Match Timeline
Match Statistics
Starting Lineups
Fagiano Okayama1:1
Starting XI
Kyoto Sanga1:1
Starting XI
Head-to-Head
📈 Team Form & Statistics
ELO comparison
Pre-match ratings
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| Strength | ||
| 1,568.9 | Overall | 1,487.1 |
| 1,521.7 | Match venue | 1,527.3 |
| 1,521.7 | At home | 1,509.6 |
| 1,529.2 | Away | 1,527.3 |
| Attack & defence | ||
| 1,507.2 | Attack | 1,475.9 |
| 1,568.4 | Defence | 1,494.5 |
| 1,463.1 | Home attack | 1,511.6 |
| 1,510.5 | Away attack | 1,457.2 |
| 1,571 | Home defence | 1,510.4 |
| 1,536.9 | Away defence | 1,530 |
| Match profile | ||
| 1,451.7 | Goal environment | 1,491.7 |
| 1,443.3 | Home goals | 1,505 |
| 1,508.3 | Away goals | 1,486.7 |
| 1,455.5 | Possession | 1,506.6 |
| Specialist ratings | ||
| 1,522.4 | Set-piece attack | 1,456.8 |
| 1,521.5 | Set-piece defence | 1,458.1 |
| 1,526.5 | Close games | 1,532.5 |
| 1,583.9 | Winning margin | 1,465.6 |
Match venue compares Fagiano Okayama at home with Kyoto Sanga away. All ratings are within this league.
Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.
📝 Match Preview
Fagiano Okayama enters this J1 League fixture in formidable home form, looking to capitalize on a significant disparity in current momentum against a struggling Kyoto Sanga side. Occupying 6th place in the standings, Okayama has established itself as a difficult opponent to break down at home. Their performance over the last four home matches is particularly telling, boasting a 75.00% win rate with zero losses. This defensive stability is underscored by a remarkable home goals-conceded average of just 0.50 per game. On the offensive front, Okayama has been clinical, averaging 1.75 goals per game at home. They arrive at this match on the back of a three-match winning streak, including a 3-2 victory over Sanfrecce Hiroshima and a 2-1 win against Urawa. Their goals-scored trend is currently improving, providing a strong mathematical foundation for a home victory. The team's ability to maintain defensive integrity while finding the net consistently makes them a high-probability favorite in this matchup. In contrast, Kyoto Sanga is currently enduring a difficult period, languishing in 17th place with only 5 points from 7 matches. Their away form has been virtually non-existent, with a 0.00% win rate across their last five road trips. Kyoto's scoring output on the road is a major concern, as they have averaged a meager 0.80 goals per game. Furthermore, their goals-scored trend is currently declining, and they are coming off a three-match losing streak against Daejeon Citizen (0-1), Kashiwa Reysol (2-3), and FC Tokyo (0-2). While historical head-to-head data shows some mixed results, the current context strongly favors the hosts. Kyoto Sanga's defensive vulnerabilities (conceding 1.90 goals per game overall) and their inability to secure points away from home create a perfect storm for an Okayama side that is currently playing some of its best football of the season. With Okayama's superior league position and Kyoto's lack of away production, the data points toward a comfortable home win. Key Points: - Fagiano Okayama has a 75.00% win rate in their last 4 home games. - Kyoto Sanga has a 0.00% win rate in their last 5 away games. - Okayama's home defense is elite, conceding only 0.50 goals per game. - Kyoto Sanga is currently in 17th place with a 20.00% overall win rate. - Okayama is on a 3-match winning streak, while Kyoto is on a 3-match losing streak. The data suggests a high-probability victory for the hosts given the massive gap in form and home/away splits. Recommended Bet: Home Win
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