Thisted FC hosts Naestved in the 2. Division on April 11, 2026. Naestved enters this fixture in exceptional form, remaining unbeaten in their last 10 matches with 4 wins and 6 draws. Their away performance is particularly striking, boasting a 75% win rate in their last 4 away games, averaging 2.75 goals scored per game on the road. In contrast, Thisted FC has struggled at home, managing only 0.33 goals per game in their last 3 home fixtures. The league table reflects this disparity. Naestved sits in 2nd place with 44 points, while Thisted FC trails in 5th with 33 points. Historically, Naestved dominates this matchup. In 9 head-to-head meetings, Naestved has won 5 times compared to Thisted's 2 wins. The last five encounters saw Naestved win 3, with Thisted winning 1 and 1 draw. The most recent meeting on 2025-11-09 ended 1-2 in favor of Naestved. Goal expectancy models suggest a total of 2.63 goals (Home 0.92, Away 1.71). While Over 2.5 Goals is an option at 2.00 odds, the primary signal points to a Naestved victory. Thisted's home scoring drought (0.33 goals/game) combined with Naestved's potent away attack (2.75 goals/game) makes the away win the most logical value selection. Naestved's defensive record is also solid, conceding only 0.90 goals per game overall. With a 60% Both Teams to Score rate for Naestved and Thisted's low scoring output, the match leans heavily towards an away win. The odds of 2.18 for Naestved offer significant value given their current form and historical dominance. **Key Points:** * Naestved unbeaten in last 10 games. * Naestved Away Win Rate: 75%. * Thisted Home Goals: 0.33 per game. * H2H: Naestved won 5 of 9 meetings. * Goal Expectancy: 2.63 total. **Prediction:** Naestved to win.