dominant league position, superior away form, and overwhelming head-to-head record, the value lies with the visitors. The odds for an Away Win are 2.10, implying a 47.6% probability. Based on the data, the true probability appears to be around 55%, offering a clear edge. Key Points: - Benevento leads the table with 77 points; Salernitana is 3rd with 60. - Benevento has an 80% win rate in their last 5 away games. - H2H record shows Benevento dominance (4 wins in last 5 meetings). - Salernitana's home form is solid but inferior to Benevento's away form. - Goal expectancy is 2.40 total, but H2H suggests higher scoring. Summary: The data strongly points to a Benevento victory. Recommended Bet: Benevento Away Win.

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