Match Timeline
Diego Chará🟨
A. Miranchuk⚽T. Jacob🔄Joel Waterman🟨Giuliano Galoppo🟨Antony🔄Tristan Muyumba🟨Giuliano Galoppo🔄J. Fory🔄D. Chara🔄C. Bassett🔄P. Diaz🔄T. Muyumba🔄R. Hernandez🔄Match Statistics
Starting Lineups
Portland Timbers1:1
Starting XI
Atlanta United FC1:1
Starting XI
Head-to-Head
📈 Team Form & Statistics
ELO comparison
Pre-match ratings
 Portland TimbersHome | Rating |  Atlanta United FCAway |
|---|---|---|
| Strength | ||
| 1,497.6 | Overall | 1,403.6 |
| 1,579.5 | Match venue | 1,402.3 |
| 1,579.5 | At home | 1,449.4 |
| 1,400.9 | Away | 1,402.3 |
| Attack & defence | ||
| 1,516.3 | Attack | 1,429.5 |
| 1,469.5 | Defence | 1,459.5 |
| 1,574.1 | Home attack | 1,500 |
| 1,430.8 | Away attack | 1,393.5 |
| 1,473.7 | Home defence | 1,443.3 |
| 1,466 | Away defence | 1,483.9 |
| Match profile | ||
| 2,315 | Goal environment | 1,968.3 |
| 1,886.7 | Home goals | 1,843.3 |
| 1,928.3 | Away goals | 1,625 |
| 1,501.4 | Possession | 1,504 |
| Specialist ratings | ||
| 1,480.6 | Set-piece attack | 1,489.8 |
| 1,480.6 | Set-piece defence | 1,489.8 |
| 1,495.1 | Close games | 1,460.3 |
| 1,504.4 | Winning margin | 1,385.9 |
Match venue compares Portland Timbers at home with Atlanta United FC away. All ratings are within this league.
Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.
📝 Match Preview
Portland Timbers are entering this fixture with significant momentum at home, where they have established themselves as a potent offensive force. Over their last six home games, the Timbers have maintained a 66.67% win rate, bolstered by a remarkable scoring average of 3.17 goals per game. This high-octane style of play is evident in their recent results, including a thrilling 5-4 victory over Minnesota United FC and a convincing 3-1 win against San Diego. The Timbers' ability to generate chances at home makes them a formidable opponent for any visiting side. In contrast, Atlanta United FC faces a challenging task on the road. Their away performance has been underwhelming, with a win rate of only 16.67% over their last six away matches. Defensively, Atlanta has struggled to maintain cohesion, conceding an average of 2.00 goals per game in away fixtures. While they have managed to secure some points recently—such as a 2-2 draw with Inter Miami—their tendency to concede goals against competitive opposition remains a glaring weakness. The statistical landscape further supports a home advantage. The goal expectancy (λ) for this match is 2.58 for Portland compared to 1.75 for Atlanta. Furthermore, Portland has demonstrated incredible consistency in high-scoring environments, with both teams scoring in 100% of their last 10 matches. This suggests a match that will likely feature plenty of goals, but the primary question is who will ultimately emerge victorious. While Atlanta United has historically held the upper hand in head-to-head encounters, the current 2026 season dynamics favor the hosts. Portland's improving goal-scoring trend and Atlanta's declining points trend provide clear indicators of the current form. Given Portland's dominance at home and Atlanta's defensive vulnerabilities on the road, the Timbers are well-positioned to secure a victory in this MLS clash. Key Points: - Portland Timbers have a 66.67% home win rate and average 3.17 goals per game at home. - Atlanta United FC has a poor away win rate of 16.67% and concedes 2.00 goals per game on the road. - Goal expectancy favors Portland (2.58) over Atlanta (1.75). - Portland has seen both teams score in 100% of their last 10 matches. The chosen bet is Home Win.
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