🟨
Colombia1-0Congo DR
Sat, 9 May 2026, 20:30
Full Time

Match Timeline

62'
Eduard Atuesta🟨
Yellow Card
67'
Tyrese Spicer🔄
Substitution 1 → Duncan McGuire
79'
Iván Jaime🔄
Substitution 1 → Noah Streit
80'
Justin Ellis🔄
Substitution 2 → David Brekalo
85'
Prince Owusu🔄
Substitution 2 → Daniel Rios
86'
Samuel Piette🔄
Substitution 3 → Olger Escobar
90'
Wikelman Carmona🔄
Substitution 4 → Dagur Dan Þórhallsson
90'
Adrián Marín🔄
Substitution 3 → Tiago Souza
90'
Griffin Dorsey🔄
Substitution 4 → Zakaria Taifi
90+4'
Daniel Rios
Penalty
90+6'
Iago Silva🟨
Yellow Card
90+8'
Dagur Dan Þórhallsson
Normal Goal → Victor Loturi

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal3
10Shots off Goal3
23Total Shots8
8Blocked Shots2
12Shots insidebox5
11Shots outsidebox3
10Fouls16
11Corner Kicks3
1Offsides1
53Ball Possession47
0Yellow Cards2
3Goalkeeper Saves2
428Total passes394
369Passes accurate337
86Passes %86
2.15expected_goals0.62
-0.83goals_prevented-0.83

Starting Lineups

CF MontrealCF MontrealUnknown

Starting XI

31Thomas GillierG
27Dawid BugajD
5Brandan CraigD
24Efraín MoralesD
13Luca PetrassoD
22Victor LoturiM
6Samuel PietteM
8Matthew LongstaffM
16Wikelman CarmonaF
9Prince OwusuF
10Iván JaimeF

Orlando City SCOrlando City SCUnknown

Starting XI

71Maxime CrépeauG
24Griffin DorseyD
57Iago SilvaD
6Robin JanssonD
3Adrián MarínD
77Iván AnguloD
8Braian OjedaM
20Eduard AtuestaM
14Tyrese SpicerM
10Martín OjedaF
22Justin EllisF

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

CF Montreal
CF Montreal
Form: W-L-W-W-L
Orlando City SC
Orlando City SC
Form: W-W-L-W-L
Record
4 W
0 D
6 L
5 W
1 D
4 L
Goals Per Game
1.9
Scored
vs
1.8
Scored
1.8
Conceded
vs
2.4
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
10%
BTTS
50%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.8
Away:1.3
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:2.5
Scored
Home:2.0
Away:1.7
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:3.0

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1466
Average
1524
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1431
↓ Momentum (-35)
1513
↓ Momentum (-11)
Expected Outcome
29%
Home Win
31%
Draw
40%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1441
Attack
1547
1433
Defence
1451
Recent Form
1425
Attack
1558
1402
Defence
1389
Post-Match Changes
+15
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

CF Montreal vs Orlando City SC: MLS Betting Preview
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.53
Expected Value:+19.3%
Confidence:7

CF Montreal host Orlando City SC in a Major League Soccer clash that promises plenty of attacking action. The hosts are riding a wave of positive momentum, fresh off a commanding 5-0 victory over Calgary Blizzard SC in the Canadian Championship. Across their last 10 matches, CF Montreal have secured 4 wins and conceded 18 goals while finding the net 19 times. At home, their record is particularly striking: a 75% win rate over their last 4 home fixtures, averaging an impressive 2.75 goals scored and just 0.75 goals conceded per match. Their shot accuracy at home sits at a sharp 60.3%, indicating clinical finishing when operating in front of their own fans. Orlando City SC arrive with a mixed but potent offensive display. In their last 10 games, they have won 5, drawn 1, and lost 4, scoring 18 goals while conceding 24. On the road, Orlando have maintained a 42.86% win rate, averaging 1.71 goals scored but leaking 3.00 goals conceded per away match. Their recent form shows a clear upward trajectory in goals scored, highlighted by back-to-back high-scoring wins: a 4-3 victory over Inter Miami and a 4-3 win against New England Revolution. Orlando's away shot accuracy hovers around 42.6%, and they consistently generate over 9 shots per game on the road. Head-to-head history between these two sides is closely contested, with 3 wins each and 4 draws across 10 meetings. The last encounter on March 14 ended 2-1 to Orlando, but that result came during a tougher patch for the hosts. Since then, CF Montreal's defensive structure has tightened significantly at home, while their attack has found its rhythm. The mathematical trends strongly favor a high-scoring affair. Goal expectancy models project 2.88 goals for CF Montreal and 1.23 for Orlando City SC, summing to a projected total of 4.11 goals. This aligns perfectly with the recent trend of both teams participating in matches that regularly exceed the 2.5 goal threshold. The betting market prices Over 2.5 Goals at 1.53, which implies a 65.35% probability. Given the combined goal expectancy of 4.11 and the historical trend of both teams playing in open, attacking matches, the statistical probability of clearing 2.5 goals sits comfortably above 75%. This creates a clear value opportunity. Both teams have shown they can score and concede in high volumes, and the venue analysis confirms CF Montreal's home attack is firing on all cylinders. Key Points: - CF Montreal average 2.75 goals per home game and have won 3 of their last 4 home matches. - Orlando City SC concede 3.00 goals per away game and recently won two consecutive matches with 3+ goals each. - Combined goal expectancy reaches 4.11, strongly supporting a high-scoring outcome. - Market odds of 1.53 for Over 2.5 Goals offer solid value against the statistical probability. Given the robust attacking form, defensive vulnerabilities on the road, and clear statistical indicators, the recommended play is Over 2.5 Goals.

Read Full Preview →