Match Timeline
K. Williams⚽D. Flanders⚽
N. Burke⚽E. Orton⚽J. Owen⚽G. DafyddF. Vaughan-Evans⚽Head-to-Head
📈 Team Form & Statistics
ELO comparison
Pre-match ratings
 Denbigh TownHome | Rating |  Bala TownAway |
|---|---|---|
| Strength | ||
| 1,454.4 | Overall | 1,548.1 |
| 1,544.4 | Match venue | 1,533.8 |
| 1,544.4 | At home | 1,506.1 |
| 1,444.8 | Away | 1,533.8 |
| Attack & defence | ||
| 1,522.5 | Attack | 1,522.9 |
| 1,445.6 | Defence | 1,531.5 |
| 1,570.7 | Home attack | 1,501.5 |
| 1,511.8 | Away attack | 1,521.7 |
| 1,477.4 | Home defence | 1,519.3 |
| 1,445.7 | Away defence | 1,513.9 |
| Match profile | ||
| 1,955 | Goal environment | 1,506.7 |
| 1,743.3 | Home goals | 1,498.3 |
| 1,711.7 | Away goals | 1,508.3 |
| 1,500 | Possession | 1,500 |
| Specialist ratings | ||
| 1,500 | Set-piece attack | 1,500 |
| 1,500 | Set-piece defence | 1,500 |
| 1,457.4 | Close games | 1,519.9 |
| 1,450.9 | Winning margin | 1,557.9 |
Match venue compares Denbigh Town at home with Bala Town away. All ratings are within this league.
Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.
📝 Match Preview
Denbigh Town faces a significant uphill battle in this FAW Championship clash against Bala Town. Currently languishing in 12th place, Denbigh Town has struggled to find their footing this season, managing only 4 points from 7 appearances. Their home record is particularly concerning, with a win rate of just 25.00% in their last four home fixtures. Defensively, they have been inconsistent, conceding an average of 2.00 goals per game at home, which leaves them highly vulnerable to organized attacks. Bala Town, on the other hand, enters the match as a dominant force in the league. Sitting in 3rd place, they have demonstrated remarkable consistency, particularly on the road. Their away form is elite, featuring an 80.00% win rate over their last five away games. Most notably, Bala Town has been prolific on the move, averaging a high 2.60 goals per game in away matches. This offensive firepower, combined with a disciplined defensive structure that allows only 1.00 goal per game away, makes them a formidable opponent for Denbigh. Recent results further highlight the disparity between the two clubs. Denbigh Town has struggled recently, suffering losses to Newtown AFC and Rhyl, and showing a lack of defensive cohesion. Conversely, Bala Town secured a vital 2-1 away win against Porthmadog in their most recent outing, showcasing their ability to secure results in difficult environments. With Denbigh Town's poor home form and Bala Town's exceptional away record, the data points overwhelmingly toward a visiting victory. The goal expectancy for this match is skewed in favor of the visitors, who are expected to find the net multiple times against a Denbigh side that has struggled to maintain a clean sheet. Key Points: - Bala Town sits in 3rd place, while Denbigh Town is in 12th. - Bala Town boasts an 80.00% win rate in their last 5 away games. - Denbigh Town has won only 25.00% of their last 4 home games. - Bala Town averages 2.60 goals per game in away fixtures. - Denbigh Town concedes an average of 2.00 goals per game at home. The most reliable value in this fixture is an Away Win.
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