⚽️
Changchun Xidu1-0Guangzhou Dandelion
Tue, 15 Sept 2026, 18:45
Full Time

Match Timeline

28'
I. Murray🟨
Yellow Card
32'
R. Watson🟨
Yellow Card
46'
R. Watson🔄
Substitution 1 → S. Flynn
58'
S. Flynn⚽
Normal Goal
60'
J. Hodkin⚽
Normal Goal
63'
J. Parry🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Roberts
71'
J. Jones🟨
Yellow Card
74'
M. Woodcock🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Hughes
74'
I. Murray🔄
Substitution 3 → A. McCoy
77'
G. Peers🔄
Substitution 2 → O. Lancely
77'
J. Evans🔄
Substitution 3 → M. Blackwell-Jones
77'
F. Deane🔄
Substitution 4 → C. Partridge
79'
C. West⚽
Normal Goal
86'
J. Hodkin🔄
Substitution 5 → H. Mehasseb
90+3'
C. West🟨
Yellow Card

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

GAP Connah S Quay FC
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Form: L-D-W-W-W
Airbus UK
Airbus UK
Form: L-W-W-L-L
Record
5 W
2 D
3 L
•
6 W
0 D
4 L
Goals Per Game
2.1
Scored
vs
1.9
Scored
1.0
Conceded
vs
1.2
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
40%
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
30%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.2
Away:2.0
Conceded
Home:0.6
Away:1.4
Scored
Home:2.2
Away:1.6
Conceded
Home:1.4
Away:1.0

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
GAP Connah S Quay FC versus Airbus UK: long term ELO, before the match
GAP Connah S Quay FCHomeRatingAirbus UKAway
Strength
1,690.6Overall1,321.1
1,668.2Match venue1,343.3
1,668.2At home1,356.4
1,642.9Away1,343.3
Attack & defence
1,634.7Attack1,401.8
1,644.7Defence1,391.2
1,615.3Home attack1,411
1,582.7Away attack1,406.7
1,638.8Home defence1,362.6
1,649.4Away defence1,432.9
Match profile
1,950Goal environment2,053.3
1,748.3Home goals1,831.7
1,701.7Away goals1,721.7
1,500Possession1,500
Specialist ratings
1,500Set-piece attack1,500
1,500Set-piece defence1,500
1,514.1Close games1,352
1,743.4Winning margin1,320.1

Match venue compares GAP Connah S Quay FC at home with Airbus UK away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Airbus UK | Premier League Preview
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.45
Expected Value:+23.3%
Confidence:85

GAP Connah S Quay FC enters this Premier League fixture as the heavy favorites, bolstered by a historical dominance over Airbus UK that is difficult to ignore. The most striking statistic in this matchup is the head-to-head record: GAP Connah S Quay FC has won 100% of their last 10 meetings against Airbus UK. This includes a commanding 5-0 victory in their most recent encounter, establishing a clear hierarchy between the two sides. Currently sitting in 5th place in the league standings, GAP Connah S Quay FC has demonstrated a robust defensive capability at home. Over their last 5 home fixtures, they have conceded an impressive average of only 0.60 goals per game. This defensive solidity, combined with a home scoring average of 2.20 goals per game, suggests they are well-equipped to control the tempo of the match. While their recent form has seen some fluctuations—including a narrow 2-1 loss to Colwyn Bay—their ability to secure clean sheets and maintain a positive goal difference (+11) remains a core strength. Airbus UK, currently positioned in 9th place, faces a significant uphill battle. While they have shown they can secure away points, such as their 2-0 win over Briton Ferry, they have also struggled with consistency, suffering a 4-2 defeat to Barry Town and a 2-0 loss to Cardiff MET. Their away scoring average of 1.60 suggests they may struggle to penetrate GAP's organized defense. Furthermore, Airbus UK's away win rate of 60% is tempered by a 40% loss rate, highlighting a lack of reliability in hostile environments. From a betting perspective, the odds of 1.45 for a GAP Connah S Quay FC win are relatively low, but the data provides the necessary confidence to back this selection. The combination of a perfect H2H win rate, a superior league position, and a strong home defensive record creates a high-probability scenario for a home victory. While the goal environment for GAP at home suggests a potentially high-scoring game, the lack of value on the Over 2.5 Goals market (1.60) makes the straight Home Win the most mathematically sound choice. Key Points: - GAP Connah S Quay FC has won 100% of the last 10 head-to-head meetings against Airbus UK. - GAP Connah S Quay FC maintains a strong home defense, conceding only 0.60 goals per game in their last 5 home matches. - GAP Connah S Quay FC sits in 5th place, while Airbus UK is in 9th. - Airbus UK has struggled with consistency away from home, showing a 40% loss rate in their last 5 away games. Given the overwhelming historical dominance and GAP's defensive stability at home, we expect a comfortable victory for the hosts. Recommended Bet: Home Win

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