Liverpool enter this Premier League clash with a reputation for defensive solidity, having secured clean sheets in 60% of their last 10 matches. While they are a formidable force at Anfield, their recent trajectory has been defined by a remarkable number of draws. In their last 10 outings, they have recorded 6 draws, often in tight, low-scoring encounters. This is evidenced by their recent UEFA Champions League campaign, where they played out 0-0 draws against Inter Milan, Lens, Club Brugge, and FC Porto. These results suggest a team that is difficult to break down but is currently finding it challenging to convert dominance into high-scoring victories. Fulham, conversely, are enduring a difficult start to the 2026 season. They currently sit at the bottom of the table with 0 points from 3 matches, having lost all of their opening fixtures. Their away form is particularly concerning; they have managed only a 25% win rate in their last four away games and have struggled to maintain defensive integrity, conceding 1.25 goals per game on the road. Furthermore, their offensive output away from home is significantly hampered, averaging only 9.00 shots per game with a very low shot accuracy in their recent away data. This lack of production makes it difficult for them to pose a significant threat to a well-organized Liverpool defense. The historical context favors the home side significantly, with Liverpool boasting an 80% home win rate against Fulham. However, the current statistical landscape points toward a much more conservative affair. The goal expectancy (Poisson) for this match is calculated at 2.41, which aligns with Liverpool's declining goals conceded trend and Fulham's lack of offensive potency. The market is currently offering a high price for the Under 2.5 goals market at 2.75. Given the high probability of a low-scoring game—supported by Liverpool's draw-heavy trend and Fulham's winless start—this represents a substantial mathematical edge. While Liverpool are expected to control the tempo with their high home pass accuracy of 89%, the lack of clinical finishing from Fulham and Liverpool's defensive discipline make a low-scoring result the most probable outcome.