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Yantra 20190-1Cherno More Varna
Sun, 29 Mar 2026, 23:00
Full Time

Match Timeline

22'
A. Liadi
Normal Goal → D. Beckford
33'
R. Robles
Normal Goal → A. Liadi
35'
D. Guezen🟨
Yellow Card
41'
D. Beckford
Normal Goal → L. Meek
51'
A. Armas🟨
Yellow Card
56'
S. Powder🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Drack
57'
A. Armas🔄
Substitution 2 → D. Bouman
57'
D. Guezen🔄
Substitution 3 → B. Vasquez
59'
A. Liadi
Normal Goal
63'
E. Mackic
Normal Goal → B. Vasquez
64'
M. Jennings🟨
Yellow Card
66'
E. Lee🔄
Substitution 1 → I. Agyaakwah
67'
D. Beckford🔄
Substitution 2 → E. White
68'
C. McGlynn
Normal Goal → D. Burko
68'
P. Seagrist🔄
Substitution 3 → T. Polak
75'
L. Meek🔄
Substitution 4 → L. Castro
75'
M. Jennings🔄
Substitution 4 → K. Blommestijn
80'
K. Evans🟨
Yellow Card
90+1'
R. Robles🟨
Yellow Card
90+2'
B. Pierre🟨
Yellow Card

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Greenville Triumph
Greenville Triumph
Form: W-L-L-L-L
Westchester SC
Westchester SC
Form: W-D-L-L-D
Record
3 W
2 D
5 L
3 W
2 D
5 L
Goals Per Game
1.1
Scored
vs
1.4
Scored
1.4
Conceded
vs
1.5
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
40%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
50%
BTTS
70%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.5
Away:0.5
Conceded
Home:1.7
Away:1.0
Scored
Home:1.4
Away:1.3
Conceded
Home:1.1
Away:2.3

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1515
Average
1419
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1482
↓ Momentum (-32)
1358
↓ Momentum (-61)
Expected Outcome
45%
Home Win
29%
Draw
26%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1496
Attack
1495
1511
Defence
1414
Recent Form
1519
Attack
1489
1497
Defence
1398
Post-Match Changes
+10
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Greenville Triumph vs Westchester SC - USL League One Betting Preview
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.70
Expected Value:+5.4%
Confidence:65

Greenville Triumph hosts Westchester SC in a USL League One clash that promises goals and attacking football. The hosts come into this match having won their last outing 3-2 against NY Cosmos, sitting comfortably in 8th place with 3 points from 2 games. Westchester SC, meanwhile, struggles near the bottom in 14th place with just 1 point from their opening 2 fixtures. The key story here is Westchester's abysmal away form. They have yet to win on the road this season and have conceded 2.33 goals per game in away fixtures. Their last three away results read: 2-3 loss to One Knoxville, 2-2 draw with Portland Hearts of Pine, and a 0-1 defeat to Forward Madison. This defensive vulnerability on the road is a major concern. Greenville, by contrast, has shown they can score at home - averaging 1.50 goals per game in home fixtures. Their recent 3-2 victory over NY Cosmos demonstrated both their attacking capability and their tendency to be involved in high-scoring affairs. The home side also holds the psychological edge in this fixture, having won 3-0 in their most recent H2H meeting last July, with the only other encounter ending in a 1-1 draw. The statistical modeling is particularly compelling for goals. Goal expectancies of 1.92 for Greenville and 1.50 for Westchester combine for 3.42 expected goals. This aligns perfectly with recent trends - both teams have been involved in games with 2.5+ goals in their recent fixtures. Westchester's 70% BTTS rate over their last 10 games further supports the case for goals. The odds of 1.70 for Over 2.5 Goals present genuine value. The implied probability of 58.82% is lower than the statistical probability suggested by the goal expectancies, creating a positive expected value scenario. With both teams showing attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities, this market offers the clearest edge. **Key Points:** - Greenville unbeaten in 2 H2H meetings against Westchester - Westchester winless in 3 away games this season - Combined goal expectancy of 3.42 suggests goals - Westchester conceded 2.33 goals per game away - Greenville scored 3 goals in their last home game **Bet Selection: Over 2.5 Goals**

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