⚽️
Penafiel2-0Sporting CP B
Wed, 19 Aug 2026, 23:30
Full Time

Match Timeline

11'
I. Vassilev
Normal Goal → F. Westfield
21'
D. Pinter
Normal Goal → L. Suarez
26'
L. Messi
Normal Goal → I. Fray
43'
K. Wagner🟨
Yellow Card
50'
S. Reguilon🟨
Yellow Card
55'
I. Fray🟨
Yellow Card
58'
N. Pierre
Normal Goal → M. Iloski
62'
M. Iloski
Goal Disallowed - offside
68'
I. Vassilev🔄
Substitution 1 → Q. Sullivan
73'
S. Reguilon🔄
Substitution 1 → N. Allen
73'
T. Segovia🔄
Substitution 2 → D. Ayala
82'
B. Damiani🔄
Substitution 2 → E. Alladoh
82'
J. Bueno🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Bedoya
87'
M. Iloski🟨
Yellow Card
90+5'
E. Alladoh🟨
Yellow Card
90+9'
D. Pinter🔄
Substitution 3 → D. Ruiz
90+13'
Q. Sullivan🟨
Yellow Card
90+13'
C. Sullivan🟥
Red Card
90+13'
Y. Bright🟥
Red Card

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal0
17Total Shots5
5Blocked Shots2
14Shots insidebox3
3Shots outsidebox2
18Fouls13
4Corner Kicks1
3Offsides3
43Ball Possession57
4Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves4
330Total passes457
261Passes accurate365
79Passes %80
2.59expected_goals1.48
0.42goals_prevented0.42

Starting Lineups

Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union1:1

Starting XI

18Andre BlakeG
27Kai WagnerD
19Indiana VassilevM
10Milan IloskiF
26Nathan HarrielD
8Jesus BuenoM
9Bruno DamianiF
44Neil PierreD
21Danley Jean JacquesM
39Frankie WestfieldD
6Cavan SullivanM

Inter MiamiInter Miami1:1

Starting XI

97Dayne St. ClairG
3Sergio ReguilónD
8Telasco SegoviaM
56Daniel PinterF
37Maximiliano FalcónD
5CasemiroM
9Luis SuárezF
2Gonzalo LujánD
42Yannick BrightM
10Lionel MessiF
17Ian FrayD

Head-to-Head

💰 Best Odds

Match Winner
Home
2.50
Betano
Draw
4.27
Pinnacle
Away
2.55
Bet365
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
1.40
Betano
Under 2.5
3.25
Betfair
Both Teams Score
Yes
1.36
William Hill
No
3.25
Bet365

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📈 Team Form & Statistics

Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union
Form: W-L-W-L-W
Inter Miami
Inter Miami
Form: L-L-L-W-D
Record
5 W
1 D
4 L
6 W
1 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
2.1
Scored
vs
2.7
Scored
2.0
Conceded
vs
2.2
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
10%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
70%
BTTS
80%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:2.5
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:3.3
Scored
Home:2.9
Away:2.3
Conceded
Home:2.1
Away:2.3

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1576
Average
1619
Good
Short Term Elo Rating
1576
→ Stable
1645
↑ Momentum (+25)
Expected Outcome
30%
Home Win
32%
Draw
38%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1515
Attack
1682
1530
Defence
1474
Recent Form
1497
Attack
1728
1493
Defence
1455
Post-Match Changes
+2
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami - 2026-08-19 23:30 : Major League Soccer
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.44
Expected Value:+6.6%
Confidence:7

Philadelphia Union host Inter Miami in a Major League Soccer fixture that statistics and historical trends heavily favor a high-scoring encounter. Both sides enter this match with strong attacking outputs and defensive vulnerabilities that consistently produce goals. Over their last 10 games, Philadelphia has averaged 2.10 goals scored and 2.00 conceded, while Inter Miami has been even more potent, averaging 2.70 goals scored and 2.20 conceded. The mathematical model projects a combined goal expectancy of 3.83 for this clash, with Philadelphia expected to score 2.08 and Miami 1.75. The head-to-head record provides compelling context for an open game. In their last 10 meetings, 8 fixtures have seen Over 2.5 Goals, with an average of 4.10 goals per game. The most recent meeting ended in a 6-4 thriller, and Both Teams to Score has landed in 8 of the last 10 H2H matches. Philadelphia’s home form shows they are active in the final third, averaging 18.3 shots per game with a 32.8% accuracy rate, while Inter Miami controls 52.7% possession and generates 16.78 shots per match. Both defenses have shown consistent cracks, with Philadelphia conceding 2.00 goals per game and Miami 2.20. Recent form further supports the goal outlook. Philadelphia has found the net in every recent outing, including a 3-2 victory over Atlanta United and a 3-1 win against New York Red Bulls. Inter Miami, despite a slight dip in their last three fixtures, has maintained a robust away record with 2.33 goals scored per game on the road. The combination of high shot volumes, attacking intent, and proven historical trends makes the goal market the most compelling angle. While odds of 1.44 are on the lower side, the fair probability derived from goal expectancies and historical data sits around 73.6%, offering a clear positive expected value against the 69.4% implied by the market. Key Points: - Combined goal expectancy stands at 3.83 goals for the match. - 8 of the last 10 H2H meetings have produced Over 2.5 Goals. - Philadelphia averages 2.10 goals scored and 2.00 conceded; Miami averages 2.70 scored and 2.20 conceded. - Both teams generate high shot volumes and have shown defensive inconsistencies. - Statistical edge and H2H trends strongly favor a high-scoring affair. The data overwhelmingly points to a match exceeding the 2.5-goal threshold, making Over 2.5 Goals the recommended bet at 1.44.

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