⚽️
Marchamalo1-0Tarancón
Wed, 16 Sept 2026, 23:00
Full Time

Match Timeline

6'
O. Hernandez⚽
Normal Goal → Y. Lelin
28'
J. Forbes🟨
Yellow Card
36'
M. Knapp🟨
Yellow Card
42'
B. McManus🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Bentley
45+5'
Y. Lelin🟨
Yellow Card
46'
J. Forbes🔄
Substitution 1 → G. Kanyane
46'
M. Segbers🔄
Substitution 2 → E. Munjoma
50'
E. Kinzner🟨
Yellow Card
60'
A. Edwards🟨
Yellow Card
62'
K. Carmichael🔄
Substitution 3 → T. Humphrey
62'
A. Edwards🔄
Substitution 4 → R. Carmichael
63'
J. Vaughan🟨
Yellow Card
66'
J. Vaughan🔄
Substitution 2 → O. Tapia
67'
M. Knapp🔄
Substitution 3 → W. Wessels
75'
C. Ngoubou🔄
Substitution 5 → M. Goumballe
83'
A. Kelly-Rosales🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Lombardi
83'
Y. Lelin🔄
Substitution 5 → J. Ayimbila
90'
M. Glaeser🟨
Yellow Card
90+6'
J. Ayimbila🟨
Yellow Card

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Chattanooga Red Wolves
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Form: D-W-W-L-D
Forward Madison
Forward Madison
Form: D-W-D-W-D
Record
4 W
2 D
4 L
•
5 W
4 D
1 L
Goals Per Game
1.7
Scored
vs
1.8
Scored
1.8
Conceded
vs
1.0
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
70%
BTTS
80%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:1.6
Conceded
Home:1.6
Away:2.0
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:1.8
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:1.0

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
Chattanooga Red Wolves versus Forward Madison: long term ELO, before the match
Chattanooga Red WolvesHomeRatingForward MadisonAway
Strength
1,560.7Overall1,591.6
1,566.6Match venue1,510.2
1,566.6At home1,594.2
1,501.9Away1,510.2
Attack & defence
1,533.6Attack1,508.7
1,527.7Defence1,590
1,524.4Home attack1,501.9
1,507.7Away attack1,461.5
1,558.2Home defence1,651
1,488.5Away defence1,529.1
Match profile
1,715Goal environment1,430
1,615Home goals1,380
1,600Away goals1,550
1,500Possession1,500
Specialist ratings
1,500Set-piece attack1,500
1,500Set-piece defence1,500
1,540.8Close games1,536.1
1,567.1Winning margin1,610.8

Match venue compares Chattanooga Red Wolves at home with Forward Madison away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Forward Madison Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.52
Expected Value:+38.6%
Confidence:7

Chattanooga Red Wolves enter this USL League One fixture facing a significant uphill battle against a high-performing Forward Madison side. Currently sitting in 6th place with 39 points, the Red Wolves have shown some inconsistency in their recent form, managing a 40% win rate over their last 10 matches. While they have secured notable victories, such as a 3-1 win over Greenville Triumph and a gritty 2-1 away win against Fort Wayne, their defensive record remains a point of concern. Conceding an average of 1.80 goals per game over their last 10 fixtures, Chattanooga often struggles to maintain clean sheets, managing only two in that span. In stark contrast, Forward Madison arrives as one of the league's heavyweights, currently occupying 3rd place with 48 points. Their away form is particularly formidable, where they have maintained a remarkable 75% win rate over their last four road games. Madison has proven capable of traveling and securing results, evidenced by their recent 2-0 win over Corpus Christi and a 2-1 victory against the Richmond Kickers. Their defensive organization is another key differentiator, as they have conceded only 1.00 goal per game across their recent outings, providing a much sturdier backbone than the Red Wolves. The historical data further reinforces the favoritism toward Forward Madison. In their head-to-head history, Madison has dominated with 6 wins, 1 draw, and only 2 losses against Chattanooga. Most tellingly, their most recent encounter saw Madison secure a convincing 5-2 victory, showcasing their ability to overwhelm the Red Wolves' backline. While Chattanooga's home goals scored per game stands at 1.80, they have struggled to contain Madison's offensive output, which averages 1.75 goals per game on the road. From a betting perspective, the market is offering an Away Win at 2.52. This price represents significant value given Forward Madison's superior league position, their elite away win percentage, and their historical dominance in this specific matchup. While the "Over 2.5 Goals" and "Both Teams to Score" markets are tempting given the high-scoring nature of these fixtures, the most reliable signal points toward a Forward Madison victory. The Red Wolves' defensive vulnerabilities combined with Madison's clinical road form make the visitors the clear choice for this fixture. Key Points: - Forward Madison sits in 3rd place (48 points) compared to Chattanooga's 6th place (39 points). - Forward Madison boasts a massive 75% win rate in their last 4 away matches. - Head-to-head history is heavily skewed: Forward Madison has won 6 of the last 9 meetings. - The last H2H meeting resulted in a dominant 5-2 win for Forward Madison. - Chattanooga concedes an average of 1.80 goals per game, while Madison concedes only 1.00. The data strongly supports a victory for the visitors. Recommended Bet: Away Win

Read Full Preview →