⚽️
Lokomotiv Plovdiv1-0Arda Kardzhali
Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 05:00
Full Time

Match Timeline

2'
H. Shirowa🟥
Red Card
4'
S. Kokubu🔄
Substitution 1 → K. Sakamoto
9'
S. Inoue⚽
Normal Goal → H. Ishii
59'
K. Kobayashi🔄
Substitution 1 → H. Iwabuchi
60'
R. Sagara🔄
Substitution 2 → Y. Sugiyama
68'
H. Nodake🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Kawai
76'
H. Ishii🔄
Substitution 3 → S. Minami
76'
S. Araki🔄
Substitution 4 → T. Yasuno
79'
S. Doi🔄
Substitution 3 → S. Hiraga
79'
A. S. Disaro🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Takahashi
82'
Y. Sugiyama🟨
Yellow Card
90+1'
W. Tanaka🔄
Substitution 5 → K. Yanagimachi
90+1'
R. Kida🔄
Substitution 6 → S. Horikane
90+2'
H. Takeda🔄
Substitution 5 → A. Yutani

Starting Lineups

Montedio YamagataMontedio YamagataUnknown

Starting XI

45T. ShibuyaUnknown
19K. OkamotoUnknown
3Y. KumamotoUnknown
22H. ShirowaUnknown
13H. NodakeUnknown
17T. TerayamaUnknown
21W. TanakaUnknown
8S. DoiUnknown
10R. KidaUnknown
11A. S. DisaroUnknown
25S. KokubuUnknown

Vegalta SendaiVegalta SendaiUnknown

Starting XI

33A. HayashiUnknown
22R. TakadaUnknown
5M. SugataUnknown
44S. InoueUnknown
10H. KamadaUnknown
2S. IgarashiUnknown
8H. TakedaUnknown
14R. SagaraUnknown
42H. IshiiUnknown
11K. KobayashiUnknown
7S. ArakiUnknown

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Montedio Yamagata
Montedio Yamagata
Form: L-L-L-D-W
Vegalta Sendai
Vegalta Sendai
Form: W-D-D-W-W
Record
5 W
2 D
3 L
•
6 W
2 D
2 L
Goals Per Game
1.5
Scored
vs
2.4
Scored
1.3
Conceded
vs
1.1
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
0%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
90%
BTTS
70%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.3
Away:1.6
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:1.4
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:3.3
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:1.0

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
Montedio Yamagata versus Vegalta Sendai: long term ELO, before the match
Montedio YamagataHomeRatingVegalta SendaiAway
Strength
1,524.4Overall1,598.7
1,544.3Match venue1,581.5
1,544.3At home1,547.1
1,519.2Away1,581.5
Attack & defence
1,531Attack1,496.6
1,499.3Defence1,597.6
1,518.3Home attack1,490.6
1,529.4Away attack1,487
1,547.3Home defence1,572
1,508.4Away defence1,573.9
Match profile
1,486.7Goal environment1,540
1,555Home goals1,491.7
1,431.7Away goals1,548.3
1,500Possession1,500
Specialist ratings
1,500Set-piece attack1,500
1,500Set-piece defence1,500
1,502.2Close games1,568.9
1,526.8Winning margin1,613.5

Match venue compares Montedio Yamagata at home with Vegalta Sendai away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai Preview
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.83
Expected Value:+46.4%
Confidence:80

The upcoming clash between Montedio Yamagata and Vegalta Sendai in the J2/J3 League presents a clear disparity in form and historical performance. Vegalta Sendai enters this fixture undefeated in the league, sitting comfortably in 2nd place in East A with 16 points from 6 games (4W, 2D). In contrast, Montedio Yamagata struggles in the standings with just 8 points from 6 games (3W, 1D, 3L), and their recent form has been poor, suffering three consecutive losses in the league. The head-to-head record heavily favors Vegalta Sendai, who have won 5 of the last 8 meetings. Notably, 7 of those 8 matches saw Both Teams Score (BTTS), and 5 of 8 matches exceeded 2.5 goals. Montedio Yamagata has not kept a single clean sheet in their last 10 games, conceding an average of 1.30 goals per game. Meanwhile, Vegalta Sendai has been prolific on the road, scoring an average of 3.25 goals per game in their last 4 away fixtures, winning all of them. Goal expectancy data suggests a high-scoring affair. The provided inputs estimate Montedio Yamagata to score 1.17 goals and Vegalta Sendai to score 2.12 goals, totaling 3.29 expected goals. This aligns with the head-to-head history where the average goal count per match is high. With Montedio Yamagata's defensive frailty (0% clean sheet rate) and Vegalta Sendai's offensive potency away from home, the conditions for both sides to find the net are strong. The betting market offers odds of 1.83 for Both Teams to Score - Yes. Given the historical data (87.5% BTTS in H2H) and current team stats (Yamagata 90% BTTS, Sendai 70% BTTS), the probability of both teams scoring is estimated well above the market's implied probability. This creates a significant value opportunity where the edge survives reasonable estimation errors.

Read Full Preview →