Rangers host Hibernian at Ibrox in a Premiership fixture where historical dominance meets current tactical volatility. Rangers sit second in the table with 69 points from 33 matches, carrying a formidable 80% home win rate against Hibernian across their last ten meetings. However, the Gers have dropped points in three consecutive league games, suffering defeats to Celtic, Hearts, and Motherwell. Their last ten outings show 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with an average of 2.30 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. At home, Rangers average 2.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded, boasting an impressive 80% Both Teams to Score rate over their last ten fixtures. Hibernian arrive in decent shape, sitting fifth with 51 points from 33 games. They have won four, drawn three, and lost three in their last ten matches, scoring 15 and conceding 11. Away from home, Hibs average 1.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded, with a 50% Both Teams to Score rate. Their recent form includes a 3-1 away victory over Falkirk and a 2-1 defeat to Celtic, demonstrating they can compete against top sides but consistently find the back of the net. The statistical profile points towards an open, competitive encounter. Rangers' home defensive record of 1.60 goals conceded per game, combined with Hibernian's 1.60 away goals scored, creates a high probability for both sides finding the net. The market prices Both Teams to Score at 1.67, implying a 59.9% probability. Given Rangers' 80% BTTS rate at home and Hibernian's consistent away scoring output, the model calculates a success probability of approximately 68%. This presents a clear mathematical edge of over 8% over the bookmaker's implied probability. Furthermore, the goal expectancy for this fixture sits at 1.90 for Rangers and 1.60 for Hibernian, projecting a total of 3.50 goals. While Over 2.5 Goals is priced at 1.57, the historical H2H trend of tight contests (including a 0-0 last meeting) and the variance in Rangers' recent defensive lapses make the BTTS market the more reliable value play. Rangers' 40% home win rate in their last five matches contrasts with Hibernian's 40% away win rate, suggesting neither side will dominate completely, further supporting goals at both ends. Key Points: - Rangers have an 80% home win rate against Hibernian historically, but recent form shows 3 consecutive losses. - Rangers' home BTTS rate is 80% over the last 10 games, averaging 2.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded at Ibrox. - Hibernian average 1.60 goals scored away from home and have a 50% BTTS rate in their last 10 matches. - Combined goal expectancy is 3.50, with both teams showing consistent scoring and conceding metrics. - The market odds of 1.67 for Both Teams to Score offer an estimated 8% edge over the model's 68% probability. Recommendation: Both Teams to Score