Match Timeline
Jímer Fory🟨
Matthew Evans🟨Thomas Hasal🔄Kristoffer Velde⚽Mathieu Choinière🔄Jude Terry⚽Matthew Evans🔄Kenny Nielsen🔄Artem Smoliakov🟨Jímer Fory🔄Denis Bouanga🔄Antony Alves🔄Artem Smoliakov🔄Kristoffer Velde🟨Ryan Porteous⚽Cole Bassett🔄Felipe Mora🔄Kristoffer Velde🔄Kevin Kelsy⚽Match Statistics
Starting Lineups
Portland Timbers1:1
Starting XI
Los Angeles FC1:1
Starting XI
Head-to-Head
📈 Team Form & Statistics
ELO comparison
Pre-match ratings
 Portland TimbersHome | Rating |  Los Angeles FCAway |
|---|---|---|
| Strength | ||
| 1,436.9 | Overall | 1,658.9 |
| 1,559.2 | Match venue | 1,576.4 |
| 1,559.2 | At home | 1,671.3 |
| 1,391.9 | Away | 1,576.4 |
| Attack & defence | ||
| 1,468.7 | Attack | 1,585 |
| 1,459.5 | Defence | 1,636.9 |
| 1,540.8 | Home attack | 1,575 |
| 1,424.7 | Away attack | 1,566.3 |
| 1,484.1 | Home defence | 1,651.4 |
| 1,456.1 | Away defence | 1,552.1 |
| Match profile | ||
| 2,250 | Goal environment | 2,146.7 |
| 1,836.7 | Home goals | 1,870 |
| 1,913.3 | Away goals | 1,776.7 |
| 1,486.7 | Possession | 1,497 |
| Specialist ratings | ||
| 1,459 | Set-piece attack | 1,510.6 |
| 1,460.7 | Set-piece defence | 1,510.4 |
| 1,465 | Close games | 1,540.9 |
| 1,421.8 | Winning margin | 1,701.9 |
Match venue compares Portland Timbers at home with Los Angeles FC away. All ratings are within this league.
Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.
📝 Match Preview
The Major League Soccer fixture between Portland Timbers and Los Angeles FC presents a stark contrast in form and league standing. Los Angeles FC sits comfortably at the top of the Western Conference table with 16 points from 6 games, boasting an unbeaten run of 10 matches (8 wins, 2 draws). In contrast, the Portland Timbers are struggling in 14th place with just 4 points from 6 games and a win rate of only 20% over their last 10 matches. Los Angeles FC's defensive solidity is the standout statistic. They have conceded just 0.20 goals per game across their last 10 fixtures, maintaining an 80% clean sheet rate. Their away performance remains robust, with a 66.67% win rate on the road and an average of 1.33 goals scored per away game. The goal expectancy data supports a tight defensive display, with a combined expected goal total of 2.04 (Home 0.67, Away 1.37). The head-to-head record heavily favors Los Angeles FC, who have won 5 of the last 9 meetings, compared to Portland's 2 wins. Portland's home form is inconsistent; they have won only 20% of their last 5 home games and conceded 1.40 goals per game at their venue. Their recent results show a loss to Vancouver Whitecaps and a draw against Los Angeles Galaxy, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. Betting markets reflect the disparity in strength. The odds for an Away Win sit at 1.67, implying a probability of roughly 60%. Given LAFC's dominance in form, league position, and head-to-head history, the true probability of an LAFC victory appears significantly higher, offering a clear value edge. While goal expectancy suggests Under 2.5 Goals might also be viable, the Away Win provides the most reliable signal based on the comprehensive dataset. Key Points: - Los Angeles FC is 1st in the league (16 pts), Portland is 14th (4 pts). - LAFC is unbeaten in last 10 games (8W, 2D). Portland has won only 2 of last 10. - LAFC concedes 0.20 goals/game; Portland concedes 2.10 goals/game. - Head-to-Head: LAFC leads 5 wins to Portland's 2. - Goal Expectancy: Home 0.67, Away 1.37 (Total 2.04). Summary: The data strongly supports an Away Win for Los Angeles FC given their superior form and defensive record. The odds of 1.67 offer value against the implied probability.
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