⚽️
Naples1-5Charlotte Independence
Sat, 21 Mar 2026, 05:00
Full Time (Penalties)

Match Timeline

2'
Y. Mori🟨
Yellow Card
11'
S. Matsuki
Normal Goal
14'
K. Okazawa
Normal Goal → Y. Nakamura
34'
K. Shimizu🟨
Yellow Card
36'
J. Miki
Normal Goal → R. Hisadomi
46'
R. Hisadomi🔄
Substitution 1 → R. Asakura
46'
J. Miki🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Sugita
46'
T. Chiba🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Fujita
53'
Y. Okada
Normal Goal → K. Shimizu
57'
K. Shimizu
Normal Goal
68'
Y. Kikui🔄
Substitution 3 → K. Yamura
77'
Y. Nakamura🟨
Yellow Card
82'
K. Ashibe🔄
Substitution 2 → T. Nakamura
85'
D. Kurisu🟨
Yellow Card
86'
H. Manabe🔄
Substitution 4 → H. Kanda
87'
T. Fujitani
Normal Goal → T. Harigaya
88'
S. Matsuki🟨
Yellow Card
89'
U. Uehata🔄
Substitution 3 → T. Einaga
90+4'
Y. Mori🔄
Substitution 5 → S. Nakagawa
90+4'
T. Einaga🟨
Yellow Card
90+5'
T. Anzai🔄
Substitution 4 → H. Toma
120+1'
H. Kanda
Penalty
120+1'
T. Harigaya
Penalty
120+2'
S. Matsuki
Penalty
120+2'
T. Nakamura
Missed Penalty
120+3'
K. Okazawa
Penalty
120+3'
Y. Okada
Penalty
120+4'
M. Sugita
Penalty
120+4'
J. Fujita
Penalty
120+5'
K. Yamura
Penalty

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Fukushima United
Fukushima United
Form: L-W-D-L-L
Fujieda MYFC
Fujieda MYFC
Form: W-D-W-D-W
Record
5 W
1 D
4 L
3 W
4 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
1.6
Scored
vs
1.3
Scored
2.1
Conceded
vs
1.5
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
10%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
80%
BTTS
70%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.7
Away:1.1
Conceded
Home:1.3
Away:2.4
Scored
Home:0.8
Away:1.8
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:2.2

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1512
Average
1470
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1527
↑ Momentum (+15)
1456
↓ Momentum (-14)
Expected Outcome
38%
Home Win
32%
Draw
30%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1515
Attack
1445
1459
Defence
1519
Recent Form
1534
Attack
1406
1423
Defence
1542
Post-Match Changes
-3
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Fukushima United vs Fujieda MYFC Betting Preview
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.78
Expected Value:+15.7%
Confidence:65

The upcoming J2/J3 League clash between Fukushima United and Fujieda MYFC presents a fascinating tactical battle with clear goal-scoring potential. Fukushima United, currently sitting 9th in the standings with 4 points from 6 games, are hosting Fujieda MYFC, who are 5th with 12 points. While the standings show Fujieda in a stronger position, the recent form and goal statistics suggest a high-scoring encounter. Fukushima United's home performance has been impressive in recent weeks. In their last 3 home games, they maintain a 100% win rate, averaging 2.67 goals scored per game while conceding 1.33. Conversely, Fujieda MYFC's away form is solid but leaky; in their last 5 away games, they have a 40% win rate, averaging 1.80 goals scored and 2.20 goals conceded per game. Combining these metrics, the expected goal total hovers around 4.00 goals based on the provided goal expectancies (Home 2.43, Away 1.57). Head-to-head history heavily favors Fujieda MYFC, with 5 wins to Fukushima's 1 across 8 meetings. However, historical H2H goals are lower (average 2.37), but recent team statistics contradict this, pointing towards a more open game. Both teams have low clean sheet rates (Fukushima 10%, Fujieda 20% in their respective home/away splits), and high 'Both Teams to Score' percentages (80% and 70% respectively). The betting markets reflect the high goal expectancy. The odds for Over 2.5 Goals sit at 1.78, implying a probability of roughly 56%. Given the goal expectancy of 4.00, the actual probability of seeing 3 or more goals is estimated higher, creating value. The recent form, combined with the defensive vulnerabilities of both sides, strongly points towards an Over 2.5 Goals outcome. Key Points: - Fukushima United Home Form: 100% win rate in last 3 games, averaging 2.67 goals scored. - Fujieda MYFC Away Form: 40% win rate, averaging 1.80 goals scored and 2.20 conceded. - Goal Expectancy: Total expected goals sum to 4.00. - Defensive Weakness: Both teams have low clean sheet rates (10% and 20%). - Market Odds: Over 2.5 Goals is priced at 1.78. Summary: Based on the high goal expectancy and defensive trends, the most compelling value lies in the Over 2.5 Goals market.

Read Full Preview →