⚽️
Kaspij Aktau 23-0Ekibastuz
Wed, 3 Dec 2025, 23:00
Serie A
Brazil
Brazil
Full Time

Match Timeline

21'
Sabino
Normal Goal → Ferreira
33'
A. Franco🔄
Substitution 1 → Robert Arboleda
45+3'
Maik
Normal Goal → D. Bobadilla
46'
Juninho🔄
Substitution 1 → R. Borre
48'
Luciano
Normal Goal → Marcos Antonio
62'
D. Bobadilla🟨
Yellow Card
66'
G. Mercado🟨
Yellow Card
66'
A. Rodriguez🔄
Substitution 2 → Ricardo Mathias
72'
D. Bobadilla🔄
Substitution 2 → Alisson
79'
Thiago Maia🔄
Substitution 3 → Richard
81'
Luciano🔄
Substitution 3 → Pedro Ferreira
82'
Ferreira🔄
Substitution 4 → Lucca Marques
82'
Marcos Antonio🔄
Substitution 5 → Pablo Maia
83'
Vitinho🔄
Substitution 4 → Bruno Henrique
83'
Alan Patrick🔄
Substitution 5 → Bruno Tabata
90+4'
Vitao🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

7Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal5
12Total Shots14
1Blocked Shots5
8Shots insidebox3
4Shots outsidebox11
16Fouls20
4Corner Kicks9
0Offsides2
56Ball Possession44
1Yellow Cards2
4Goalkeeper Saves4
393Total passes298
320Passes accurate221
81Passes %74
1.27expected_goals0.41
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

Sao PauloSao Paulo1:1

Starting XI

23RafaelG
35SabinoD
11FerreirinhaM
14Gonzalo TapiaF
28Alan FrancoD
20Marcos AntônioM
10LucianoF
2Rafael TolóiD
16Luiz GustavoM
21Damián BobadillaM
42MaikM

InternacionalInternacional1:1

Starting XI

1Sergio RochetG
18JuninhoD
26Alexandro BernabeiM
10Alan PatrickF
25Gabriel MercadoD
29Thiago MaiaM
28VitinhoF
4VitãoD
15Bruno GomesM
35Braian AguirreD
14Alan RodríguezM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
Form: L-W-L-L-D
Internacional
Internacional
Form: L-D-W-D-L
Record
3 W
1 D
6 L
2 W
3 D
5 L
Goals Per Game
1.1
Scored
vs
0.9
Scored
2.1
Conceded
vs
1.5
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
40%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.6
Away:0.6
Conceded
Home:1.4
Away:2.8
Scored
Home:1.3
Away:0.7
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:2.0

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1622
Good
1600
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1623
↑ Momentum (+1)
1576
↓ Momentum (-24)
Expected Outcome
35%
Home Win
34%
Draw
31%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1538
Attack
1531
1555
Defence
1540
Recent Form
1555
Attack
1513
1531
Defence
1519
Post-Match Changes
+9
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Defensive Woes Set Up Goal-Fest Encounter
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:2.35
Expected Value:+5.8%

This clash between two out-of-form sides promises goals, with both teams struggling defensively in recent weeks. Sao Paulo sits 8th in the table but has been woeful lately, losing 6 of their last 10 games including a humiliating 6-0 thrashing at Fluminense. Their defensive record reads 21 goals conceded in 10 matches - an alarming 2.10 per game. Internacional's position is even more precarious at 17th, with just 41 points. Their away form has been particularly dreadful, winning only 16.67% of their away matches and scoring a paltry 0.67 goals per game on the road. They were recently hammered 5-1 by Vasco DA Gama, highlighting their defensive frailties. The head-to-head record is relatively even (Sao Paulo leads 4-3), but crucially, the last meeting saw Sao Paulo edge a 2-1 victory. Both teams have been shipping goals regularly, with Sao Paulo conceding 2+ goals in 7 of their last 10 matches, while Internacional have let in 2+ goals in 5 of their last 10. Statistically, Internacional actually takes more shots (13.6 vs 10.8) but with lower accuracy (32.3% vs 34.2%). Sao Paulo enjoys slightly more possession (53.2% vs 51.9%) but both sides have been wasteful in front of goal. With both defenses leaking like sieves and the goal expectancy pointing towards 2.83 goals, this match has all the ingredients for an over 2.5 goals outcome. Neither side can afford to lose, but their defensive records suggest goals are inevitable.

Read Full Preview →