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Fri, 24 Apr 2026, 17:00
Full Time
1:2
HT: 1 - 0

Match Timeline

34'
G. Callo
Normal Goal
53'
K. Zohore
Normal Goal
70'
K. Zohore
Normal Goal

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Skive
Skive
Form: W-L-D-D-L
Fremad Amager
Fremad Amager
Form: W-L-D-W-W
Record
3 W
4 D
3 L
5 W
3 D
2 L
Goals Per Game
1.1
Scored
vs
1.1
Scored
1.3
Conceded
vs
0.6
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
40%
Clean Sheets
70%
BTTS
30%
BTTS
20%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:0.8
Away:1.5
Conceded
Home:1.5
Away:1.0
Scored
Home:1.2
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:0.7
Away:0.5

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1445
Average
1582
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1425
↓ Momentum (-20)
1629
↑ Momentum (+47)
Expected Outcome
23%
Home Win
27%
Draw
50%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1399
Attack
1484
1555
Defence
1584
Recent Form
1357
Attack
1482
1589
Defence
1621
Post-Match Changes
-12
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Skive vs Fremad Amager Betting Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.45
Expected Value:+22.5%
Confidence:7

Skive hosts Fremad Amager in the Danish 2. Division this Thursday, April 24th. The match kicks off at 17:00, and the data points towards a challenging encounter for the home side. Skive has struggled to convert home advantage into wins, recording only a 16.67% win rate in their last six home fixtures. Their offensive output is particularly concerning, averaging just 0.83 goals per game at home, while conceding 1.50 goals per game in that same period. Fremad Amager arrives in much stronger form, boasting a 50% win rate over their last ten games. Their defensive record away from home is impressive, conceding only 0.50 goals per game and maintaining a 70% clean sheet rate in their last ten matches. They recently secured a 1-0 victory against FC Helsingor, highlighting their ability to grind out results on the road. Head-to-head history is a significant factor here. In the last ten meetings, Fremad Amager has won five times, while Skive has managed only one victory. More importantly, Skive has failed to win at home against Fremad Amager in recent history. The last five meetings produced three draws and two Fremad Amager wins, with scores including 1-1, 0-0, and 0-1. This historical dominance suggests Fremad Amager holds the psychological edge. From a betting perspective, the market prices an Away Win at 2.45. This implies a probability of roughly 40.8%. However, Fremad Amager's actual away win rate stands at 50% based on recent form. This discrepancy indicates a value edge of over 9%, comfortably exceeding the minimum threshold for a worthwhile bet. While Under 2.5 Goals is also attractive at 1.60, the odds are borderline for long-term profitability. The Away Win offers a superior risk-reward profile given the H2H dominance and Fremad Amager's defensive solidity. **Key Points:** - Fremad Amager has a 50% win rate in last 10 games. - Skive averages only 0.83 goals per game at home. - H2H record heavily favors Fremad Amager (5 wins vs 1). - Fremad Amager concedes just 0.50 goals per game away. - Away Win odds (2.45) offer significant value compared to implied probability. **Summary:** Based on Fremad Amager's superior form, defensive record, and head-to-head dominance, the recommended bet is **Fremad Amager to Win (Away Win)**.

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