Audace Cerignola hosts Latina in a crucial Serie C - Girone C fixture on 2026-04-06. The standings show a significant gap between the two sides, with Audace Cerignola sitting in 8th place with 51 points, while Latina languishes in 14th with 35 points. This 16-point separation suggests a clear difference in quality and consistency. Audace Cerignola's home form is particularly impressive. In their last 5 home games, they have achieved a 100% win rate, scoring an average of 2.20 goals per game while conceding just 1.00. Conversely, Latina has struggled on the road, recording a 0% win rate in their last 5 away matches, conceding 2.00 goals per game away from home. This contrast in venue performance is a strong signal for the home side. The head-to-head record heavily favors Audace Cerignola. In 7 total matches, Audace has won 5, with only 1 draw and 1 loss for Latina. Specifically, Audace has won all 3 home meetings against Latina, including a 2-0 victory in their last encounter on 2025-11-30. This historical dominance at home provides a solid foundation for a home win prediction. Goal expectancy models suggest a total of 3.10 goals (Home 2.10, Away 1.00), which aligns with Audace's high home scoring rate. The betting odds for a Home Win are 1.90, implying a 52.6% probability. Given Audace's perfect home record against Latina and their strong recent home form, the true probability appears higher, creating value. The Over 2.5 Goals market is also attractive at 2.20, but the Home Win offers a more direct correlation with the team's dominance. Latina's recent form is mixed, with only 3 wins in their last 10 games, and their away defensive record is concerning. Audace, meanwhile, has secured 5 wins in their last 10 games overall, with a 1.60 points per game average. The combination of standings, home/away splits, and H2H dominance makes the home win the most logical selection. Key Points: - Audace Cerignola has a 100% win rate in their last 5 home games. - Latina has a 0% win rate in their last 5 away games. - Head-to-Head record shows Audace winning 5 of 7 matches, including 3-0 at home. - Standings gap is 16 points (51 vs 35). - Goal expectancy favors a high-scoring home performance. Based on the data, the recommended bet is Audace Cerignola to Win.