🟨
ÅIFK0-0P-Iirot
Sat, 22 Nov 2025, 06:00
A-League
Australia
Australia
Full Time

Match Timeline

1'
Bozhidar Kraev
Normal Goal
9'
Lucas Mauragis
Normal Goal → Bailey Brandtman
11'
Kosta Barbarouses
Normal Goal
20'
Alex Gersbach
Penalty confirmed
23'
Kosta Barbarouses
Penalty
36'
Brad Tapp
Penalty confirmed
39'
Alfie McCalmont
Penalty
45+1'
Bailey Brandtman🟨
Yellow Card
46'
Harrison Steele🔄
Substitution 1 → James Donachie
53'
Anthony Pantazopoulos🟨
Yellow Card
55'
Aidan Simmons🟨
Yellow Card
65'
Nicholas Duarte🔄
Substitution 2 → Ryan Edmondson
65'
Bailey Brandtman🔄
Substitution 3 → Christian Theoharous
68'
Aidan Simmons🔄
Substitution 1 → Gabriel Cléúr
69'
Joshua Brillante🔄
Substitution 2 → Dylan Scicluna
74'
Miguel Di Pizio🔄
Substitution 4 → Arthur De Lima
78'
Steven Ugarković🔄
Substitution 3 → Jarrod Carluccio
85'
Sabit James Ngor🔄
Substitution 5 → Abdul Faisal
90'
Kosta Barbarouses🔄
Substitution 4 → Awan Lual
90+1'
Jarrod Carluccio🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal4
7Shots off Goal2
13Total Shots8
2Blocked Shots2
11Shots insidebox5
2Shots outsidebox3
9Fouls8
2Corner Kicks3
1Offsides1
49Ball Possession51
3Yellow Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves1
419Total passes438
359Passes accurate382
86Passes %87

Starting Lineups

Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney Wanderers1:1

Starting XI

20Lawrence ThomasG
3Alex GersbachD
23Bozhidar KraevM
45Alou KuolF
4Alex BonetigD
32Angus ThurgateM
9Kosta BarbarousesF
22Anthony PantazopoulosD
25Joshua BrillanteM
31Aidan SimmonsD
8Steven UgarkovićM

Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast Mariners1:1

Starting XI

30Andrew RedmayneG
5Lucas MauragisD
37Bailey BrandtmanM
10Miguel Di PizioF
3Nathan PaullD
8Alfie McCalmontM
14Nicholas DuarteF
26Brad TappD
16Harrison SteeleM
15Storm RouxD
11Sabit James NgorM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Record
3 W
3 D
4 L
2 W
3 D
5 L
Goals Per Game
1.2
Scored
vs
1.0
Scored
1.3
Conceded
vs
2.0
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
10%
BTTS
50%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.3
Away:1.1
Conceded
Home:1.7
Away:1.1
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:0.2
Conceded
Home:1.8
Away:2.2

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1484
Average
1511
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1498
↑ Momentum (+14)
1481
↓ Momentum (-30)
Expected Outcome
31%
Home Win
33%
Draw
36%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1545
Attack
1481
1521
Defence
1501
Recent Form
1567
Attack
1456
1543
Defence
1465
Post-Match Changes
+14
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Mariners' Away Woes Create BTTS Value
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_NO
Odds:2.20
Expected Value:+5.6%

This A-League clash pits two teams heading in opposite directions, with the bottom-dwelling Western Sydney Wanderers hosting a Central Coast Mariners side that sits fifth but has serious away-day issues. The data tells a fascinating story that smart bettors can exploit. Western Sydney come into this match in dreadful form, sitting 11th in the table with just 2 points from 4 games. Their recent results show a team struggling to convert draws into wins - they've managed two 1-1 draws against Macarthur and Melbourne City but suffered defeats to Adelaide (2-0) and Auckland (1-0). At home, their record is particularly concerning with 0 wins in their last 3 home matches, though they have shown some resilience with draws. Central Coast, meanwhile, occupy 5th place with 7 points and have shown more attacking intent in their recent matches. They've scored in 3 of their last 4 A-League games, including a 3-2 win over Newcastle Jets and a 1-1 draw with Wellington Phoenix. However, their away form tells a completely different story - they've lost 4 of their last 5 away matches and are averaging just 0.2 goals per game on the road. That's not a typo - they've been virtually toothless away from home. The head-to-head record slightly favors Central Coast (5 wins to 2), but Western Sydney have managed to score in most of these encounters. The key statistical insight here is Central Coast's away attacking impotence. When you're averaging 0.2 goals per game away from home and failing to score in 80% of your away matches, that's a massive red flag. Looking at the goal expectations, Western Sydney should score around 1.77 goals at home while Central Coast might manage just 0.93. The Mariners' defensive record away from home is also poor (2.20 goals conceded per game), but their attack is the real concern. The betting market has priced this as a relatively low-scoring affair, and I believe there's specific value in the Both Teams to Score - No market. Central Coast's away scoring record is so poor that they're likely to struggle to find the net, while Western Sydney's attack isn't exactly prolific either. Key Points: • Central Coast averaging just 0.2 goals per game away from home • Mariners have failed to score in 4 of last 5 away matches (80% failure rate) • Western Sydney have 0% home win rate in last 3 home games • Both teams have 50% BTTS rates in recent matches • Head-to-head shows Central Coast edge but Western Sydney usually score Given Central Coast's chronic away scoring problems and the generous odds on offer, Both Teams to Score - No represents the best value in this market.

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