Match Timeline
Tomoki Hayakawa🟨
A. WatanabeA. Watanabe⚽N. Ueda🔄Matheus Bueno🔄Elber🔄A. Watanabe⚽Leo Ceara⚽A. Watanabe⚽Y. Torikai🔄R. Nemoto🔄R. Hirose🔄Kotaro Uchino🟨A. Watanabe🔄K. Taniguchi🔄G. Shibasaki🔄Leo Ceara⚽K. Osaki🔄Match Statistics
Starting Lineups
Mito Hollyhock1:1
Starting XI
Kashima1:1
Starting XI
Head-to-Head
📈 Team Form & Statistics
ELO comparison
Pre-match ratings
 Mito HollyhockHome | Rating |  KashimaAway |
|---|---|---|
| Strength | ||
| 1,456.2 | Overall | 1,760.9 |
| 1,485.5 | Match venue | 1,632.3 |
| 1,485.5 | At home | 1,750.6 |
| 1,459 | Away | 1,632.3 |
| Attack & defence | ||
| 1,468.4 | Attack | 1,588.6 |
| 1,489.1 | Defence | 1,662.1 |
| 1,472.9 | Home attack | 1,586.2 |
| 1,484.2 | Away attack | 1,546.6 |
| 1,514 | Home defence | 1,682.4 |
| 1,462.3 | Away defence | 1,615.2 |
| Match profile | ||
| 1,520 | Goal environment | 1,741.7 |
| 1,493.3 | Home goals | 1,541.7 |
| 1,526.7 | Away goals | 1,700 |
| 1,493.2 | Possession | 1,534.5 |
| Specialist ratings | ||
| 1,520.9 | Set-piece attack | 1,484.6 |
| 1,519.7 | Set-piece defence | 1,485.1 |
| 1,469.3 | Close games | 1,678 |
| 1,448.9 | Winning margin | 1,778.5 |
Match venue compares Mito Hollyhock at home with Kashima away. All ratings are within this league.
Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.
📝 Match Preview
Mito Hollyhock enters this fixture in a period of significant struggle. Currently sitting in 11th place with only 5 points from four matches, the home side has struggled to find consistency, recording a win rate of just 10% over their last 10 games. Their home form is particularly concerning; they have failed to secure a single victory in their last seven home appearances. Defensively, Mito has been porous, conceding an average of 1.86 goals per game at home while struggling to create chances, averaging only 0.57 goals scored in the same period. Kashima, conversely, is enjoying a dominant start to the season. Occupying 2nd place in the J1 League, they remain undefeated with four wins from four matches. Their offensive output has been prolific, averaging 2.40 goals per game across their last 10 outings. On the road, Kashima has been equally formidable, maintaining a 75% win rate over their last four away fixtures. They have shown a knack for high-scoring victories, including a 3-2 win over Avispa Fukuoka and a 3-4 win against Yokohama F. Marinos. The head-to-head history further reinforces Kashima's superiority. In their four previous meetings, Mito Hollyhock has not managed to win a single match, with the most recent encounter ending in a convincing 3-0 victory for Kashima. With a goal expectancy of 1.93 for the visitors compared to 1.29 for the hosts, the data suggests a match where Kashima's superior firepower will likely overwhelm Mito's struggling defense. While the odds of 2.09 for an Away Win might seem standard, the disparity in current form—90% win rate for Kashima versus a 10% win rate for Mito—provides a significant value edge. Kashima's ability to maintain clean sheets (60% in last 10) combined with their high-scoring away trend makes them the clear favorites to take all three points. Key Points: - Kashima is undefeated in their first 4 games, sitting 2nd in the table. - Mito Hollyhock has a 0% win rate in their last 7 home games. - Kashima has a 75% win rate in their last 4 away matches. - Head-to-head record favors Kashima with 2 wins and 2 draws in 4 matches. - Goal expectancy favors Kashima at 1.93 goals per game. Recommended Bet: Away Win
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