⚽️
Deren2-0Central Stallions
Mon, 1 Dec 2025, 20:00
Full Time

Match Timeline

22'
Manuel Panaro
Normal Goal
25'
Manuel Panaro
Goal confirmed
46'
Siro Rosane🔄
Substitution 1 → Dardo Miloc
46'
Iván Tapia🔄
Substitution 2 → Jhonatan Candia
49'
Facundo Bruera🟨
Yellow Card
62'
Rafael Barrios🔄
Substitution 3 → Manuel Duarte
64'
Enzo Martínez🟨
Yellow Card
65'
Jeremías Merlo🔄
Substitution 1 → Franco Torres
76'
Manuel Panaro🔄
Substitution 2 → Norberto Briasco
76'
Bautista Merlini🔄
Substitution 3 → Lucas Castro
83'
Ignacio Tapia🔄
Substitution 4 → Maximiliano Puig
83'
Nicolas Capraro🔄
Substitution 5 → Nahuel Barrios
90'
Juan Pintado🔄
Substitution 4 → Fabricio Corbalan
90'
Marcelo Torres🔄
Substitution 5 → Germán Conti
90+3'
Franco Torres
Normal Goal

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal7
15Total Shots12
7Blocked Shots1
12Shots insidebox10
3Shots outsidebox2
13Fouls11
4Corner Kicks6
0Offsides1
59Ball Possession41
1Yellow Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves5
488Total passes337
403Passes accurate265
83Passes %79
1.28expected_goals2.58
1goals_prevented1

Starting Lineups

Barracas CentralBarracas Central1:1

Starting XI

30Marcelo Agustín MiñoG
31Nicolás DemartiniD
6Rodrigo InsúaM
21Ignacio TapiaF
7Facundo BrueraF
32Fernando TobioD
23Iván TapiaM
19Tomás PorraF
2Nicolas CapraroD
8Siro RosaneM
13Rafael BarriosM

Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1:1

Starting XI

23Nelson InsfránG
14Pedro SilvaD
17Nicolas SchelottoM
24Jeremías MerloM
32Marcelo TorresF
21Enzo MartínezD
16Augusto MaxM
8Bautista MerliniM
4Renzo GiampaoliD
38Manuel PanaroM
15Juan PintadoD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Barracas Central
Barracas Central
Form: D-D-D-W-L
Gimnasia L.P.
Gimnasia L.P.
Form: W-W-W-W-L
Record
1 W
7 D
2 L
5 W
1 D
4 L
Goals Per Game
0.8
Scored
vs
1.0
Scored
0.9
Conceded
vs
1.0
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
40%
Clean Sheets
50%
BTTS
50%
BTTS
20%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:0.6
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:0.6
Scored
Home:0.8
Away:1.2
Conceded
Home:1.5
Away:0.7

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1489
Average
1512
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1501
↑ Momentum (+12)
1500
↓ Momentum (-12)
Expected Outcome
31%
Home Win
34%
Draw
35%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1459
Attack
1416
1560
Defence
1583
Recent Form
1476
Attack
1406
1579
Defence
1592
Post-Match Changes
-13
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Gimnasia's Hot Form vs Barracas' Draw Struggles
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:3.60
Expected Value:+36.8%

This Liga Profesional clash presents a fascinating contrast in form and momentum. Barracas Central come into this match having managed just one victory in their last ten games, with their recent results telling a story of frustrating draws rather than defeats. Their last five matches have all ended in draws except for a single 2-0 home win against Argentinos JRS, with recent scorelines including 0-0 against Deportivo Riestra and Union Santa Fe, plus 1-1 draws with Huracan and Belgrano Cordoba. In stark contrast, Gimnasia L.P. arrive on the back of a four-game winning streak that has showcased their ability to beat quality opposition. Their recent victories include impressive performances: a 2-1 away win at Union Santa Fe, a 3-0 demolition of Platense, a solid 2-0 home victory over Velez Sarsfield, and a crucial 1-0 away triumph at River Plate. This run demonstrates both attacking prowess and defensive solidity. The head-to-head record heavily favors Gimnasia, who have won four of the six meetings between these sides. Barracas have only managed one victory against Gimnasia, and even at home, their record stands at just one win, one draw, and two losses. Statistical analysis reveals Barracas' struggles in front of goal, averaging only 0.8 goals per game over their last ten matches. Their home form has been particularly concerning, with just a 20% win rate at their own ground. Meanwhile, Gimnasia have been excellent travelers, winning 66.67% of their away games while scoring 1.17 goals per match and conceding only 0.67. The goal expectancy figures (Home 0.83, Away 1.18) suggest this could be a low-scoring affair, but Gimnasia's current momentum and superior away form give them a significant edge. Barracas' tendency to draw rather than lose might keep the scoreline tight, but Gimnasia's winning mentality should prove decisive. Key Points: - Barracas Central have won just 1 of their last 10 matches (1W-7D-2L) - Gimnasia L.P. are on a 4-game winning streak with wins over River Plate and Velez Sarsfield - Head-to-head record heavily favors Gimnasia: 4W-1D-1L in 6 meetings - Gimnasia have excellent away form: 66.67% win rate on the road - Barracas have poor home form with only 20% win rate at their stadium - Goal expectancy suggests low-scoring game: Home 0.83, Away 1.18 Given the stark contrast in current form, Gimnasia's superior away record, and their dominance in head-to-head encounters, the away win offers excellent value at 3.60 odds. Barracas' draw-heavy approach might keep them in the game, but Gimnasia's winning momentum should see them through.

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