Match Timeline
Cengiz Ünder🟨Serdar Saatçı🟨S. Saatci🔄M. Diomande🔄Andrei Borza🟨Ahmed Ildız🟨
Hwang Ui-Jo🔄C. Under🔄G. Makouta⚽Fredy🔄P. Fernandes🔄B. Gezek🔄Bikoue🔄J. Ramirez⚽A. Usluoglu⚽A. Borza🔄Çağlar Söyüncü🟨Match Statistics
Starting Lineups
Çorum FK1:1
Starting XI
Alanyaspor1:1
Starting XI
Head-to-Head
📈 Team Form & Statistics
ELO comparison
Pre-match ratings
 Çorum FKHome | Rating |  AlanyasporAway |
|---|---|---|
| Strength | ||
| 1,528.4 | Overall | 1,562.7 |
| 1,500.9 | Match venue | 1,512.2 |
| 1,500.9 | At home | 1,582.5 |
| 1,519 | Away | 1,512.2 |
| Attack & defence | ||
| 1,543.1 | Attack | 1,496.9 |
| 1,514.8 | Defence | 1,587.8 |
| 1,502.3 | Home attack | 1,524.2 |
| 1,538 | Away attack | 1,459 |
| 1,517.2 | Home defence | 1,586.7 |
| 1,498.7 | Away defence | 1,562.7 |
| Match profile | ||
| 1,525 | Goal environment | 1,935 |
| 1,496.7 | Home goals | 1,795 |
| 1,528.3 | Away goals | 1,640 |
| 1,504 | Possession | 1,483.3 |
| Specialist ratings | ||
| 1,498.7 | Set-piece attack | 1,536.2 |
| 1,498.7 | Set-piece defence | 1,535.2 |
| 1,494.6 | Close games | 1,519.7 |
| 1,550.2 | Winning margin | 1,576.1 |
Match venue compares Çorum FK at home with Alanyaspor away. All ratings are within this league.
Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.
📝 Match Preview
Çorum FK enters this Süper Lig fixture with a formidable reputation at home. Their recent home performance is a standout, boasting a 60% win rate over their last five home games. Perhaps the most compelling statistic for bettors is their defensive discipline; Çorum FK has conceded a mere 0.40 goals per game at home, suggesting a highly organized backline that is difficult for opponents to penetrate. In contrast, Alanyaspor has struggled significantly on the road. Their away win rate stands at a lowly 16.67% over their last six away outings. Furthermore, their offensive output away from home is anaemic, averaging just 0.67 goals per game. While Alanyaspor managed a 2-2 draw against Göztepe recently and secured a 1-0 win over Rizespor, their overall trend on the road suggests they will struggle to find the back of the net in this environment. When we look at the goal expectancy (Poisson inputs), the numbers lean heavily toward a low-scoring affair. Çorum FK is expected to produce 1.27 goals, while Alanyaspor is projected to manage only 0.53. This creates a combined goal expectation of 1.80, which sits well below the 2.5-goal threshold. Although the head-to-head history shows a 0-5 victory for Alanyaspor in late 2025, that result appears to be a significant outlier when compared to the current defensive and offensive metrics of both sides. Çorum FK’s recent 5-1 win over Samsunspor shows they can be clinical, but their primary strength remains their ability to keep clean sheets at home (40% clean sheet rate over 10 games). Combined with Alanyaspor's inability to convert chances away from home, the most logical outcome is a game where neither side finds multiple scoring opportunities. Key Points: - Çorum FK Home Defense: Conceding only 0.40 goals per game at home. - Alanyaspor Away Attack: Scoring just 0.67 goals per game on the road. - Goal Expectancy: A combined projection of 1.80 goals. - Venue Trends: Çorum FK holds a 60% home win rate, while Alanyaspor has a 16.67% away win rate. - Historical Context: The previous 0-5 scoreline is a historical outlier compared to current form. Given the defensive stability of the home side and the offensive struggles of the visitors, the value lies in a low-scoring match. Recommended Bet: Under 2.5 Goals
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