⚽️
Folgore Caratese1-1Desenzano Calvina
Sat, 28 Mar 2026, 07:00
Full Time

Match Timeline

34'
Unknown Player⚽
Normal Goal
52'
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Normal Goal
56'
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Normal Goal
69'
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Normal Goal
77'
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Normal Goal
90'
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Normal Goal

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Olympic Kingsway
Olympic Kingsway
Form: W-W-D-W-W
Perth Glory II
Perth Glory II
Form: L-W-D-D-D
Record
6 W
2 D
2 L
•
4 W
3 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
1.6
Scored
vs
2.3
Scored
1.1
Conceded
vs
1.8
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
0%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
90%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:3.5
Away:1.1
Conceded
Home:2.5
Away:0.8
Scored
Home:3.0
Away:2.1
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:2.0

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
Olympic Kingsway versus Perth Glory II: long term ELO, before the match
Olympic KingswayHomeRatingPerth Glory IIAway
Strength
1,728Overall1,556.2
1,635.8Match venue1,525.5
1,635.8At home1,481.2
1,643.4Away1,525.5
Attack & defence
1,602.2Attack1,588.1
1,650.1Defence1,499.1
1,599.5Home attack1,533.5
1,558.8Away attack1,574.8
1,575.8Home defence1,474.9
1,629Away defence1,489.4
Match profile
1,688.3Goal environment2,050
1,623.3Home goals1,793.3
1,565Away goals1,756.7
1,500Possession1,500
Specialist ratings
1,500Set-piece attack1,500
1,500Set-piece defence1,500
1,618.6Close games1,480.3
1,760.6Winning margin1,585.2

Match venue compares Olympic Kingsway at home with Perth Glory II away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

Olympic Kingsway vs Perth Glory II - Betting Preview
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.62
Expected Value:+21.5%
Confidence:75

Olympic Kingsway host Perth Glory II in a Western Australia NPL clash on March 28, 2026. The home side enters this fixture in dominant form, sitting comfortably at the top of the league table with 10 points from 4 games (3 wins, 1 draw). In stark contrast, Perth Glory II sits in 7th place with just 5 points from 4 matches (1 win, 2 draws, 1 loss). The historical record is the most compelling data point for this fixture. In their last 6 meetings, Olympic Kingsway has won every single time. The average scoreline in these games favors the hosts heavily, with Kingsway scoring an average of 3.17 goals per game while conceding only 1.17. Four of those six matches saw Over 2.5 Goals, highlighting the attacking nature of their historical encounters. Statistically, the home advantage is significant. Olympic Kingsway averages 3.50 goals per game at home, while Perth Glory II concedes an average of 2.00 goals per game when playing away. The goal expectancy for this match suggests a high-scoring affair, with a combined expected goal total of 5.06. Despite this, the market odds for Over 2.5 Goals are priced at 1.40, which implies a 71.4% probability. Given the H2H history where Over 2.5 occurred in 66.7% of meetings, the value on goals is marginal. However, the Home Win market at 1.62 implies a probability of roughly 61.7%. Considering Olympic Kingsway's perfect 6-0 H2H record and their current league dominance, the true probability of a home victory likely exceeds 70%. This discrepancy creates a clear positive Expected Value (EV) opportunity. The team's recent form shows 3 wins in their last 4 league games, and they have not lost a home game in their last 10 matches. Key Points: - Olympic Kingsway leads the table (10 pts) vs Perth Glory II (5 pts). - H2H Record: Kingsway has won all 6 previous encounters. - Kingsway averages 3.50 goals/game at home. - Perth Glory II concedes 2.00 goals/game away. - Recommended Bet: Olympic Kingsway to Win. In summary, the combination of perfect head-to-head dominance, superior league position, and strong home attacking stats makes the Home Win the most logical value selection.

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