Chongqing Tongliang Long host Dalian Zhixing in a Super League clash on August 23, 2026, with both sides looking to build momentum in the middle of the table. Chongqing sits in 7th place with 30 points from 23 games, while Dalian Zhixing occupies 5th with 33 points. The home side enters this fixture with a solid 50.00% win rate in their last four home matches, averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 goals conceded per game at their venue. In contrast, Dalian Zhixing has struggled to find victory on the road, recording a 0.00% win rate across their last six away fixtures, drawing 66.67% of those games. Head-to-head history heavily favors the home side in this specific matchup. Chongqing Tongliang Long boasts a perfect 2-0-0 record against Dalian Zhixing at home, securing a 100.00% win rate in previous encounters at this ground. Dalian's away form this season has been characterized by resilience rather than dominance, with an average of 1.17 goals scored and 1.67 goals conceded on the road. Their defensive vulnerability away from home aligns poorly with Chongqing's home attacking output, which has seen them create an average of 16.00 shots per home game compared to Dalian's 10.00 shots on their travels. Statistical models project a total goal expectancy of 2.66 for this fixture, with Chongqing expected to score 1.58 goals and Dalian 1.08. While the goal environment suggests a competitive match, Chongqing's home defensive solidity combined with Dalian's road scoring struggles points toward a narrow home advantage. Chongqing's recent tactical metrics show improved shot volume at home and a pass accuracy of 87.5%, indicating they can control possession and territory effectively. Dalian, meanwhile, has seen their points trend improve recently, but their away win drought and higher concession rate make a third straight road defeat a distinct possibility. Odds for a home victory sit at 2.20, offering a mathematical edge given Chongqing's historical dominance here and Dalian's persistent road winless streak. The combination of venue-specific form, head-to-head leverage, and shot creation metrics supports backing the home side to secure all three points. Key Points: - Chongqing Tongliang Long holds a 100.00% win rate against Dalian Zhixing in home fixtures. - Dalian Zhixing has failed to win any of their last six away matches, drawing 66.67% of them. - Chongqing averages 1.50 goals scored and 16.00 shots per home game, while Dalian concedes 1.67 goals away. - Poisson modeling indicates a total goal expectancy of 2.66, favoring a tight, low-margin home victory. Selection: Home Win at 2.20.