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Sat, 19 Sept 2026, 10:00
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Match Timeline

10'
João Pedro⚽
Normal Goal → Rafael Papagaio
18'
Yugo Tatsuta🟨
Yellow Card
45'
Ryuma Nakano🔄
Substitution 1 → Alex Souza
45'
Haruki Arai🔄
Substitution 2 → Temma Matsuda
45+1'
Na Sang-Ho⚽
Normal Goal
50'
Rafael Papagaio🟨
Yellow Card
54'
Lucas Marcos Meireles
Card upgrade confirmed
57'
Lucas Marcos Meireles🟥
Red Card
60'
Ataru Esaka🔄
Substitution 1 → Léo Gaúcho
69'
Ibuki Fujita🔄
Substitution 2 → Kamiya Yuta
69'
Towa Yamane🔄
Substitution 3 → Noah Kenshin Browne
71'
Ren Kato🔄
Substitution 3 → Ryosuke Yamanaka
76'
Yoshitake Suzuki🟨
Yellow Card
79'
João Pedro🔄
Substitution 4 → Shun Nagasawa
84'
Hisashi Appiah Tawiah🔄
Substitution 5 → Yusuke Ishida
89'
Na Sang-Ho🔄
Substitution 4 → Daichi Tagami
89'
Kosuke Shirai🔄
Substitution 5 → Masaya Matsumoto
90+1'
Kyo Sato🟨
Yellow Card
90+2'
Alex Souza⚽
Normal Goal → Ryosuke Yamanaka

Match Statistics

192Passes accurate428
4Shots insidebox6
3Shots outsidebox7
3Blocked Shots1
10Free Kicks11
1Shots on Goal3
1Goalkeeper Saves0
3Shots off Goal9
1Offsides1
288Total passes529
1Red Cards0
7Total Shots13
2Yellow Cards2
7Corner Kicks3
11Fouls10
36Ball Possession64

Starting Lineups

Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1:1

Starting XI

1L. MoserG
43Y. SuzukiD
51K. ShiraiM
10Na Sang-HoM
99LucãoF
48Y. TatsutaD
80OberdanM
8A. EsakaM
6H. OmoriD
24I. FujitaM
88T. YamaneM

Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1:1

Starting XI

90HallsG
44K. SatoD
10S. FukuokaM
48R. NakanoM
9Rafael EliasF
15K. NagataD
6João PedroM
26R. KatoM
50Y. SuzukiD
77H. AraiM
5H. TawiahD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Fagiano Okayama
Fagiano Okayama
Form: W-W-W-L-W
Kyoto Sanga
Kyoto Sanga
Form: L-L-L-D-W
Record
5 W
1 D
4 L
•
2 W
2 D
6 L
Goals Per Game
1.4
Scored
vs
1.1
Scored
1.3
Conceded
vs
1.9
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
10%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
70%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:1.2
Conceded
Home:0.5
Away:1.8
Scored
Home:1.4
Away:0.8
Conceded
Home:2.2
Away:1.6

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
Fagiano Okayama versus Kyoto Sanga: long term ELO, before the match
Fagiano OkayamaHomeRatingKyoto SangaAway
Strength
1,568.9Overall1,487.1
1,521.7Match venue1,527.3
1,521.7At home1,509.6
1,529.2Away1,527.3
Attack & defence
1,507.2Attack1,475.9
1,568.4Defence1,494.5
1,463.1Home attack1,511.6
1,510.5Away attack1,457.2
1,571Home defence1,510.4
1,536.9Away defence1,530
Match profile
1,451.7Goal environment1,491.7
1,443.3Home goals1,505
1,508.3Away goals1,486.7
1,455.5Possession1,506.6
Specialist ratings
1,522.4Set-piece attack1,456.8
1,521.5Set-piece defence1,458.1
1,526.5Close games1,532.5
1,583.9Winning margin1,465.6

Match venue compares Fagiano Okayama at home with Kyoto Sanga away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga: Home Dominance Expected
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.85
Expected Value:+29.5%
Confidence:75

Fagiano Okayama enters this J1 League fixture in formidable home form, looking to capitalize on a significant disparity in current momentum against a struggling Kyoto Sanga side. Occupying 6th place in the standings, Okayama has established itself as a difficult opponent to break down at home. Their performance over the last four home matches is particularly telling, boasting a 75.00% win rate with zero losses. This defensive stability is underscored by a remarkable home goals-conceded average of just 0.50 per game. On the offensive front, Okayama has been clinical, averaging 1.75 goals per game at home. They arrive at this match on the back of a three-match winning streak, including a 3-2 victory over Sanfrecce Hiroshima and a 2-1 win against Urawa. Their goals-scored trend is currently improving, providing a strong mathematical foundation for a home victory. The team's ability to maintain defensive integrity while finding the net consistently makes them a high-probability favorite in this matchup. In contrast, Kyoto Sanga is currently enduring a difficult period, languishing in 17th place with only 5 points from 7 matches. Their away form has been virtually non-existent, with a 0.00% win rate across their last five road trips. Kyoto's scoring output on the road is a major concern, as they have averaged a meager 0.80 goals per game. Furthermore, their goals-scored trend is currently declining, and they are coming off a three-match losing streak against Daejeon Citizen (0-1), Kashiwa Reysol (2-3), and FC Tokyo (0-2). While historical head-to-head data shows some mixed results, the current context strongly favors the hosts. Kyoto Sanga's defensive vulnerabilities (conceding 1.90 goals per game overall) and their inability to secure points away from home create a perfect storm for an Okayama side that is currently playing some of its best football of the season. With Okayama's superior league position and Kyoto's lack of away production, the data points toward a comfortable home win. Key Points: - Fagiano Okayama has a 75.00% win rate in their last 4 home games. - Kyoto Sanga has a 0.00% win rate in their last 5 away games. - Okayama's home defense is elite, conceding only 0.50 goals per game. - Kyoto Sanga is currently in 17th place with a 20.00% overall win rate. - Okayama is on a 3-match winning streak, while Kyoto is on a 3-match losing streak. The data suggests a high-probability victory for the hosts given the massive gap in form and home/away splits. Recommended Bet: Home Win

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