Match Timeline
Danilo🔄
Hiroshi Omori⚽Harumi Minamino⚽Eiji Miyamoto🟨Ataru Esaka🔄Kota Kawano🔄Lucas Marcos Meireles🟨Matheus Sávio🔄Tatsuki Seko🔄Lucas Marcos Meireles🔄Kota Mizunuma🔄Ado Onaiwu🔄Haruka Motoyama🟨Ibuki Fujita🔄Kosuke Shirai🔄Hayate Ueki 🟨Eiji Miyamoto🔄Hayate Ueki 🔄Yugo Tatsuta⚽Match Statistics
Starting Lineups
Urawa1:1
Starting XI
Fagiano Okayama1:1
Starting XI
Head-to-Head
📈 Team Form & Statistics
ELO comparison
Pre-match ratings
 UrawaHome | Rating |  Fagiano OkayamaAway |
|---|---|---|
| Strength | ||
| 1,562.9 | Overall | 1,552.4 |
| 1,593.2 | Match venue | 1,513.9 |
| 1,593.2 | At home | 1,521.7 |
| 1,511 | Away | 1,513.9 |
| Attack & defence | ||
| 1,520.8 | Attack | 1,499.5 |
| 1,562.8 | Defence | 1,565.5 |
| 1,522.9 | Home attack | 1,463.1 |
| 1,471.8 | Away attack | 1,501.4 |
| 1,599.6 | Home defence | 1,571 |
| 1,559.7 | Away defence | 1,532.5 |
| Match profile | ||
| 1,708.3 | Goal environment | 1,450 |
| 1,653.3 | Home goals | 1,443.3 |
| 1,555 | Away goals | 1,506.7 |
| 1,518.7 | Possession | 1,455.8 |
| Specialist ratings | ||
| 1,498.9 | Set-piece attack | 1,518.2 |
| 1,498.9 | Set-piece defence | 1,517.5 |
| 1,521.1 | Close games | 1,511.1 |
| 1,572.9 | Winning margin | 1,567.7 |
Match venue compares Urawa at home with Fagiano Okayama away. All ratings are within this league.
Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.
📝 Match Preview
Urawa enters this J1 League fixture with significant momentum, having secured four consecutive victories in their last seven outings. This hot streak has seen them find a productive rhythm, highlighted by high-scoring results such as a 3-2 win over Yokohama F. Marinos and a 3-1 victory against Kashima. However, this offensive output is balanced by a vulnerable backline; Urawa has conceded an average of 2.40 goals per game over their last 10 matches, indicating a game environment where both teams are likely to find the back of the net. Fagiano Okayama currently occupies 8th place in the standings. While they have shown a degree of consistency, their away form remains a point of concern, as they have averaged only 0.83 goals per game on the road. Despite this, they recently secured a 2-1 away win against JEF United Chiba, proving they can find the net in hostile environments. The head-to-head history shows a balanced rivalry, with the last meeting resulting in a 0-2 victory for Okayama, but Urawa's current form suggests they will be far more proactive in this encounter. From a technical standpoint, Urawa’s goal-scoring trend is on an upward trajectory, with a 3-game moving average of 2.33 goals scored. When we look at the goal expectancy (λ), the model predicts a combined total of 3.15 goals (1.73 for Urawa and 1.42 for Okayama). Given that Urawa's home goal environment is characterized by high-scoring volatility and their defensive record is prone to lapses, the likelihood of exceeding the 2.5-goal threshold is substantial. With the market offering 1.90 for Over 2.5 Goals, there is a clear value proposition. The data suggests a high-scoring environment where Urawa's attacking intent meets a defensive structure that has struggled to maintain clean sheets recently. We expect a dynamic game where the 2.5-goal line is comfortably surpassed. Key Points: - Urawa is on a 4-game winning streak with high scoring output (3-2, 3-1). - Urawa's defense is leaky, conceding 2.40 goals per game on average. - Fagiano Okayama struggles for goals on the road (0.83 avg). - Poisson Goal Expectancy stands at 3.15, well above the 2.5 threshold. - Urawa's points and goals scored trends are both improving. The chosen bet is Over 2.5 Goals.
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