🟨
Birmingham Legion0-0Louisville City
Sun, 23 Nov 2025, 20:30
Full Time

Match Timeline

31'
Edwuin Cetré
Normal Goal → Tiago Palacios
60'
Santiago Núñez🔄
Substitution 1 → Facundo Rodríguez
65'
Facundo Farías🔄
Substitution 2 → Lucas Alario
69'
Gaspar Duarte🔄
Substitution 1 → Maximiliano Lovera
69'
Tomás O'Connor🔄
Substitution 2 → Franco Ibarra
70'
Jaminton Campaz🔄
Substitution 3 → Giovanni Cantizano
70'
Edwuin Cetré🔄
Substitution 3 → Alexis Castro
70'
Tiago Palacios🔄
Substitution 4 → Gastón Benedetti
71'
Ezequiel Piovi🔄
Substitution 5 → Joaquín Tobio Burgos
76'
Ángel Di María🟨
Yellow Card
77'
Federico Navarro🔄
Substitution 4 → Enzo Copetti
80'
Mikel Amondarain🟨
Yellow Card
81'
Lucas Alario🟨
Yellow Card
90+1'
Mikel Amondarain🟨
Yellow Card
90+1'
Mikel Amondarain🟥
Red Card
90+4'
Alexis Castro🟨
Yellow Card
90+5'
Fernando Muslera🟨
Yellow Card
90+8'
Cristian Medina🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal3
9Shots off Goal3
16Total Shots8
4Blocked Shots2
8Shots insidebox4
8Shots outsidebox4
10Fouls24
3Corner Kicks1
3Offsides1
66Ball Possession34
1Yellow Cards6
0Red Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves3
433Total passes242
381Passes accurate177
88Passes %73
0.61expected_goals0.48
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

Rosario CentralRosario Central1:1

Starting XI

1Jorge BrounG
3Agustín SándezD
31Federico NavarroM
8Jaminton CampazM
9Alejo VélizF
6Juan Cruz KomarD
30Tomás O'ConnorM
11Ángel Di MaríaF
46Ignacio OvandoD
27Gaspar DuarteM
16Enzo GiménezD

Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1:1

Starting XI

28Fernando MusleraG
15Santiago ArzamendiaD
21Ezequiel PioviM
18Edwuin CetréM
11Facundo FaríasF
14Leandro González PírezD
32Mikel AmondarainM
25Cristian MedinaM
6Santiago NúñezD
10Tiago PalaciosM
4Román GómezD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Rosario Central
Rosario Central
Form: L-D-W-W-W
Estudiantes L.P.
Estudiantes L.P.
Form: L-L-L-W-D
Record
6 W
3 D
1 L
3 W
3 D
4 L
Goals Per Game
1.4
Scored
vs
1.0
Scored
0.6
Conceded
vs
1.0
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
40%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
50%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:1.8
Conceded
Home:0.6
Away:0.6
Scored
Home:1.2
Away:0.8
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:1.3

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1628
Good
1587
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1668
↑ Momentum (+39)
1565
↓ Momentum (-21)
Expected Outcome
38%
Home Win
32%
Draw
30%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1502
Attack
1513
1664
Defence
1531
Recent Form
1484
Attack
1509
1699
Defence
1531
Post-Match Changes
-18
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Rosario Central Look to Extend Title Charge vs Struggling Estudiantes
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:2.15
Expected Value:+7.5%
Confidence:75

This Liga Profesional clash pits the league leaders Rosario Central against an out-of-form Estudiantes L.P. side, and the data points firmly toward a home advantage. Rosario Central have been exceptional this season, sitting top of the table with just one defeat in 16 matches. Their recent form shows 6 wins from their last 10 games, with a stellar defensive record conceding only 0.6 goals per game. They've kept 4 clean sheets in that period and have shown resilience against quality opposition, including impressive wins over River Plate (2-1) and Velez Sarsfield (2-1 away). While they did suffer a setback losing 1-0 to Independiente in their last outing, their overall body of work remains outstanding. Estudiantes L.P., by contrast, are struggling badly. They've managed only 3 wins from their last 10 matches and are winless in their last 4 league games, losing 3 of those. Their away form is particularly concerning - they haven't won any of their last 4 away matches, drawing 2 and losing 2. They're averaging just 0.75 goals scored away from home while conceding 1.25 per game. Recent defeats to Argentinos JRS (1-2), Tigre (0-1), and Boca Juniors (1-2) highlight their current struggles. The head-to-head record is evenly balanced historically (2-2-4), but Rosario won the most recent encounter 2-0 and have a decent home record against Estudiantes (2W-2D-1L). The statistical picture shows Rosario's defensive solidity (0.6 GA per game) should contain Estudiantes' limited away attack (0.75 GF per game away). With Rosario averaging 2.10 points per game compared to Estudiantes' 1.20, and the home side's superior form and defensive record, the value lies with backing the league leaders to maintain their title charge.

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