Match Timeline
B. Knapp⚽
I. Abeal🔄T. Pondeca🔄J. Dietrich🔄S. Ors Navarro🔄P. Botello Faz🔄S. Roscoe🟨Gabriel Cabral🔄S. Guediri🔄A. Medina⚽D. Gutierrez🔄A. Medina🔄L. Wootton🟨E. Kwakwa🟨S. Owusu⚽Head-to-Head
📈 Team Form & Statistics
ELO comparison
Pre-match ratings
 Union OmahaHome | Rating |  Corpus ChristiAway |
|---|---|---|
| Strength | ||
| 1,628.9 | Overall | 1,507.1 |
| 1,662.7 | Match venue | 1,506.6 |
| 1,662.7 | At home | 1,500 |
| 1,551.2 | Away | 1,506.6 |
| Attack & defence | ||
| 1,579.3 | Attack | 1,499.2 |
| 1,571.5 | Defence | 1,507.6 |
| 1,627.9 | Home attack | 1,500 |
| 1,474.8 | Away attack | 1,498.8 |
| 1,575.2 | Home defence | 1,500 |
| 1,562.5 | Away defence | 1,510.1 |
| Match profile | ||
| 1,608.3 | Goal environment | 1,496.7 |
| 1,616.7 | Home goals | 1,500 |
| 1,491.7 | Away goals | 1,496.7 |
| 1,500 | Possession | 1,500 |
| Specialist ratings | ||
| 1,500 | Set-piece attack | 1,500 |
| 1,500 | Set-piece defence | 1,500 |
| 1,580.6 | Close games | 1,503.3 |
| 1,652.6 | Winning margin | 1,508.1 |
Match venue compares Union Omaha at home with Corpus Christi away. All ratings are within this league.
Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.
📝 Match Preview
Union Omaha welcomes Corpus Christi to USL League One action, and the data paints a compelling picture for the hosts. Union Omaha arrive in excellent form, boasting a 60% win rate over their last 10 games with an impressive 2.10 points per game. Their attacking output has been particularly eye-catching, averaging 2.30 goals per game overall, and a scorching 2.40 goals per game at home. The 3-game moving average for goals scored sits at 3.67, and their goals scored trend is rated as improving. Recent results include a 3-2 victory over Boise and an emphatic 8-0 US Open Cup demolition of BOHFS St. Louis. The home advantage factor is significant. Union Omaha have won 80% of their last 5 home games, conceding just 1.00 goals per game in that span. Their clean sheet rate of 60% over the last 10 games further underscores defensive solidity. Corpus Christi present a starkly different profile. Their away form is concerning, with a 0% win rate in their last 7 away games. They've managed just 1.00 goals per game on the road while conceding 1.57 per game. Their goals scored trend is declining, with a 3-game moving average of just 0.67 goals. Their recent league form has seen two draws (0-0 at One Knoxville, 2-2 at Naples), but they remain winless on the road. The goal expectancy model favors Union Omaha heavily, projecting 1.99 goals for the home side versus just 1.00 for Corpus Christi. This aligns with the statistical trends across both teams. Corpus Christi have shown resilience by staying unbeaten in their first two league games, but their inability to win away from home and declining scoring trend are major concerns. Union Omaha's combination of home dominance, improving attacking form, and Corpus Christi's away struggles makes this a compelling selection. Key Points: • Union Omaha win 80% of their last 5 home games • Corpus Christi have a 0% away win rate in their last 7 games • Union Omaha averaging 3.67 goals per game over their last 3 matches • Corpus Christi averaging just 0.67 goals per game over their last 3 matches • Goal expectancy strongly favors Union Omaha (1.99 vs 1.00) • Union Omaha's goals scored trend is improving; Corpus Christi's is declining The recommended bet is Union Omaha to win at 1.78.
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