⚽️
Naples0-3Charlotte Independence
Sat, 4 Apr 2026, 05:00
Full Time (Penalties)

Match Timeline

7'
R. Nakayama
Missed Penalty → R. Nakayama
49'
R. Sugimoto🟨
Yellow Card
65'
T. Takeuchi🟨
Yellow Card
70'
Pedro Augusto🟨
Yellow Card
72'
P. Tanaka🔄
Substitution 1 → D. Karlsson
73'
R. Nakayama🔄
Substitution 1 → T. Maeda
79'
M. Suzuki🔄
Substitution 2 → K. Yamashita
79'
M. Kato🔄
Substitution 3 → T. Mori
82'
T. Shimakawa🔄
Substitution 2 → Y. Takusari
82'
K. Sasaki🔄
Substitution 3 → R. Takano
89'
A. Tanahashi🔄
Substitution 4 → T. Ando
89'
D. Kato🔄
Substitution 5 → K. Pytlik
120+1'
D. Karlsson
Penalty
120+1'
T. Ando
Missed Penalty
120+2'
K. Yamashita
Penalty
120+2'
T. Maeda
Penalty
120+3'
A. Yoshida
Penalty
120+3'
R. Yamauchi
Penalty
120+4'
S. Kotake
Penalty
120+4'
T. Takeuchi
Missed Penalty

Starting Lineups

Tochigi CityTochigi CityUnknown

Starting XI

31P. AizawaUnknown
14S. KotakeUnknown
42M. JonjicUnknown
17T. ChinenUnknown
32Y. KoikeUnknown
20Pedro AugustoUnknown
18M. KatoUnknown
24K. NishiyaUnknown
77P. TanakaUnknown
9M. SuzukiUnknown
23A. YoshidaUnknown

SagamiharaSagamiharaUnknown

Starting XI

21Kim Min-hoUnknown
5D. KatoUnknown
37R. YamauchiUnknown
13M. TokidaUnknown
2K. WatahikiUnknown
4T. ShimakawaUnknown
17T. TakeuchiUnknown
10R. NakayamaUnknown
7A. TanahashiUnknown
24R. SugimotoUnknown
9K. SasakiUnknown

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Tochigi City
Tochigi City
Form: W-L-W-D-L
Sagamihara
Sagamihara
Form: D-L-L-W-W
Record
4 W
1 D
5 L
3 W
1 D
6 L
Goals Per Game
1.7
Scored
vs
1.8
Scored
1.8
Conceded
vs
2.3
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.2
Away:2.2
Conceded
Home:1.8
Away:1.8
Scored
Home:2.3
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:2.0
Away:2.8

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1465
Average
1461
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1416
↓ Momentum (-49)
1445
↓ Momentum (-16)
Expected Outcome
33%
Home Win
35%
Draw
32%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1477
Attack
1486
1464
Defence
1472
Recent Form
1445
Attack
1512
1428
Defence
1424
Post-Match Changes
-1
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Tochigi City vs Sagamihara Betting Preview
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.93
Expected Value:+15.8%
Confidence:7

The upcoming J2/J3 League fixture between Tochigi City and Sagamihara presents a compelling case for goal-heavy betting. Both teams have demonstrated high goal involvements in recent matches, with Tochigi City averaging 1.70 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per game over their last 10 outings. Sagamihara mirrors this trend, averaging 1.80 goals scored and 2.30 goals conceded per game. The mathematical analysis indicates a clear trend towards higher scoring games for both sides. Head-to-head history strongly favors a high-scoring affair. In their two previous meetings, the average goal count was 3.50 per game, with both matches exceeding 2.5 goals. The most recent encounter ended 5-0 in favor of Tochigi City, while the one before that finished 2-1. This historical data aligns with the current goal expectancies, which project 1.98 goals for the home side and 1.40 for the visitors, totaling 3.38 expected goals. Recent form further supports the Over 2.5 Goals market. Tochigi City's home performance shows a clean sheet rate of only 30%, while Sagamihara's away clean sheet rate is just 20%. Both teams have a 60% Both Teams to Score percentage in their last 10 games. Sagamihara's away record is particularly vulnerable, having failed to win any of their last four away matches, often conceding heavily. While Tochigi City holds a perfect 2-0 head-to-head record, their recent home win rate is only 20% in the last five home games. This creates a conflict for a straight Home Win bet. However, the goal statistics remain consistent. With goal expectancies summing to 3.38 and historical H2H averages at 3.50, the Over 2.5 Goals market offers significant value at 1.93 odds. Key Points: * H2H: 100% Over 2.5 Goals in previous meetings. * Goal Expectancy: Combined 3.38 expected goals. * Recent Form: Both teams average over 3.5 total goals per game recently. * Defenses: Low clean sheet rates for both sides. Based on the convergence of head-to-head history and current goal statistics, the prediction is Over 2.5 Goals.

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