Match Timeline
Shilong Wang🟨
Yuning Zhang⚽Fabio Abreu🟨Haijian Wang🔄Deng Jiefu🔄Abduhamit Abdugheni🟨Shinichi Chan⚽Tianyi Gao🟨Saulo Mineiro🔄Xizhe Zhang🔄Liangming Lin🔄Zexiang Yang🟨Tianyi Gao🔄Match Statistics
Starting Lineups
Beijing Guoan1:1
Starting XI
Shanghai Shenhua1:1
Starting XI
Head-to-Head
📈 Team Form & Statistics
ELO comparison
Pre-match ratings
 Beijing GuoanHome | Rating |  Shanghai ShenhuaAway |
|---|---|---|
| Strength | ||
| 1,668.7 | Overall | 1,788.3 |
| 1,680.2 | Match venue | 1,697 |
| 1,680.2 | At home | 1,711.6 |
| 1,613.5 | Away | 1,697 |
| Attack & defence | ||
| 1,643.4 | Attack | 1,673.1 |
| 1,574.9 | Defence | 1,634.2 |
| 1,648.5 | Home attack | 1,669.4 |
| 1,582.1 | Away attack | 1,579.7 |
| 1,569.3 | Home defence | 1,586.1 |
| 1,573.1 | Away defence | 1,672.2 |
| Match profile | ||
| 1,960 | Goal environment | 1,820 |
| 1,798.3 | Home goals | 1,776.7 |
| 1,661.7 | Away goals | 1,543.3 |
| 1,546.1 | Possession | 1,511.5 |
| Specialist ratings | ||
| 1,523.5 | Set-piece attack | 1,559.3 |
| 1,523.1 | Set-piece defence | 1,557.5 |
| 1,587.2 | Close games | 1,642.4 |
| 1,687.7 | Winning margin | 1,831.1 |
Match venue compares Beijing Guoan at home with Shanghai Shenhua away. All ratings are within this league.
Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.
📝 Match Preview
The Chinese Super League returns with a pivotal clash between Beijing Guoan and Shanghai Shenhua at Beijing Guoan's home venue. Kickoff is scheduled for 2026-03-21. Both teams enter the match with contrasting momentum, setting up a fascinating tactical battle. Beijing Guoan arrives in strong form, boasting a 60% win rate across their last 10 games. Their home performance is particularly potent, averaging 2.80 goals scored per home game while conceding only 1.40. This offensive output is supported by a 60% home win rate from their last five home fixtures. In contrast, Shanghai Shenhua's away record is concerning. They have won 0% of their last six away games, averaging just 0.83 goals scored away and conceding 1.50 goals per away game. Their overall win rate across the last 10 matches sits at a modest 10%. The head-to-head record between these two giants is historically even, with 3 wins each and 3 draws in 9 total meetings. However, the recent trend favors the home side. Beijing Guoan's recent results include wins against Wuhan Three Towns (2-0) and SHANGHAI SIPG (2-0), despite a recent 2-1 loss to Shandong Luneng. Shanghai Shenhua, meanwhile, drew 1-1 with Hangzhou Greentown in their last outing. The last meeting ended in a 1-3 defeat for Guoan, but that was an away fixture for Guoan. At home, Guoan has a 50% win rate against Shenhua specifically. Goal expectancy models suggest a high-scoring affair, with an estimated 3.27 total goals (Home 2.15, Away 1.12). While the Over 2.5 Goals market offers limited value at 1.44, the Home Win market presents a compelling opportunity. With Guoan's 60% home win rate against Shenhua's 0% away win rate, the odds of 2.31 for a Beijing Guoan victory offer significant positive expected value. The disparity in form and venue performance strongly points to the home team securing the three points. **Key Points:** - Beijing Guoan averages 2.80 goals per home game. - Shanghai Shenhua has a 0% win rate in their last 6 away games. - Head-to-Head is even (3 wins each), but recent form favors Guoan. - Goal expectancy suggests 3.27 total goals. **Summary:** Based on the statistical advantage in home performance and the significant gap in away form, the recommended bet is Beijing Guoan to win.
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