The Indian Super League's early pacesetters East Bengal II welcome basement dwellers SC Delhi in a fixture that looks lopsided on paper and even more so when digging into the underlying numbers. East Bengal sit top of the table with a perfect start—a commanding 3-0 dismantling of NorthEast United—while SC Delhi prop up the standings after a limp 0-2 defeat to Bengaluru. East Bengal arrive here in formidable shape, stretching their unbeaten run to ten games with a record of five wins and five draws. What's most impressive isn't just the results, but the manner of them. They've conceded just four goals across those ten matches (0.40 per game) and kept seven clean sheets (70%). Their defensive resilience was on full display in the opener against NorthEast United—a side averaging 1.80 points per game in their recent form—where they shut them out completely while netting three at the other end. That followed a 4-0 thrashing of Sreenidi Deccan and a 4-0 away win at Chennaiyin in cup competition. At home, they've been particularly miserly, conceding just 0.57 goals per game and keeping five clean sheets in their last seven on their own patch. SC Delhi, by stark contrast, look there for the taking. Their recent record reads zero wins from four attempts, with eleven goals shipped (2.75 per game) and not a single clean sheet to their name. Their ISL opener against Bengaluru followed a familiar pattern: unable to score, eventually breached twice. Away from home, the picture is even bleaker—they've failed to find the net in two of three road trips (0-2 vs Bengaluru, 0-3 vs Kerala Blasters) and are averaging just 0.67 goals per game on their travels. While they did manage a 2-2 draw at Rajasthan United, that appears the outlier rather than the norm given their struggles in the other fixtures. The goal expectancy models paint a clear picture: East Bengal are projected at 2.10 expected goals against SC Delhi's paltry 0.62. When a side with a 70% clean sheet rate faces one scoring 0.75 goals per game (and just 0.67 away), the probability of the away side drawing a blank becomes highly attractive. SC Delhi's attack has misfired against defenses far less organized than what they'll face here. **Key Points:** • East Bengal have kept clean sheets in 7 of their last 10 games (70%) and conceded just 0.40 goals per game during this run • SC Delhi have failed to score in 2 of their 3 away games and average just 0.67 goals per game on the road • East Bengal's home defensive record shows 5 clean sheets in their last 7 home fixtures (0.57 goals conceded per game) • SC Delhi have conceded 2.75 goals per game in their recent matches with 0% clean sheet rate • The goal expectancy model projects East Bengal at 2.10 xG vs SC Delhi's 0.62 xG **Summary:** The value here lies not in backing the heavy favorites at skinny odds, but in recognizing that SC Delhi's blunt attack is unlikely to trouble East Bengal's organized defense. With the hosts keeping seven clean sheets in ten and the visitors failing to score in two of three away trips, Both Teams to Score No at 1.91 represents excellent value with an estimated 68% chance of landing.