⚽️
Fleury 912-2Caen
Tue, 8 Sept 2026, 18:45
Full Time

Match Timeline

49'
R. Walker⚽
Normal Goal

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

AFC Telford United
AFC Telford United
Form: W-L-L-D-D
Oxford City
Oxford City
Form: W-W-L-W-D
Record
2 W
2 D
6 L
•
6 W
1 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
0.9
Scored
vs
1.9
Scored
1.6
Conceded
vs
1.0
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:0.7
Away:1.3
Conceded
Home:1.7
Away:1.5
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:2.0
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:0.8

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
AFC Telford United versus Oxford City: long term ELO, before the match
AFC Telford UnitedHomeRatingOxford CityAway
Strength
1,473.6Overall1,601.4
1,460.3Match venue1,540
1,460.3At home1,508
1,438.5Away1,540
Attack & defence
1,492.5Attack1,521.5
1,521.2Defence1,587.1
1,493.1Home attack1,508
1,460Away attack1,483.6
1,513.6Home defence1,536.7
1,486.1Away defence1,559.9
Match profile
1,671.7Goal environment1,603.3
1,591.7Home goals1,583.3
1,580Away goals1,520
1,500Possession1,500
Specialist ratings
1,500Set-piece attack1,500
1,500Set-piece defence1,500
1,425.3Close games1,526.5
1,493.4Winning margin1,627.9

Match venue compares AFC Telford United at home with Oxford City away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

Oxford City to Overpower a Struggling Telford United
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.47
Expected Value:+60.6%
Confidence:7

Oxford City enter this National League North clash as the heavy favorites, currently sitting comfortably at the top of the table with 16 points from 7 matches. Their form has been exemplary, particularly on the road where they have maintained a staggering 80% win rate over their last five away fixtures. Oxford City have proven to be clinical on the move, averaging 2.00 goals per game away from home, and they carry significant momentum following a dominant 4-0 victory over Chorley in their most recent outing. In contrast, AFC Telford United are enduring a difficult campaign, currently occupying 21st place in the standings. Their home form has been a major concern, with a win rate of only 16.67% over their last six home games. While they managed to secure a 1-0 win against Scarborough Athletic in their latest match, their overall statistics tell a story of struggle. Telford has managed a meager 0.67 goals per game at home while conceding 1.67 per game, leading to a negative goal difference of -7 across their recent run. The statistical disparity between the two sides is significant. Oxford City's goal expectancy for this fixture is 1.83, compared to Telford's 0.73. Oxford's ability to maintain defensive discipline while remaining prolific in attack—conceding only 0.80 goals per game on the road—makes them a formidable opponent for a Telford side that has suffered losses to Morecambe, Worksop Town, and Bedford Town in recent weeks. While the head-to-head history shows a 0-0 draw in their last meeting, the current league dynamics and the gap in quality suggest a different outcome today. Oxford City's consistency as league leaders, combined with Telford's inability to find the net regularly at home, points toward a comfortable away victory. The visitors possess the superior attacking depth and the momentum of a winning streak that Telford simply cannot match. Key Points: - Oxford City are 1st in the league with an elite 80% away win rate. - AFC Telford United are 21st, struggling for goals at home (0.67 per game). - Oxford City scored 4 goals in their most recent league victory. - Goal expectancy heavily favors Oxford City (1.83 vs 0.73). - Oxford City's away scoring average of 2.00 goals per game highlights their offensive threat. Bet: Away Win

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