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Finn Harps1-0Kerry
Thu, 29 Oct 2026, 03:00
Liga MX
Mexico
Mexico
Not Started

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Club America
Club America
Form: W-D-L-L-D
Club Tijuana
Club Tijuana
Form: L-D-L-W-L
Record
1 W
7 D
2 L
•
2 W
5 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
1.1
Scored
vs
1.0
Scored
1.1
Conceded
vs
1.2
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
50%
Clean Sheets
50%
BTTS
40%
BTTS
40%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:1.2
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:1.2
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:1.8

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Club America versus Club Tijuana: long term ELO, before the match
Club AmericaHomeRatingClub TijuanaAway
Strength
1,624.6Overall1,560.3
1,665.3Match venue1,426.7
1,665.3At home1,598.6
1,596.3Away1,426.7
Attack & defence
1,570.5Attack1,522.9
1,602Defence1,566.7
1,574.9Home attack1,559.7
1,532.3Away attack1,451.9
1,652.1Home defence1,582.4
1,583.6Away defence1,484.9
Match profile
1,721.7Goal environment1,708.3
1,598.3Home goals1,591.7
1,623.3Away goals1,616.7
1,531.8Possession1,479.8
Specialist ratings
1,548.8Set-piece attack1,434.9
1,548.2Set-piece defence1,436.7
1,562.8Close games1,492.8
1,643Winning margin1,572.9

Match venue compares Club America at home with Club Tijuana away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

Club America Dominance at Home vs Struggling Tijuana
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.53
Expected Value:+14.8%
Confidence:8

Club America enters this Liga MX fixture as the heavy favorites, currently sitting at the summit of the table with 16 points. Their form has been exceptional, remaining unbeaten in their last 10 matches with a 70% win rate. The most compelling statistic for this matchup is their home dominance; Club America has won 75% of their last 8 home games, establishing a fortress that has proven difficult for opponents to breach. In contrast, Club Tijuana faces a significant uphill battle. While they occupy third place, their away form is a major concern, with a win rate of only 16.67% over their last 6 road trips. Tijuana's goal production on the road is notably low, averaging just 0.83 goals per game, while they have struggled to maintain defensive solidity, conceding 2.00 goals per game away from home. This creates a stark contrast with Club America, who average 2.38 goals per game at home while maintaining a disciplined defense that concedes only 0.62 goals per game in their own backyard. Head-to-head history also leans heavily in favor of the hosts, with Club America winning 5 of the last 10 encounters. While the most recent meeting ended in a 0-0 stalemate, the current dynamics of both squads suggest a different outcome. Club America's goal expectancy (λ) of 2.19 at home, compared to Tijuana's 0.73 away, points toward a comfortable victory for the leaders. With America's defensive stability and Tijuana's struggles to find the back of the net on the road, the data strongly supports a home victory. Key Points: - Club America is unbeaten in 10 games and holds a 75% win rate at home over their last 8 fixtures. - Club Tijuana has a poor away record, winning only 16.67% of their last 6 road games. - Club America averages 2.38 goals at home, while Tijuana averages only 0.83 goals away. - Goal expectancy favors Club America significantly (2.19 vs 0.73). - Club America's defense is elite at home, conceding just 0.62 goals per game. Given the disparity in home/away form and the statistical dominance of Club America, the most logical selection is a Home Win.

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