🟨
Las Vegas Lights1-0San Antonio
Sat, 5 Sept 2026, 16:30
Full Time

Match Timeline

25'
O. Bainbridge🟨
Yellow Card
55'
R. Booty🟨
Yellow Card
58'
D. Ajiboye🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Luamba
58'
J. Williams🔄
Substitution 2 → L. Duru
60'
S. Wearne⚽
Normal Goal → M. Azeez
66'
S. Wearne🔄
Substitution 3 → T. Jenks
68'
D. Cashman🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Bird
79'
J. Bird⚽
Normal Goal → Z. Brunt
81'
G. Kelly🔄
Substitution 4 → R. Linney
81'
R. Galvin🔄
Substitution 5 → C. Harper
81'
O. Bainbridge🔄
Substitution 2 → T. Golden
82'
J. Ellis⚽
Own Goal
85'
C. O'Connell🟨
Yellow Card
90+1'
Z. Brunt🔄
Substitution 3 → L. Richardson
90+1'
R. Booty🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Marshall-Miranda
90+7'
J. Ellis🟨
Yellow Card

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Boreham Wood
Boreham Wood
Form: W-W-W-W-W
Carlisle
Carlisle
Form: W-D-W-D-L
Record
8 W
2 D
0 L
•
4 W
4 D
2 L
Goals Per Game
2.5
Scored
vs
2.0
Scored
1.2
Conceded
vs
1.3
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
80%
BTTS
70%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.3
Away:2.8
Conceded
Home:1.3
Away:1.0
Scored
Home:2.2
Away:1.8
Conceded
Home:1.8
Away:0.8

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
Boreham Wood versus Carlisle: long term ELO, before the match
Boreham WoodHomeRatingCarlisleAway
Strength
1,643.6Overall1,644.8
1,614.4Match venue1,574.8
1,614.4At home1,612.4
1,555.2Away1,574.8
Attack & defence
1,626.1Attack1,575.7
1,546.5Defence1,569.3
1,556.1Home attack1,603.6
1,596.9Away attack1,509.7
1,564.7Home defence1,554.5
1,526.2Away defence1,551.2
Match profile
1,400Goal environment1,586.7
1,361.7Home goals1,578.3
1,538.3Away goals1,508.3
1,500Possession1,500
Specialist ratings
1,500Set-piece attack1,500
1,500Set-piece defence1,500
1,565.6Close games1,570.6
1,668.2Winning margin1,670.4

Match venue compares Boreham Wood at home with Carlisle away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

Boreham Wood Look to Assert Dominance at Home
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.75
Expected Value:+13.8%
Confidence:7

Boreham Wood enters this National League fixture as the team to beat, currently sitting comfortably at the summit of the table. With a remarkable record of 4 wins and only 1 draw from their opening 5 matches, they have established themselves as the primary force in the competition. Their recent form is particularly impressive, highlighted by a string of convincing victories including a 3-2 win over Worthing and a dominant 3-0 performance against Forest Green. Averaging 2.50 goals per game over their last 10 outings, Boreham Wood possesses a potent attacking threat that has been difficult for opponents to contain. Carlisle, meanwhile, occupies a mid-table position in 9th place. While they have shown they can be capable of high-scoring affairs—evidenced by their 4-2 win against Scunthorpe and 4-1 victory over AFC Hornchurch—they have struggled to secure consistent wins. Their away record is notably characterized by a high draw rate, with 60% of their recent away matches ending in level scores. While they have remained undefeated in their last 5 away fixtures, they often find themselves content with a point rather than pushing for the win. Head-to-head history between these two sides suggests a competitive and often balanced affair, with 3 of their last 5 meetings ending in draws. However, the current league dynamics favor the hosts. Boreham Wood's home win percentage of 66.67% combined with their league-leading status provides a significant statistical advantage. Carlisle's tendency to drop points away from home, contrasted with Boreham Wood's relentless momentum, suggests that the hosts are well-positioned to secure all three points. While the goal expectancy model suggests a balanced output of 1.57 goals for each side, Boreham Wood's superior goal difference (+13) and consistent scoring output make them the clear favorites. Carlisle's defensive solidity away from home (conceding only 0.80 goals per game) may keep the scoreline respectable, but it is unlikely to be enough to halt Boreham Wood's upward trajectory. Key Points: - Boreham Wood is currently 1st in the National League with 13 points from 5 games. - Boreham Wood has won 8 of their last 10 matches, maintaining a high win rate. - Carlisle has a 60% draw rate in their last 5 away games, making them hard to beat but difficult to break down. - Boreham Wood averages 2.33 goals per game at home, while Carlisle concedes only 0.80 away. - The head-to-head record shows a high frequency of draws, but Boreham Wood's current form is significantly superior. Boreham Wood Win

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