⚽️
Forge1-0HFX Wanderers FC
Fri, 11 Sept 2026, 19:00
Full Time
4:2
HT: 3 - 1

Match Timeline

6'
D. Celiento⚽
Normal Goal → I. Achik
9'
A. La Gumina⚽
Normal Goal
13'
A. De Marco⚽
Normal Goal
38'
M. T. Llano Massa🟨
Yellow Card
44'
A. La Gumina⚽
Normal Goal
54'
G. Selleri⚽
Normal Goal
55'
G. D'Auria🔄
Substitution 1 → N. Bruschi
55'
G. Selleri🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Murano
55'
M. Ghisolfi🔄
Substitution 3 → M. Castorani
56'
I. Achik🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Varela Djamanca
61'
A. La Gumina⚽
Normal Goal → E. D'Ursi
69'
A. Anastasio🟨
Yellow Card
69'
N. Bruschi🟨
Yellow Card
71'
L. Russo🔄
Substitution 4 → C. Adjapong
71'
A. Bando🔄
Substitution 5 → A. Franzolini
74'
L. Petrungaro⚽
Goal Disallowed - video review
77'
L. Petrungaro🟨
Yellow Card
78'
E. D'Ursi🔄
Substitution 2 → E. Gyabuaa
88'
L. Villa🔄
Substitution 3 → R. Zoia
89'
A. La Gumina🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Bevilacqua
89'
N. Bruschi🟨
Yellow Card
89'
N. Bruschi🟥
Red Card

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Salernitana
Salernitana
Form: D-D-L-L-W
Potenza
Potenza
Form: W-D-W-W-L
Record
3 W
4 D
3 L
•
5 W
3 D
2 L
Goals Per Game
1.2
Scored
vs
1.5
Scored
1.1
Conceded
vs
0.8
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS
70%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.3
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:1.1
Away:1.0
Scored
Home:1.5
Away:1.5
Conceded
Home:0.5
Away:1.3

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
Salernitana versus Potenza: long term ELO, before the match
SalernitanaHomeRatingPotenzaAway
Strength
1,550.9Overall1,559.6
1,535.1Match venue1,443.5
1,535.1At home1,601.8
1,545.4Away1,443.5
Attack & defence
1,494.7Attack1,546.2
1,559.9Defence1,519.8
1,482.1Home attack1,591.4
1,502.7Away attack1,431.5
1,548.7Home defence1,552.3
1,539.6Away defence1,476.6
Match profile
1,485Goal environment1,496.7
1,478.3Home goals1,530
1,506.7Away goals1,466.7
1,500Possession1,500
Specialist ratings
1,500Set-piece attack1,500
1,500Set-piece defence1,500
1,561.5Close games1,521.7
1,544.9Winning margin1,582.6

Match venue compares Salernitana at home with Potenza away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

Salernitana vs Potenza: A Tale of Two Extremes in Serie C
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:3.60
Expected Value:+44.0%
Confidence:7

The upcoming clash in Serie C - Girone C between Salernitana and Potenza presents a stark contrast in momentum and league standing. As we look at the current table, Potenza is enjoying a stellar start to the 2026 season, occupying the 2nd position with a perfect record of 3 wins from 3 matches. In contrast, Salernitana is struggling near the bottom of the table in 16th place, having managed only 2 points from their opening three fixtures, with zero wins to their name. Potenza's away form is a significant factor in this matchup. They have maintained a 50.00% win rate in their last 4 away games, averaging 1.50 goals scored on the road. Their ability to secure points on the move is a hallmark of their current success. Meanwhile, Salernitana has struggled to find consistency at home, boasting a modest home win rate of only 28.57% over their last 7 home fixtures. While they have managed to secure draws recently (1-1 against Cavese and 1-1 against Foggia), they have failed to convert these into victories, leaving them in a precarious position. Historical data heavily favors the visitors. In their most recent head-to-head meeting in March 2026, Potenza delivered a commanding 5-2 victory over Salernitana. This high-scoring result highlights a trend where Potenza has been able to overwhelm the home side's defense. Furthermore, Potenza's offensive output remains robust, while Salernitana's defensive record at home has allowed an average of 1.14 goals per game. From a mathematical perspective, the goal expectancy (Poisson $\lambda$) sits at 1.27 for the home side and 1.32 for the away side. While the match is expected to be relatively competitive in terms of goal production, the disparity in form and the historical dominance of Potenza suggest that the visitors are the clear favorites. The current odds of 3.60 for an away win offer significant value, given Potenza's position at the top of the table and Salernitana's inability to secure a single league win thus far. Key Points: - Potenza sits in 2nd place with 3 wins from 3 matches, while Salernitana is in 16th place with 0 wins. - Potenza won the last head-to-head encounter convincingly with a 5-2 scoreline. - Potenza maintains a 50% away win rate and scores 1.50 goals per game on the road. - Salernitana has a low home win rate of 28.57% and has struggled to find the net consistently. - The massive gap in league standing and recent form suggests a high probability of a Potenza victory. Given the significant disparity in form and the historical head-to-head record, Potenza is well-positioned to secure all three points away from home. Recommended Bet: AWAY_WIN

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