🟨
Worthing1-0AFC Hornchurch
live55'

Match Timeline

28'
I. Murray🟨
Yellow Card
32'
R. Watson🟨
Yellow Card
46'
R. Watson🔄
Substitution 1 → S. Flynn

Head-to-Head

💰 Best Odds

Match Winner
Home
1.49
Pinnacle
Draw
4.60
Betfair
Away
6.01
1xBet
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
1.58
Pinnacle
Under 2.5
2.35
Bet365
Both Teams Score
Yes
1.80
Bet365
No
2.05
William Hill

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📈 Team Form & Statistics

GAP Connah S Quay FC
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Form: L-D-W-W-W
Airbus UK
Airbus UK
Form: L-W-W-L-L
Record
5 W
2 D
3 L
6 W
0 D
4 L
Goals Per Game
2.1
Scored
vs
1.9
Scored
1.0
Conceded
vs
1.2
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
40%
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
30%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.2
Away:2.0
Conceded
Home:0.6
Away:1.4
Scored
Home:2.2
Away:1.6
Conceded
Home:1.4
Away:1.0

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1668
Good
1510
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1693
↑ Momentum (+25)
1525
↑ Momentum (+15)
Expected Outcome
52%
Home Win
27%
Draw
21%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1615
Attack
1502
1646
Defence
1527
Recent Form
1665
Attack
1505
1644
Defence
1553
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Airbus UK | Premier League Preview
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.45
Expected Value:+23.3%
Confidence:85

GAP Connah S Quay FC enters this Premier League fixture as the heavy favorites, bolstered by a historical dominance over Airbus UK that is difficult to ignore. The most striking statistic in this matchup is the head-to-head record: GAP Connah S Quay FC has won 100% of their last 10 meetings against Airbus UK. This includes a commanding 5-0 victory in their most recent encounter, establishing a clear hierarchy between the two sides. Currently sitting in 5th place in the league standings, GAP Connah S Quay FC has demonstrated a robust defensive capability at home. Over their last 5 home fixtures, they have conceded an impressive average of only 0.60 goals per game. This defensive solidity, combined with a home scoring average of 2.20 goals per game, suggests they are well-equipped to control the tempo of the match. While their recent form has seen some fluctuations—including a narrow 2-1 loss to Colwyn Bay—their ability to secure clean sheets and maintain a positive goal difference (+11) remains a core strength. Airbus UK, currently positioned in 9th place, faces a significant uphill battle. While they have shown they can secure away points, such as their 2-0 win over Briton Ferry, they have also struggled with consistency, suffering a 4-2 defeat to Barry Town and a 2-0 loss to Cardiff MET. Their away scoring average of 1.60 suggests they may struggle to penetrate GAP's organized defense. Furthermore, Airbus UK's away win rate of 60% is tempered by a 40% loss rate, highlighting a lack of reliability in hostile environments. From a betting perspective, the odds of 1.45 for a GAP Connah S Quay FC win are relatively low, but the data provides the necessary confidence to back this selection. The combination of a perfect H2H win rate, a superior league position, and a strong home defensive record creates a high-probability scenario for a home victory. While the goal environment for GAP at home suggests a potentially high-scoring game, the lack of value on the Over 2.5 Goals market (1.60) makes the straight Home Win the most mathematically sound choice. Key Points: - GAP Connah S Quay FC has won 100% of the last 10 head-to-head meetings against Airbus UK. - GAP Connah S Quay FC maintains a strong home defense, conceding only 0.60 goals per game in their last 5 home matches. - GAP Connah S Quay FC sits in 5th place, while Airbus UK is in 9th. - Airbus UK has struggled with consistency away from home, showing a 40% loss rate in their last 5 away games. Given the overwhelming historical dominance and GAP's defensive stability at home, we expect a comfortable victory for the hosts. Recommended Bet: Home Win

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