🖥️
Forge1-0HFX Wanderers FC
Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 11:30
Full Time

Match Timeline

6'
B. Milnes⚽
Normal Goal
16'
B. Hobson⚽
Normal Goal → J. Hmami
31'
L. Fairlamb🔄
Substitution 1 → R. Calder
34'
M. Roberts🟨
Yellow Card
40'
M. Williams🟨
Yellow Card
40'
S. McCoulsky🟨
Yellow Card
42'
W. McGowan⚽
Normal Goal → L. Cass
45+1'
D. Creaney🟨
Yellow Card
51'
W. Burrell🟨
Yellow Card
62'
B. Acquaye🔄
Substitution 2 → T. McGlinchey
62'
T. Bramble🔄
Substitution 3 → R. Howley
63'
J. Hmami⚽
Normal Goal → W. McGowan
68'
M. Williams🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Craig
73'
W. McGowan🔄
Substitution 2 → G. Thomson
74'
J. Hmami🔄
Substitution 3 → C. McGuckin
74'
S. McCoulsky🔄
Substitution 4 → B. Dolaghan
78'
E. Bristow🔄
Substitution 5 → E. Taylor
82'
B. Milnes🔄
Substitution 4 → O. Dyson
82'
K. Donnelly🔄
Substitution 5 → N. Tshikuna
86'
N. Tshikuna🟨
Yellow Card
90'
J. Rye🟨
Yellow Card

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Harrogate Town
Harrogate Town
Form: W-W-L-D-W
Tamworth
Tamworth
Form: L-D-L-W-L
Record
7 W
2 D
1 L
•
3 W
3 D
4 L
Goals Per Game
2.2
Scored
vs
2.2
Scored
1.3
Conceded
vs
2.4
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
0%
BTTS
80%
BTTS
100%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.6
Away:1.8
Conceded
Home:1.6
Away:1.0
Scored
Home:2.2
Away:2.3
Conceded
Home:2.2
Away:2.8

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
Harrogate Town versus Tamworth: long term ELO, before the match
Harrogate TownHomeRatingTamworthAway
Strength
1,648.6Overall1,482.2
1,631.5Match venue1,406.1
1,631.5At home1,542
1,549.1Away1,406.1
Attack & defence
1,587.8Attack1,514.3
1,561.5Defence1,452.6
1,576.7Home attack1,507
1,551.7Away attack1,475.9
1,579.4Home defence1,541.9
1,514.4Away defence1,389.1
Match profile
1,631.7Goal environment1,703.3
1,555Home goals1,525
1,576.7Away goals1,678.3
1,500Possession1,500
Specialist ratings
1,500Set-piece attack1,500
1,500Set-piece defence1,500
1,585.8Close games1,514.5
1,668.6Winning margin1,471.2

Match venue compares Harrogate Town at home with Tamworth away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

Harrogate Town vs Tamworth | National League Preview
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.53
Expected Value:+30.0%
Confidence:9

Harrogate Town enters this National League clash in formidable form, currently occupying the 2nd position in the table. With 13 points from 6 matches, they have demonstrated a high level of consistency, boasting a 70% win rate over their last 10 fixtures. Their home performance is a cornerstone of this success; they maintain a 60% win rate at home, where they have averaged a prolific 2.60 goals scored per game. This attacking output is balanced by a solid structure, though they do occasionally concede, averaging 1.60 goals per game at their home venue. In stark contrast, Tamworth is struggling to find their footing at the bottom of the league. Sitting in 19th place with only 5 points, their form has been largely disappointing. Their away record is particularly concerning, as they have managed only a 25% win rate on the road. Perhaps most telling for bettors is their defensive fragility away from home, where they have conceded an average of 2.75 goals per game. Despite this, they remain an adventurous side, managing to score 2.25 goals on the road, which contributes to a very high goal environment. The statistical profile for this match points toward a high-scoring encounter. Tamworth has shown a remarkable 90% "Both Teams to Score" rate in their last 10 games, while Harrogate Town follows closely with an 80% rate in the same period. When we look at the goal expectancies, the Poisson inputs suggest a combined average of 4.60 goals for the match (2.67 for Harrogate and 1.93 for Tamworth). Given Harrogate’s ability to breach defenses at home and Tamworth’s tendency to both score and concede heavily on the road, the Over 2.5 Goals market presents significant value. While Harrogate Town are the clear favorites to take all three points, the sheer volume of goals expected from both sides makes the goal count a highly reliable selection. Key Points: - Harrogate Town is 2nd in the table with a 70% win rate in their last 10 games. - Tamworth is in 19th place, having won only one of their last six league matches. - Tamworth's away defense is highly vulnerable, conceding 2.75 goals per game. - Harrogate Town scores an average of 2.60 goals at home. - Both sides have very high "Both Teams to Score" rates (80% and 90% respectively). - The combined goal expectancy for this fixture is a high 4.60. Bet: Over 2.5 Goals.

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