Match Timeline
Guilherme⚽M. Bogusz
N. Hagglund🔄E. Echenique🔄O. Nwobodo🔄A. Bouzat🔄B. J. Ramirez Leon⚽H. Herrera🔄L. Ennali🔄P. Bucha🔄G. Valenzuela🔄K. DenkeyGuilherme🔄Match Statistics
Starting Lineups
Houston Dynamo1:1
Starting XI
FC Cincinnati1:1
Starting XI
Head-to-Head
📈 Team Form & Statistics
ELO comparison
Pre-match ratings
 Houston DynamoHome | Rating |  FC CincinnatiAway |
|---|---|---|
| Strength | ||
| 1,543.1 | Overall | 1,550.8 |
| 1,547.3 | Match venue | 1,550.8 |
| 1,547.3 | At home | 1,573.2 |
| 1,489.2 | Away | 1,550.8 |
| Attack & defence | ||
| 1,431.4 | Attack | 1,562 |
| 1,605.5 | Defence | 1,443.6 |
| 1,432.7 | Home attack | 1,577.9 |
| 1,459.3 | Away attack | 1,523.4 |
| 1,591.7 | Home defence | 1,495.9 |
| 1,551.1 | Away defence | 1,458.1 |
| Match profile | ||
| 1,878.3 | Goal environment | 1,938.3 |
| 1,681.7 | Home goals | 1,645 |
| 1,696.7 | Away goals | 1,793.3 |
| 1,494.7 | Possession | 1,498.3 |
| Specialist ratings | ||
| 1,481.2 | Set-piece attack | 1,468.3 |
| 1,481.4 | Set-piece defence | 1,468.7 |
| 1,545.1 | Close games | 1,594 |
| 1,545.9 | Winning margin | 1,534.4 |
Match venue compares Houston Dynamo at home with FC Cincinnati away. All ratings are within this league.
Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.
📝 Match Preview
Houston Dynamo are looking to build on a period of exceptional defensive stability as they host FC Cincinnati. The Dynamo have established themselves as a difficult side to break down, conceding only 4 goals across their last 10 matches. This defensive discipline is particularly evident at home, where they have maintained a clean sheet rate of 70% and conceded a mere 0.25 goals per game over their last four home fixtures. Their recent run includes disciplined victories against Real Salt Lake (2-1) and Los Angeles Galaxy (1-0), showcasing an ability to control the tempo and neutralize opposition attacks. In stark contrast, FC Cincinnati are currently struggling to find their footing away from home. Their road form has been anaemic, with a 0% win rate in their last three away matches. Most concerning for their supporters is their lack of offensive production on the move, averaging just 0.33 goals per game in those fixtures. While Cincinnati showed some resilience in a 3-3 draw at home against Charlotte, they have struggled significantly in larger away tests, including a heavy 5-0 defeat to Philadelphia Union and a 4-0 loss to Nashville SC. When evaluating the value, the contrast in home/away dynamics is the defining factor. Houston's 75% home win rate provides a strong foundation, while Cincinnati's inability to score consistently on the road creates a significant opening. Although Houston has historically found it difficult to beat Cincinnati in head-to-head encounters, the current form trajectories suggest a reversal. With a goal expectancy of 2.42 for the home side compared to a meager 0.29 for the visitors, the data points toward a dominant home performance. The betting markets currently offer a home win at 1.80, which represents significant value given Houston's defensive metrics and Cincinnati's offensive drought. The combination of Houston’s home dominance and Cincinnati’s road struggles makes a home victory the most probable and high-value outcome for this fixture. Key Points: - Houston Dynamo have conceded only 0.25 goals per game at home in their last 4 matches. - FC Cincinnati have a 0% win rate in their last 3 away matches. - Cincinnati's away scoring average is a low 0.33 goals per game. - Houston Dynamo have maintained a 70% clean sheet rate over their last 10 games. Summary: Home Win
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