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Fri, 11 Sept 2026, 18:45
Full Time

Match Timeline

9'
K. Williams
Own Goal
52'
D. Flanders
Normal Goal
57'
N. Burke
Normal Goal
60'
E. Orton
Normal Goal
64'
J. Owen
Normal Goal
69'
G. Dafydd
Penalty
83'
F. Vaughan-Evans
Normal Goal

Head-to-Head

💰 Best Odds

Match Winner
Home
4.61
1xBet
Draw
4.22
Pinnacle
Away
1.60
Bet365
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
1.50
Bet365
Under 2.5
2.54
Pinnacle
Both Teams Score
Yes
1.50
William Hill
No
2.38
William Hill

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📈 Team Form & Statistics

Denbigh Town
Denbigh Town
Form: L-L-D-L-L
Bala Town
Bala Town
Form: W-L-W-W-W
Record
3 W
1 D
6 L
6 W
0 D
4 L
Goals Per Game
1.4
Scored
vs
1.9
Scored
2.2
Conceded
vs
1.3
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
10%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
70%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.3
Away:1.5
Conceded
Home:2.0
Away:2.3
Scored
Home:1.2
Away:2.6
Conceded
Home:1.6
Away:1.0

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1548
Average
1506
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1522
↓ Momentum (-26)
1510
↑ Momentum (+4)
Expected Outcome
38%
Home Win
32%
Draw
30%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1574
Attack
1501
1449
Defence
1534
Recent Form
1556
Attack
1502
1427
Defence
1568
Post-Match Changes
+12
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Denbigh Town vs Bala Town - FAW Championship Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.78
Expected Value:+42.4%
Confidence:85

Denbigh Town faces a significant uphill battle in this FAW Championship clash against Bala Town. Currently languishing in 12th place, Denbigh Town has struggled to find their footing this season, managing only 4 points from 7 appearances. Their home record is particularly concerning, with a win rate of just 25.00% in their last four home fixtures. Defensively, they have been inconsistent, conceding an average of 2.00 goals per game at home, which leaves them highly vulnerable to organized attacks. Bala Town, on the other hand, enters the match as a dominant force in the league. Sitting in 3rd place, they have demonstrated remarkable consistency, particularly on the road. Their away form is elite, featuring an 80.00% win rate over their last five away games. Most notably, Bala Town has been prolific on the move, averaging a high 2.60 goals per game in away matches. This offensive firepower, combined with a disciplined defensive structure that allows only 1.00 goal per game away, makes them a formidable opponent for Denbigh. Recent results further highlight the disparity between the two clubs. Denbigh Town has struggled recently, suffering losses to Newtown AFC and Rhyl, and showing a lack of defensive cohesion. Conversely, Bala Town secured a vital 2-1 away win against Porthmadog in their most recent outing, showcasing their ability to secure results in difficult environments. With Denbigh Town's poor home form and Bala Town's exceptional away record, the data points overwhelmingly toward a visiting victory. The goal expectancy for this match is skewed in favor of the visitors, who are expected to find the net multiple times against a Denbigh side that has struggled to maintain a clean sheet. Key Points: - Bala Town sits in 3rd place, while Denbigh Town is in 12th. - Bala Town boasts an 80.00% win rate in their last 5 away games. - Denbigh Town has won only 25.00% of their last 4 home games. - Bala Town averages 2.60 goals per game in away fixtures. - Denbigh Town concedes an average of 2.00 goals per game at home. The most reliable value in this fixture is an Away Win.

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