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Thu, 15 Jan 2026, 03:06
Liga MX
Mexico
Mexico
Full Time

Match Timeline

21'
Adalberto Carrasquilla🟨
Yellow Card
23'
R. Morales
Normal Goal → J. Ruvalcaba
39'
Juan José Purata🟨
Yellow Card
45+1'
Keylor Navas🟨
Yellow Card
46'
U. Antuna🔄
Substitution 1 → D. Lainez
46'
O. Rodriguez🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Correa
55'
Cesar Garza🟨
Yellow Card
57'
N. Ibanez🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Gignac
67'
Jorge Ruvalcaba🟨
Yellow Card
67'
J. Ruvalcaba🔄
Substitution 1 → A. Medina
68'
M. Flores🔄
Substitution 4 → D. A. Sanchez Guevara
70'
André-Pierre Gignac🟨
Yellow Card
78'
P. Vite🔄
Substitution 2 → R. Lopez
82'
R. Morales🔄
Substitution 3 → Juninho
84'
J. Sanchez🔄
Substitution 5 → I. Lopez
89'
Álvaro Angulo🟨
Yellow Card
90+3'
Joaquim🟨
Yellow Card
90+6'
Álvaro Angulo🟨
Yellow Card
90+6'
Álvaro Angulo🟥
Red Card

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal4
11Shots off Goal1
30Total Shots6
13Blocked Shots1
22Shots insidebox4
8Shots outsidebox2
10Fouls19
18Corner Kicks2
2Offsides2
69Ball Possession31
3Yellow Cards6
0Red Cards1
3Goalkeeper Saves7
575Total passes274
511Passes accurate199
89Passes %73

Starting Lineups

Tigres UANLTigres UANL1:1

Starting XI

1N. GuzmanG
35O. RodriguezD
23RomuloM
20M. FloresM
9N. IbanezF
4J. SanchezD
8F. GorriaranM
11J. BrunettaM
28JoaquimD
22U. AntunaM
14J. Garza2:4

U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1:1

Starting XI

1K. NavasG
77A. AnguloD
17J. RuvalcabaM
31R. MoralesF
215A. AzuajeD
14C. GarzaM
6Nathan SilvaD
28A. CarrasquillaM
2P. BennevendoD
45P. ViteM
19J. RivasD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Tigres UANL
Tigres UANL
Form: W-L-W-D-D
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Form: D-L-W-W-D
Record
5 W
3 D
2 L
3 W
4 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
1.7
Scored
vs
1.7
Scored
1.0
Conceded
vs
1.5
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
0%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
90%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.4
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:0.4
Away:1.6
Scored
Home:1.7
Away:1.7
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:1.7

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1698
Good
1554
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1764
↑ Momentum (+66)
1515
↓ Momentum (-39)
Expected Outcome
51%
Home Win
27%
Draw
22%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1561
Attack
1484
1633
Defence
1523
Recent Form
1592
Attack
1437
1648
Defence
1491
Post-Match Changes
-19
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Clásico Capitalino: Tigres' Fortress Meets Pumas' Scoring Machine
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.95
Expected Value:+42.4%
Confidence:73

The Estadio Universitario hosts a fascinating Liga MX clash as second-placed Tigres UANL welcome mid-table U.N.A.M. - Pumas. On paper, this looks like a straightforward home banker, but the underlying stats reveal a compelling betting opportunity that demands our attention. Tigres sit comfortably in second place with 36 points from 17 matches, boasting an impressive +19 goal difference. Their home form is nothing short of formidable – an 80% win rate from their last five home games, scoring 2.40 goals per game while conceding just 0.40. Recent results include a commanding 5-0 thrashing of Club Tijuana and a 1-0 victory over league leaders Toluca at this venue. However, they've shown occasional vulnerability, conceding in 70% of their last ten matches, including in their most recent 2-1 away win at Atletico San Luis. Pumas present an intriguing paradox. Sitting tenth with 21 points, their overall record appears modest, but their attacking output tells a different story. They've scored in nine of their last ten matches, averaging 1.71 goals per away game. Their recent 3-2 victory at third-placed Cruz Azul demonstrates they can trouble even the league's elite. The concerning statistic for Pumas is their defensive record – zero clean sheets in their last ten matches, conceding 1.71 goals per away game. The head-to-head history screams goals. Eight of the last nine meetings between these sides have seen both teams score, with six of those nine matches producing over 2.5 goals. Their most recent encounter in April 2025 ended 2-1 in Tigres' favor, continuing this trend. Statistically, Tigres dominate the key metrics at home, averaging 17.2 shots with 5.4 on target and 55.6% possession. Pumas' away numbers are respectable but not exceptional – 11.57 shots, 3.86 on target, and 46.1% possession. The critical factor is Pumas' remarkable consistency in finding the net regardless of opponent quality. When analyzing betting value, the 1.95 odds for Both Teams to Score represent exceptional value. With Pumas scoring in 90% of their recent matches and Tigres conceding in 70% of theirs, combined with the overwhelming historical trend (89% BTTS rate in H2H), the probability significantly exceeds the implied 51.3% from the bookmakers. **Key Points:** - Tigres boast an 80% home win rate, scoring 2.40 goals per game at home - Pumas have scored in 9 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.71 goals away - Pumas have kept zero clean sheets in their last 10 matches - 8 of the last 9 head-to-head meetings saw both teams score - 6 of those 9 H2H matches had over 2.5 goals - Tigres have conceded in 70% of their recent matches - Recent form includes Pumas' 3-2 victory at third-placed Cruz Azul **Summary:** While Tigres are clear favorites to win this match given their superior league position and formidable home record, the data overwhelmingly suggests both teams will find the net. Pumas' attacking consistency against all opposition types, combined with Tigres' occasional defensive lapses and the historical trend, makes Both Teams to Score - Yes the standout value bet at 1.95 odds.

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