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New Zealand U20 W0-8United States U20 W
Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 09:30
Not Started

Head-to-Head

💰 Best Odds

Match Winner
Home
2.38
Betfair
Draw
3.50
BetVictor
Away
3.01
Pinnacle
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
1.97
Pinnacle
Under 2.5
1.90
Bet365
Both Teams Score
Yes
1.73
Betfair
No
2.10
Betfair

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📈 Team Form & Statistics

Urawa
Urawa
Form: W-W-W-W-L
Fagiano Okayama
Fagiano Okayama
Form: W-W-L-W-D
Record
4 W
1 D
5 L
4 W
2 D
4 L
Goals Per Game
2.1
Scored
vs
1.2
Scored
2.4
Conceded
vs
1.2
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS
70%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:2.4
Conceded
Home:2.0
Away:2.8
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:0.8
Conceded
Home:0.5
Away:1.7

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1593
Average
1522
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1586
↓ Momentum (-8)
1558
↑ Momentum (+37)
Expected Outcome
42%
Home Win
30%
Draw
28%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1523
Attack
1463
1563
Defence
1565
Recent Form
1529
Attack
1476
1542
Defence
1577
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Urawa vs Fagiano Okayama | J1 League Preview
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.90
Expected Value:+23.5%
Confidence:7

Urawa enters this J1 League fixture with significant momentum, having secured four consecutive victories in their last seven outings. This hot streak has seen them find a productive rhythm, highlighted by high-scoring results such as a 3-2 win over Yokohama F. Marinos and a 3-1 victory against Kashima. However, this offensive output is balanced by a vulnerable backline; Urawa has conceded an average of 2.40 goals per game over their last 10 matches, indicating a game environment where both teams are likely to find the back of the net. Fagiano Okayama currently occupies 8th place in the standings. While they have shown a degree of consistency, their away form remains a point of concern, as they have averaged only 0.83 goals per game on the road. Despite this, they recently secured a 2-1 away win against JEF United Chiba, proving they can find the net in hostile environments. The head-to-head history shows a balanced rivalry, with the last meeting resulting in a 0-2 victory for Okayama, but Urawa's current form suggests they will be far more proactive in this encounter. From a technical standpoint, Urawa’s goal-scoring trend is on an upward trajectory, with a 3-game moving average of 2.33 goals scored. When we look at the goal expectancy (λ), the model predicts a combined total of 3.15 goals (1.73 for Urawa and 1.42 for Okayama). Given that Urawa's home goal environment is characterized by high-scoring volatility and their defensive record is prone to lapses, the likelihood of exceeding the 2.5-goal threshold is substantial. With the market offering 1.90 for Over 2.5 Goals, there is a clear value proposition. The data suggests a high-scoring environment where Urawa's attacking intent meets a defensive structure that has struggled to maintain clean sheets recently. We expect a dynamic game where the 2.5-goal line is comfortably surpassed. Key Points: - Urawa is on a 4-game winning streak with high scoring output (3-2, 3-1). - Urawa's defense is leaky, conceding 2.40 goals per game on average. - Fagiano Okayama struggles for goals on the road (0.83 avg). - Poisson Goal Expectancy stands at 3.15, well above the 2.5 threshold. - Urawa's points and goals scored trends are both improving. The chosen bet is Over 2.5 Goals.

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