Match Timeline
S. Snaith🟨
J. Jones🔄A. McCoy🔄B. Gaughan🔄I. Murray⚽J. Hodkin🔄F. Deane🔄J. Hooper🔄S. Dymond-Hall🔄S. Jones🔄Head-to-Head
📈 Team Form & Statistics
ELO comparison
Pre-match ratings
 GAP Connah S Quay FCHome | Rating |  Cardiff METAway |
|---|---|---|
| Strength | ||
| 1,694 | Overall | 1,586.1 |
| 1,671.6 | Match venue | 1,537 |
| 1,671.6 | At home | 1,601.1 |
| 1,642.9 | Away | 1,537 |
| Attack & defence | ||
| 1,640.6 | Attack | 1,528.3 |
| 1,650.5 | Defence | 1,580.7 |
| 1,623 | Home attack | 1,531 |
| 1,582.7 | Away attack | 1,488.6 |
| 1,644.9 | Home defence | 1,546.8 |
| 1,649.4 | Away defence | 1,603.1 |
| Match profile | ||
| 1,951.7 | Goal environment | 1,716.7 |
| 1,750 | Home goals | 1,686.7 |
| 1,701.7 | Away goals | 1,530 |
| 1,500 | Possession | 1,500 |
| Specialist ratings | ||
| 1,500 | Set-piece attack | 1,500 |
| 1,500 | Set-piece defence | 1,500 |
| 1,514.1 | Close games | 1,547.5 |
| 1,747.5 | Winning margin | 1,610.3 |
Match venue compares GAP Connah S Quay FC at home with Cardiff MET away. All ratings are within this league.
Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.
📝 Match Preview
GAP Connah S Quay FC enter this Premier League fixture as heavy favorites, backed by a dominant historical record and a formidable home record. Currently sitting in 4th place with 19 points, the home side has established themselves as a difficult out at their own ground. They boast a 60% win rate in their last five home games, where they have averaged a staggering 2.80 goals scored per match while maintaining a disciplined defensive record of just 0.60 goals conceded per game. Cardiff MET, meanwhile, occupy 9th position in the table. While they have shown flashes of quality, their away form has been inconsistent, yielding a 40% win rate on the road. Although they manage to average 1.80 goals scored away from home, their defensive stability remains a concern, having recorded only three clean sheets in their last ten outings. They are coming off a 1-1 draw against Flint Town United, showing a tendency to struggle for a decisive edge in away fixtures. The most compelling argument for a home victory lies in the head-to-head statistics. GAP Connah S Quay FC have dominated this matchup, winning 7 of the last 10 encounters. Specifically, their home record against Cardiff MET is elite, featuring an 80% win rate. Their last meeting on November 1, 2025, saw them secure a convincing 3-0 victory. When you combine this historical dominance with GAP Connah S Quay FC's recent offensive output—including a 6-0 demolition of Trefelin and a 3-0 win over Airbus UK—the value on a home win becomes clear. While Cardiff MET can be capable of scoring, GAP Connah S Quay FC's ability to control the tempo at home and their history of shutting down Cardiff MET makes them the clear favorites. The current odds of 1.68 provide a significant margin of safety for a side that has consistently outperformed Cardiff MET in this specific fixture. Key Points: - GAP Connah S Quay FC have won 7 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings. - The home side holds an 80% win rate against Cardiff MET at their home venue. - GAP Connah S Quay FC average 2.80 goals per game at home, while conceding only 0.60. - Cardiff MET have struggled for consistency away, winning only 40% of their recent road games. - GAP Connah S Quay FC won the most recent head-to-head encounter 3-0. Recommended Bet: HOME_WIN
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