⚽️
Treaty United0-3UCD
Sat, 5 Sept 2026, 18:45
Serie A
Italy
Italy
Full Time
2:1
HT: 0 - 0

Match Timeline

40'
Gian Piero Gasperini🟨
Yellow Card
45'
Gianluca Scamacca🔄
Substitution 1 → Nikola Krstović
47'
Éderson José dos Santos⚽
Normal Goal
54'
Emanuele Lulli🔄
Substitution 1 → Nahuel Molina
54'
Rodrigo Mora🔄
Substitution 2 → Matias Soule
55'
Maurizio Sarri🟨
Yellow Card
62'
Gianluca Mancini🔄
Substitution 3 → Daniele Ghilardi
63'
Donyell Malen🔄
Substitution 4 → Santiago Thomas Castro
66'
Elif Elmas🔄
Substitution 2 → Nicola Zalewski
66'
Lazar Samardzic🔄
Substitution 3 → Mario Pašalić
67'
Evan Ndicka🔄
Substitution 5 → Leonardo Balerdi
73'
Sead Kolašinac🔄
Substitution 4 → Davide Zappacosta
79'
Éderson José dos Santos🔄
Substitution 5 → Franck Kessié
84'
Raoul Bellanova🟨
Yellow Card
89'
Mario Hermoso⚽
Normal Goal → Matias Soule
90+3'
Matias Soule⚽
Normal Goal → Paulo Dybala
90+7'
Gianluca Gaetano🟥
Red Card

Match Statistics

549Passes accurate254
28Shots insidebox6
11Shots outsidebox0
9Blocked Shots1
10Free Kicks9
10Shots on Goal2
1Goalkeeper Saves9
20Shots off Goal3
4Offsides4
615Total passes324
39Total Shots6
14Corner Kicks1
0Red Cards1
0Yellow Cards1
9Fouls10
66Ball Possession34

Starting Lineups

AS RomaAS Roma1:1

Starting XI

99M. SvilarG
22HermosoD
43WesleyM
86Rodrigo MoraM
14D. MalenF
5E. NdickaD
17M. KonéM
21P. DybalaF
23G. ManciniD
4B. CristanteM
77E. LulliM

AtalantaAtalanta1:1

Starting XI

29M. CarnesecchiG
23S. KolašinacD
13ÉdersonM
99E. ElmasF
42G. ScalviniD
70G. GaetanoM
9G. ScamaccaF
3O. KossounouD
10L. SamardžićM
17C. De KetelaereF
16R. BellanovaD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

AS Roma
AS Roma
Form: W-W-D-L-W
Atalanta
Atalanta
Form: W-W-W-D-W
Record
6 W
2 D
2 L
•
6 W
2 D
2 L
Goals Per Game
2.5
Scored
vs
1.3
Scored
1.5
Conceded
vs
0.7
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
40%
Clean Sheets
50%
BTTS
50%
BTTS
40%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:3.0
Away:2.4
Conceded
Home:0.0
Away:1.9
Scored
Home:0.8
Away:1.8
Conceded
Home:0.4
Away:1.0

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
AS Roma versus Atalanta: long term ELO, before the match
AS RomaHomeRatingAtalantaAway
Strength
1,753.1Overall1,686.6
1,760Match venue1,673.1
1,760At home1,659.2
1,612.3Away1,673.1
Attack & defence
1,657.5Attack1,561.4
1,703Defence1,660.1
1,643.2Home attack1,544.3
1,549.3Away attack1,601.6
1,723.3Home defence1,639.5
1,629Away defence1,639
Match profile
2,100Goal environment1,990
1,868.3Home goals1,811.7
1,731.7Away goals1,678.3
1,530.3Possession1,523.6
Specialist ratings
1,524.7Set-piece attack1,523.3
1,524.8Set-piece defence1,523.1
1,577.1Close games1,588.9
1,800.1Winning margin1,713.3

Match venue compares AS Roma at home with Atalanta away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

AS Roma vs Atalanta | Serie A Preview
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.91
Expected Value:+35.6%
Confidence:7

AS Roma enters this Serie A fixture in scintillating form, currently sitting at the top of the table after two perfect wins. Their offensive output has been nothing short of explosive, highlighted by a 4-0 victory over Lecce and a commanding 4-0 win against Fiorentina. At home, Roma has been particularly potent, averaging 3.00 goals per game. They have demonstrated a clear ability to break down defenses, maintaining a high win rate and a significant goal difference in their opening matches. Atalanta, meanwhile, occupies the 5th spot in the standings, also boasting a 100% win rate in their opening two matches. While their scoring rate is more modest than Roma's, they have shown defensive discipline, conceding only 0.70 goals per game on average. Away from home, Atalanta has managed to find the net consistently, averaging 1.80 goals per game. Their recent results, including a 2-1 win over Sassuolo and a 1-0 victory against Bologna, suggest a team that is balanced and capable of producing results on the road. Historically, Atalanta has held the upper hand in this matchup, winning six of the last ten encounters. However, the current momentum favors a high-scoring affair. With Roma’s home scoring trends and Atalanta’s ability to find the back of the net away from home, the goal environment is primed for action. Mathematical modeling provides a goal expectancy of 3.65 for this match, which strongly aligns with the attacking trends of both sides. Given Roma's current scoring streak and the fact that both teams are starting the season with perfect records, we expect an open game. While Roma is the favorite to control much of the possession, Atalanta's tactical setup often leaves space for counter-attacks. The combination of Roma's 3.00 home goals per game and Atalanta's 1.80 away goals per game points toward a productive night for both offenses. While Roma's home win rate against Atalanta is historically low (20%), the sheer volume of goals produced by both sides suggests that the goal market offers the best value. Key Points: - AS Roma is in peak form, scoring 8 goals in their first two league matches. - Roma averages 3.00 goals per game at home. - Atalanta averages 1.80 goals per game away from home. - Goal expectancy for this fixture is 3.65. - Atalanta has a historical advantage in H2H, but Roma's current form is superior. The best value lies in the goal market, as both sides are showing high offensive efficiency. Recommended Bet: Over 2.5 Goals

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